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Alexandr Romanov

18-3-0
35y·6' 2"·75" reach·Southpaw
7:19
Control / 15m
time on top
+1.65
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
57%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss March 2023. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 10 recorded bouts, 328 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 74%Body 12%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 48%Clinch 8%Ground 44%
And how often each lands
Head45%
Body77%
Legs96%
Distance48%
Clinch77%
Ground53%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

7Wins1 KO · 3 SUB · 3 DEC
3Losses1 KO · 1 SUB · 1 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

88%
Martinez
80%
Lima
51%
Espino
67%
Vanderaa
90%
Sherman
34%
Tybura
28%
Volkov
19%
Ivanov
0%
Almeida
50%
Nascimento

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R12.28100%10
R25.02220%6
R35.40237%4

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.78
Strikes absorbed / min2.13
Striking accuracyof everything thrown51%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed54%
Takedowns / 15 min4.49
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land55%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed28%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.9
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together5.91
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 10 bouts8.7m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

47.9%
Landed at range
330 thrown over 8 bouts
44.7%
Expected
against these opponents
+3.2pp
Gap
above expected
84.4%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

WRodrigo NascimentoNov 2024U-DEC7:33 ctrl45 str6 td
Significant strikes
45 of 92 · 49%
Total strikes
87 of 135 · 64%
Takedowns
6 of 10 · 60%
Control
7:33
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 82%Body 7%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 87%Clinch 9%Ground 4%
This fight on UFCStats
LJailton AlmeidaJun 2024SUB R10:00 ctrl1 str0 td
Significant strikes
1 of 1 · 100%
Total strikes
1 of 1 · 100%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:27
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 0%Body 0%Legs 100%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WBlagoy IvanovJul 2023U-DEC2:53 ctrl85 str2 td
Significant strikes
85 of 154 · 55%
Total strikes
104 of 180 · 58%
Takedowns
2 of 3 · 67%
Control
2:53
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 61%Body 13%Legs 26%
Position
Distance 87%Clinch 5%Ground 8%
This fight on UFCStats
LAlexander VolkovMar 2023KO R10:38 ctrl0 str0 td
Significant strikes
0 of 1 · 0%
Total strikes
0 of 1 · 0%
Takedowns
0 of 5 · 0%
Control
0:38
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:16
Punches to Head On Ground
This fight on UFCStats
LMarcin TyburaAug 2022M-DEC5:02 ctrl40 str2 td
Significant strikes
40 of 88 · 45%
Total strikes
95 of 160 · 59%
Takedowns
2 of 6 · 33%
Control
5:02
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Majority decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 60%Body 18%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 53%Clinch 23%Ground 25%
This fight on UFCStats
WChase ShermanApr 2022SUB R11:58 ctrl8 str3 td
Significant strikes
8 of 14 · 57%
Total strikes
11 of 17 · 65%
Takedowns
3 of 3 · 100%
Control
1:58
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:11
Keylock From Mount
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 0%Clinch 0%Ground 100%
This fight on UFCStats
WJared VanderaaOct 2021KO R26:31 ctrl56 str5 td
Significant strikes
56 of 78 · 72%
Total strikes
78 of 103 · 76%
Takedowns
5 of 7 · 71%
Control
6:31
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:43
Punches to Head From Mount
Target
Head 86%Body 11%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 20%Clinch 0%Ground 80%
This fight on UFCStats
WJuan EspinoApr 2021S-DEC R35:41 ctrl32 str2 td
Significant strikes
32 of 53 · 60%
Total strikes
53 of 77 · 69%
Takedowns
2 of 4 · 50%
Control
5:41
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, R3 1:05
Target
Head 72%Body 13%Legs 16%
Position
Distance 25%Clinch 19%Ground 56%
This fight on UFCStats
WMarcos Rogerio de LimaNov 2020SUB R13:51 ctrl6 str2 td
Significant strikes
6 of 7 · 86%
Total strikes
10 of 12 · 83%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
3:51
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 4:48
Forearm Choke From Half Guard
Target
Head 50%Body 17%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 0%Clinch 50%Ground 50%
This fight on UFCStats
WRoque MartinezSep 2020SUB R28:15 ctrl55 str4 td
Significant strikes
55 of 147 · 37%
Total strikes
60 of 160 · 38%
Takedowns
4 of 4 · 100%
Control
8:15
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 4:22
Arm Triangle From Mount
Target
Head 85%Body 15%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 7%Clinch 2%Ground 91%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.