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Christian Leroy Duncan

15-2-0
31y·6' 2"·79" reach·Switch
3:03
Control / 15m
time on top
+2.09
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
63%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.6
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in March 2025, 94 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 10 recorded bouts, 469 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 49%Body 17%Legs 34%
Position
Distance 74%Clinch 19%Ground 7%
And how often each lands
Head45%
Body68%
Legs87%
Distance54%
Clinch76%
Ground74%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

8Wins5 KO · 3 DEC
2Losses2 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

34%
Todorovic
8%
Petrosyan
52%
Tiuliulin
32%
Ribeiro
12%
Rodrigues
37%
Pulyaev
17%
Anders
14%
Tulio
8%
Dolidze
15%
Cannonier

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.15100%10
R25.42131%8
R33.6488%5

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min4.45
Strikes absorbed / min2.36
Striking accuracyof everything thrown57%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed54%
Takedowns / 15 min0.43
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land20%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed57%
Sub attempts / 15 min0
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together6.81
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 10 bouts10.5m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

53.5%
Landed at range
648 thrown over 10 bouts
45.8%
Expected
against these opponents
+7.8pp
Gap
above expected
69.9%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

WJared CannonierJul 2026U-DEC2:16 ctrl68 str1 td
Significant strikes
68 of 117 · 58%
Total strikes
94 of 148 · 64%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
2:16
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 54%Body 25%Legs 21%
Position
Distance 63%Clinch 37%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WRoman DolidzeMar 2026U-DEC1:08 ctrl54 str0 td
Significant strikes
54 of 99 · 55%
Total strikes
78 of 125 · 62%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
1:08
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 33%Body 11%Legs 56%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 2%Ground 4%
This fight on UFCStats
WMarco TulioNov 2025KO R21:10 ctrl23 str1 td
Significant strikes
23 of 46 · 50%
Total strikes
40 of 66 · 61%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
1:10
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:20
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 48%Body 13%Legs 39%
Position
Distance 87%Clinch 4%Ground 9%
This fight on UFCStats
WEryk AndersAug 2025KO R10:39 ctrl24 str0 td
Significant strikes
24 of 43 · 56%
Total strikes
27 of 46 · 59%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:39
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:53
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 38%Body 13%Legs 50%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 13%Ground 4%
This fight on UFCStats
WAndrey PulyaevMar 2025U-DEC5:36 ctrl73 str0 td
Significant strikes
73 of 141 · 52%
Total strikes
116 of 187 · 62%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
5:36
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 48%Body 23%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 64%Clinch 36%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LGregory RodriguesJul 2024U-DEC1:45 ctrl29 str0 td
Significant strikes
29 of 48 · 60%
Total strikes
53 of 77 · 69%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:45
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 45%Body 24%Legs 31%
Position
Distance 79%Clinch 21%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WClaudio RibeiroMar 2024KO R22:15 ctrl65 str1 td
Significant strikes
65 of 92 · 71%
Total strikes
75 of 105 · 71%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
2:15
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:57
Punches to Head From Back Control
Target
Head 60%Body 12%Legs 28%
Position
Distance 48%Clinch 18%Ground 34%
This fight on UFCStats
WDenis TiuliulinNov 2023KO R24:51 ctrl65 str0 td
Significant strikes
65 of 87 · 75%
Total strikes
90 of 123 · 73%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
4:51
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:24
Punches to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 68%Body 12%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 71%Clinch 25%Ground 5%
This fight on UFCStats
LArmen PetrosyanJun 2023U-DEC1:09 ctrl59 str0 td
Significant strikes
59 of 122 · 48%
Total strikes
73 of 136 · 54%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
1:09
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 39%Body 14%Legs 47%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 0%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
WDusko TodorovicMar 2023KO R10:38 ctrl9 str0 td
Significant strikes
9 of 14 · 64%
Total strikes
14 of 19 · 74%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:38
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:52
to Injury
Target
Head 33%Body 22%Legs 44%
Position
Distance 89%Clinch 11%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.