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Alessio Di Chirico

13-7-0
36y·6' 0"·74" reach·Orthodox
1:34
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.12
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
50%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.8
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss August 2021. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Sep 2022

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in June 2019, 77 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Sep 2022

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 11 recorded bouts, 375 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 68%Body 18%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 84%Clinch 12%Ground 4%
And how often each lands
Head33%
Body59%
Legs83%
Distance37%
Clinch63%
Ground52%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

4Wins2 KO · 2 DEC
7Losses2 KO · 1 SUB · 4 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

3%
Velickovic
21%
McLellan
34%
Spicely
0%
Bamgbose
27%
Marquez
11%
Holland
5%
Muradov
0%
Cummings
1%
Buckley
0%
Alhassan
9%
Kopylov

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R12.93100%11
R23.31113%8
R33.88132%7

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.32
Strikes absorbed / min3.44
Striking accuracyof everything thrown39%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed61%
Takedowns / 15 min1.46
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land39%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed83%
Sub attempts / 15 min0
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together6.76
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 11 bouts10.3m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

37.3%
Landed at range
842 thrown over 11 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LRoman KopylovSep 2022KO R31:02 ctrl39 str0 td
Significant strikes
39 of 126 · 31%
Total strikes
43 of 131 · 33%
Takedowns
0 of 4 · 0%
Control
1:02
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 1:09
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 74%Body 15%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 3%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LAbdul Razak AlhassanAug 2021KO R10:00 ctrl1 str0 td
Significant strikes
1 of 2 · 50%
Total strikes
1 of 2 · 50%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:17
Kick to Head At Distance
Target
Head 0%Body 100%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WJoaquin BuckleyJan 2021KO R10:01 ctrl12 str0 td
Significant strikes
12 of 23 · 52%
Total strikes
12 of 23 · 52%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:01
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:12
Kick to Head At Distance
Target
Head 50%Body 33%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 0%Ground 25%
This fight on UFCStats
LZak CummingsAug 2020U-DEC0:00 ctrl53 str0 td
Significant strikes
53 of 157 · 34%
Total strikes
53 of 157 · 34%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 62%Body 23%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LMakhmud MuradovSep 2019U-DEC0:43 ctrl36 str0 td
Significant strikes
36 of 113 · 32%
Total strikes
37 of 114 · 32%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:43
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 86%Body 0%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 17%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LKevin HollandJun 2019U-DEC1:42 ctrl51 str2 td
Significant strikes
51 of 84 · 61%
Total strikes
62 of 97 · 64%
Takedowns
2 of 4 · 50%
Control
1:42
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 57%Body 12%Legs 31%
Position
Distance 69%Clinch 29%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
WJulian MarquezJul 2018S-DEC3:59 ctrl50 str4 td
Significant strikes
50 of 116 · 43%
Total strikes
55 of 122 · 45%
Takedowns
4 of 6 · 67%
Control
3:59
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 60%Body 28%Legs 12%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 2%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
WOluwale BamgboseDec 2017KO R20:02 ctrl6 str1 td
Significant strikes
6 of 37 · 16%
Total strikes
6 of 37 · 16%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
0:02
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 2:14
Knee to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 67%Body 17%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 50%Clinch 50%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LEric SpicelyJan 2017SUB R10:45 ctrl1 str0 td
Significant strikes
1 of 2 · 50%
Total strikes
1 of 2 · 50%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:45
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:14
Triangle Choke From Bottom Guard
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WGarreth McLellanAug 2016S-DEC3:06 ctrl61 str2 td
Significant strikes
61 of 136 · 45%
Total strikes
114 of 198 · 58%
Takedowns
2 of 6 · 33%
Control
3:06
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 84%Body 11%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 59%Clinch 26%Ground 15%
This fight on UFCStats
LBojan VelickovicApr 2016U-DEC0:27 ctrl65 str2 td
Significant strikes
65 of 148 · 44%
Total strikes
78 of 161 · 48%
Takedowns
2 of 3 · 67%
Control
0:27
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 62%Body 25%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 3%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.