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Joshua Van

17-2-0
24y·5' 5"·65" reach·Orthodox
1:06
Control / 15m
time on top
+2.61
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
40%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.6
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss July 2024. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in November 2023, 45 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Jul 2024

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 11 recorded bouts, 1230 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 73%Body 19%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 87%Clinch 8%Ground 5%
And how often each lands
Head51%
Body82%
Legs91%
Distance55%
Clinch81%
Ground67%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

10Wins4 KO · 6 DEC
1Losses1 KO

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

0%
Zhumagulov
7%
Borjas
13%
Bunes
2%
Johnson
30%
Chairez
2%
Durden
6%
Tsuruya
7%
Silva
1%
Royval
0%
Pantoja
6%
Taira

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.76100%11
R211.09233%10
R310.05211%9
R43.801
R518.001

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min8.43
Strikes absorbed / min5.82
Striking accuracyof everything thrown57%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed58%
Takedowns / 15 min0.82
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land61%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed75%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.2
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together14.25
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 11 bouts13.3m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

55.5%
Landed at range
1,929 thrown over 11 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

WTatsuro TairaMay 2026KO R51:21 ctrl131 str1 td
Significant strikes
131 of 209 · 63%
Total strikes
190 of 269 · 71%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
1:21
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R5 1:32
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 90%Body 9%Legs 1%
Position
Distance 79%Clinch 7%Ground 14%
This fight on UFCStats
WAlexandre PantojaDec 2025KO R10:00 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 4 · 50%
Total strikes
2 of 4 · 50%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:26
to Arm injury to Pantoja
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WBrandon RoyvalJun 2025U-DEC0:09 ctrl204 str0 td
Significant strikes
204 of 305 · 67%
Total strikes
209 of 311 · 67%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:09
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 68%Body 18%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 89%Clinch 10%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
WBruno SilvaJun 2025KO R31:01 ctrl125 str0 td
Significant strikes
125 of 217 · 58%
Total strikes
149 of 241 · 62%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:01
Knockdowns
3
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 4:01
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 86%Body 9%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 78%Clinch 3%Ground 19%
This fight on UFCStats
WRei TsuruyaMar 2025U-DEC0:50 ctrl59 str0 td
Significant strikes
59 of 97 · 61%
Total strikes
127 of 169 · 75%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:50
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 66%Body 32%Legs 2%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 8%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
WCody DurdenDec 2024U-DEC0:20 ctrl165 str0 td
Significant strikes
165 of 304 · 54%
Total strikes
184 of 323 · 57%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:20
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 79%Body 13%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 87%Clinch 12%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
WEdgar ChairezSep 2024U-DEC4:26 ctrl118 str3 td
Significant strikes
118 of 200 · 59%
Total strikes
183 of 276 · 66%
Takedowns
3 of 3 · 100%
Control
4:26
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 67%Body 20%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 92%Clinch 3%Ground 4%
This fight on UFCStats
LCharles JohnsonJul 2024KO R30:15 ctrl67 str1 td
Significant strikes
67 of 133 · 50%
Total strikes
72 of 140 · 51%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
0:15
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 0:20
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 66%Body 25%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 10%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WFelipe BunesJan 2024KO R21:14 ctrl83 str1 td
Significant strikes
83 of 141 · 59%
Total strikes
154 of 222 · 69%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
1:14
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:31
Punches to Head From Guard
Target
Head 76%Body 18%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 73%Clinch 11%Ground 16%
This fight on UFCStats
WKevin BorjasNov 2023U-DEC1:03 ctrl156 str2 td
Significant strikes
156 of 300 · 52%
Total strikes
165 of 311 · 53%
Takedowns
2 of 4 · 50%
Control
1:03
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 59%Body 31%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WZhalgas ZhumagulovJun 2023S-DEC0:01 ctrl120 str0 td
Significant strikes
120 of 234 · 51%
Total strikes
131 of 245 · 53%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 65%Body 24%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 12%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.