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Alessandro Costa

17-5-0
30y·5' 4"·67" reach·Orthodox
1:24
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.06
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
83%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
1.4
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss December 2022. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Sep 2025

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 8 recorded bouts, 277 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 61%Body 19%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 8%Ground 17%
And how often each lands
Head42%
Body69%
Legs69%
Distance44%
Clinch76%
Ground78%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

6Wins4 KO · 1 SUB · 1 DEC
3Losses2 KO · 1 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

0%
Albazi
14%
Flick
8%
Erceg
11%
Borjas
13%
Coria
13%
Nicoll
3%
Schnell
14%
Durden

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.32100%8
R23.8288%7
R32.5058%3

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.77
Strikes absorbed / min3.71
Striking accuracyof everything thrown46%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed57%
Takedowns / 15 min0.7
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land26%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed87%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.7
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together7.48
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 8 bouts8.8m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

43.6%
Landed at range
463 thrown over 7 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

WCody DurdenJul 2026SUB R21:01 ctrl21 str0 td
Significant strikes
21 of 49 · 43%
Total strikes
25 of 53 · 47%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 2:19
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 71%Body 19%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 0%Ground 10%
This fight on UFCStats
WMatt SchnellJun 2026KO R10:05 ctrl19 str0 td
Significant strikes
19 of 23 · 83%
Total strikes
19 of 23 · 83%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:05
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:28
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 84%Body 11%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 37%Clinch 0%Ground 63%
This fight on UFCStats
WStewart NicollApr 2026KO R21:18 ctrl43 str2 td
Significant strikes
43 of 89 · 48%
Total strikes
47 of 97 · 48%
Takedowns
2 of 3 · 67%
Control
1:18
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:56
Punch to Body At Distance
Target
Head 60%Body 26%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 2%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
LAlden CoriaSep 2025KO R31:24 ctrl12 str1 td
Significant strikes
12 of 56 · 21%
Total strikes
14 of 59 · 24%
Takedowns
1 of 4 · 25%
Control
1:24
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 0:47
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 58%Body 8%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WKevin BorjasMay 2024KO R20:43 ctrl46 str0 td
Significant strikes
46 of 86 · 53%
Total strikes
60 of 104 · 58%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:43
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:35
Punches to Head From Mount
Target
Head 70%Body 4%Legs 26%
Position
Distance 54%Clinch 2%Ground 43%
This fight on UFCStats
LSteve ErcegNov 2023U-DEC1:14 ctrl54 str1 td
Significant strikes
54 of 97 · 56%
Total strikes
85 of 129 · 66%
Takedowns
1 of 6 · 17%
Control
1:14
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 57%Body 26%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 65%Clinch 35%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WJimmy FlickJun 2023KO R20:50 ctrl65 str0 td
Significant strikes
65 of 91 · 71%
Total strikes
65 of 92 · 71%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:50
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:03
Elbows to Head From Half Guard
Target
Head 57%Body 18%Legs 25%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 0%Ground 17%
This fight on UFCStats
LAmir AlbaziDec 2022KO R30:00 ctrl17 str0 td
Significant strikes
17 of 71 · 24%
Total strikes
38 of 107 · 36%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 2:13
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 35%Body 35%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 6%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.