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Aleksandar Rakic

15-6-0
34y·6' 4"·78" reach·Orthodox
4:35
Control / 15m
time on top
+1.42
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
29%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.7
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss April 2024. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Oct 2025

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in March 2021, 75 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Oct 2025

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 12 recorded bouts, 556 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 51%Body 19%Legs 31%
Position
Distance 70%Clinch 9%Ground 21%
And how often each lands
Head38%
Body77%
Legs77%
Distance44%
Clinch81%
Ground77%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

7Wins2 KO · 5 DEC
5Losses3 KO · 2 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

1%
Barroso
83%
Ledet
27%
Clark
2%
Manuwa
18%
Oezdemir
82%
Smith
17%
Santos
41%
Blachowicz
0%
Prochazka
7%
Ankalaev
19%
Murzakanov
21%
Tybura

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.58100%12
R24.2793%9
R33.5477%8

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min4.2
Strikes absorbed / min2.78
Striking accuracyof everything thrown50%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed54%
Takedowns / 15 min0.57
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land21%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed86%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.1
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together6.98
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 12 bouts11.0m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

43.9%
Landed at range
886 thrown over 12 bouts
39.9%
Expected
against these opponents
+4.0pp
Gap
above expected
89.5%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

WMarcin TyburaAug 2026U-DEC3:11 ctrl71 str0 td
Significant strikes
71 of 136 · 52%
Total strikes
83 of 149 · 56%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
3:11
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 39%Body 38%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 93%Clinch 7%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LAzamat MurzakanovOct 2025KO R10:36 ctrl9 str0 td
Significant strikes
9 of 14 · 64%
Total strikes
13 of 18 · 72%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:36
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:11
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 0%Body 33%Legs 67%
Position
Distance 89%Clinch 11%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LMagomed AnkalaevOct 2024U-DEC1:00 ctrl53 str0 td
Significant strikes
53 of 117 · 45%
Total strikes
59 of 123 · 48%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
1:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 19%Body 17%Legs 64%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 6%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJiri ProchazkaApr 2024KO R20:00 ctrl58 str0 td
Significant strikes
58 of 109 · 53%
Total strikes
58 of 109 · 53%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:17
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 59%Body 2%Legs 40%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 3%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJan BlachowiczMay 2022KO R34:33 ctrl27 str1 td
Significant strikes
27 of 85 · 32%
Total strikes
61 of 125 · 49%
Takedowns
1 of 4 · 25%
Control
4:33
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 1:11
to Injury
Target
Head 52%Body 7%Legs 41%
Position
Distance 63%Clinch 0%Ground 37%
This fight on UFCStats
WThiago SantosMar 2021U-DEC2:32 ctrl36 str0 td
Significant strikes
36 of 89 · 40%
Total strikes
50 of 103 · 49%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
2:32
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 22%Body 36%Legs 42%
Position
Distance 81%Clinch 19%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WAnthony SmithAug 2020U-DEC12:14 ctrl44 str0 td
Significant strikes
44 of 57 · 77%
Total strikes
141 of 159 · 89%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
12:14
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 36%Body 16%Legs 48%
Position
Distance 57%Clinch 5%Ground 39%
This fight on UFCStats
LVolkan OezdemirDec 2019S-DEC2:38 ctrl75 str1 td
Significant strikes
75 of 147 · 51%
Total strikes
87 of 162 · 54%
Takedowns
1 of 9 · 11%
Control
2:38
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 65%Body 21%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 76%Clinch 24%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WJimi ManuwaJun 2019KO R10:01 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 7 · 29%
Total strikes
2 of 7 · 29%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:01
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:47
Kick to Head At Distance
Target
Head 50%Body 0%Legs 50%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WDevin ClarkDec 2018KO R11:06 ctrl31 str0 td
Significant strikes
31 of 45 · 69%
Total strikes
33 of 47 · 70%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
1:06
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:05
Spinning Back Fist Head
Target
Head 39%Body 32%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 35%Clinch 32%Ground 32%
This fight on UFCStats
WJustin LedetJul 2018U-DEC12:23 ctrl104 str3 td
Significant strikes
104 of 144 · 72%
Total strikes
263 of 317 · 83%
Takedowns
3 of 4 · 75%
Control
12:23
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 85%Body 5%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 23%Clinch 2%Ground 75%
This fight on UFCStats
WFrancimar BarrosoSep 2017U-DEC0:13 ctrl46 str0 td
Significant strikes
46 of 150 · 31%
Total strikes
75 of 179 · 42%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:13
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 48%Body 22%Legs 30%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 4%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.