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Alexander Hernandez

18-9-0
33y·5' 9"·72" reach·Orthodox
1:56
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.22
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
50%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.8
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss January 2019. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Dec 2022

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 18 recorded bouts, 789 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 56%Body 31%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 85%Clinch 8%Ground 7%
And how often each lands
Head31%
Body63%
Legs70%
Distance38%
Clinch67%
Ground72%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

10Wins5 KO · 5 DEC
8Losses3 KO · 1 SUB · 4 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

2%
Dariush
48%
Aubin-Mercier
4%
Cerrone
2%
Trinaldo
12%
Dober
0%
Gruetzemacher
0%
Moises
1%
Breeden
1%
Moicano
44%
Quarantillo
3%
Miller
4%
Algeo
16%
Jackson
4%
Hubbard
44%
Holobaugh
1%
Hooper
2%
Ferreira
0%
Garcia

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.35100%18
R24.2297%14
R34.0292%9

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min4.23
Strikes absorbed / min4.45
Striking accuracyof everything thrown40%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed59%
Takedowns / 15 min1.05
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land35%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed68%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.1
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together8.68
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 18 bouts10.4m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

37.7%
Landed at range
1,779 thrown over 18 bouts
40.9%
Expected
against these opponents
−3.2pp
Gap
below expected
91.5%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LRafa GarciaApr 2026U-DEC0:00 ctrl50 str0 td
Significant strikes
50 of 145 · 34%
Total strikes
54 of 149 · 36%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 80%Body 18%Legs 2%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WDiego FerreiraSep 2025KO R20:12 ctrl30 str0 td
Significant strikes
30 of 75 · 40%
Total strikes
30 of 75 · 40%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:12
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:46
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 73%Body 13%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 67%Clinch 0%Ground 33%
This fight on UFCStats
WChase HooperAug 2025KO R10:02 ctrl17 str0 td
Significant strikes
17 of 38 · 45%
Total strikes
18 of 39 · 46%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:02
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:58
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 82%Body 18%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 76%Clinch 0%Ground 24%
This fight on UFCStats
WKurt HolobaughMar 2025U-DEC6:39 ctrl59 str4 td
Significant strikes
59 of 149 · 40%
Total strikes
87 of 186 · 47%
Takedowns
4 of 5 · 80%
Control
6:39
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 61%Body 17%Legs 22%
Position
Distance 76%Clinch 3%Ground 20%
This fight on UFCStats
WAustin HubbardOct 2024S-DEC0:40 ctrl79 str0 td
Significant strikes
79 of 204 · 39%
Total strikes
91 of 217 · 42%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:40
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 52%Body 28%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 99%Clinch 1%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LDamon JacksonApr 2024S-DEC2:22 ctrl32 str0 td
Significant strikes
32 of 87 · 37%
Total strikes
56 of 119 · 47%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
2:22
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 63%Body 19%Legs 19%
Position
Distance 91%Clinch 0%Ground 9%
This fight on UFCStats
LBill AlgeoOct 2023U-DEC0:35 ctrl75 str0 td
Significant strikes
75 of 156 · 48%
Total strikes
76 of 157 · 48%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:35
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 33%Body 60%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WJim MillerFeb 2023U-DEC0:23 ctrl108 str0 td
Significant strikes
108 of 234 · 46%
Total strikes
111 of 238 · 47%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:23
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 57%Body 36%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 91%Clinch 3%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
LBilly QuarantilloDec 2022KO R24:08 ctrl48 str2 td
Significant strikes
48 of 94 · 51%
Total strikes
59 of 105 · 56%
Takedowns
2 of 6 · 33%
Control
4:08
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:30
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 69%Body 10%Legs 21%
Position
Distance 71%Clinch 17%Ground 13%
This fight on UFCStats
LRenato MoicanoFeb 2022SUB R20:05 ctrl37 str0 td
Significant strikes
37 of 79 · 47%
Total strikes
39 of 81 · 48%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:05
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 1:23
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 51%Body 22%Legs 27%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 3%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
WMike BreedenOct 2021KO R10:01 ctrl20 str0 td
Significant strikes
20 of 35 · 57%
Total strikes
20 of 35 · 57%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:01
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:20
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 75%Body 20%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 70%Clinch 30%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LThiago MoisesFeb 2021U-DEC0:00 ctrl50 str0 td
Significant strikes
50 of 205 · 24%
Total strikes
50 of 205 · 24%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 30%Body 36%Legs 34%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WChris GruetzemacherOct 2020KO R10:00 ctrl29 str0 td
Significant strikes
29 of 52 · 56%
Total strikes
29 of 52 · 56%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:46
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 55%Body 14%Legs 31%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 3%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LDrew DoberMay 2020KO R21:07 ctrl34 str3 td
Significant strikes
34 of 108 · 31%
Total strikes
41 of 115 · 36%
Takedowns
3 of 5 · 60%
Control
1:07
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:25
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 65%Body 35%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 82%Clinch 15%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
WFrancisco TrinaldoJul 2019U-DEC0:20 ctrl25 str0 td
Significant strikes
25 of 91 · 27%
Total strikes
26 of 92 · 28%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:20
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 36%Body 52%Legs 12%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LDonald CerroneJan 2019KO R20:22 ctrl49 str0 td
Significant strikes
49 of 105 · 47%
Total strikes
54 of 110 · 49%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:22
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:43
Kick to Head At Distance
Target
Head 41%Body 51%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 65%Clinch 35%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WOlivier Aubin-MercierJul 2018U-DEC7:11 ctrl39 str4 td
Significant strikes
39 of 81 · 48%
Total strikes
86 of 137 · 63%
Takedowns
4 of 10 · 40%
Control
7:11
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 62%Body 38%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 26%Clinch 44%Ground 31%
This fight on UFCStats
WBeneil DariushMar 2018KO R10:01 ctrl8 str0 td
Significant strikes
8 of 13 · 62%
Total strikes
9 of 14 · 64%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:01
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:42
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 63%Body 38%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 0%Ground 25%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.