Chin Decay
PredictiveFirst KO loss July 2023. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.
Fired again Oct 2025
Read the researchThe Record
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Andre Muniz
24-8-0
36y·6' 1"·78" reach·Southpaw
5:14
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.38
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
50%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed
Tells
Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.
Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.
How they fight
Every significant strike they have landed across 10 recorded bouts, 170 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.
Target
Head 56%Body 21%Legs 22%
Position
Distance 86%Clinch 4%Ground 9%
And how often each lands
Head35%
Body63%
Legs93%
Distance43%
Clinch78%
Ground73%
How fights end
UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.
8Wins4 SUB · 4 DEC
4Losses3 KO · 1 SUB
Control, bout by bout
Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.
36%
Arroyo
1%
Fabinski
29%
Souza
72%
Anders
68%
Hall
2%
Allen
18%
Craig
64%
Park
0%
Aliskerov
6%
Shahbazyan
As the fight goes on
Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.
Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R12.28100%10
R21.7476%5
R31.2957%4
Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.
Career numbers
Strikes landed / min2.08
Strikes absorbed / min2.46
Striking accuracyof everything thrown48%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed51%
Takedowns / 15 min3.98
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land48%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed35%
Sub attempts / 15 min1.1
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together4.54
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 10 bouts8.9m
Earned Accuracy
How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.
43.0%
Landed at range
342 thrown over 10 bouts
45.9%
Expected
against these opponents
−3.0pp
Gap
below expected
75.6%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print
Distance strikes only
Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.
One pass, not a rating
How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.
Coverage, and who gets ranked
Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.
Short records get pulled to the middle
An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.
Bout log
LEdmen ShahbazyanOct 2025KO R10:18 ctrl15 str1 td
Significant strikes
15 of 38 · 39%
Total strikes
17 of 40 · 43%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
0:18
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:58
Elbows to Head From Half GuardTarget
Head 40%Body 13%Legs 47%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
LIkram AliskerovApr 2025KO R10:00 ctrl16 str0 td
Significant strikes
16 of 36 · 44%
Total strikes
16 of 36 · 44%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:54
Punches to Head From Half GuardTarget
Head 38%Body 38%Legs 25%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
WJunYong ParkDec 2023S-DEC9:34 ctrl14 str11 td
Significant strikes
14 of 30 · 47%
Total strikes
35 of 60 · 58%
Takedowns
11 of 14 · 79%
Control
9:34
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 71%Body 21%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 93%Clinch 0%Ground 7%
LPaul CraigJul 2023KO R21:47 ctrl24 str2 td
Significant strikes
24 of 40 · 60%
Total strikes
31 of 47 · 66%
Takedowns
2 of 2 · 100%
Control
1:47
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:40
Elbows to Head From MountTarget
Head 63%Body 8%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 63%Clinch 4%Ground 33%
LBrendan AllenFeb 2023SUB R30:15 ctrl43 str0 td
Significant strikes
43 of 112 · 38%
Total strikes
45 of 114 · 39%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
0:15
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 4:25
Rear Naked ChokeTarget
Head 58%Body 19%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
WUriah HallJul 2022U-DEC10:12 ctrl17 str4 td
Significant strikes
17 of 39 · 44%
Total strikes
99 of 185 · 54%
Takedowns
4 of 10 · 40%
Control
10:12
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 65%Body 12%Legs 24%
Position
Distance 71%Clinch 0%Ground 29%
WEryk AndersDec 2021SUB R12:18 ctrl8 str2 td
Significant strikes
8 of 16 · 50%
Total strikes
12 of 20 · 60%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
2:18
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 3:13
Armbar From Back ControlTarget
Head 75%Body 13%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 63%Clinch 25%Ground 13%
WJacare SouzaMay 2021SUB R11:10 ctrl7 str2 td
Significant strikes
7 of 12 · 58%
Total strikes
19 of 26 · 73%
Takedowns
2 of 3 · 67%
Control
1:10
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 3:59
Armbar From Bottom GuardTarget
Head 43%Body 29%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 86%Clinch 14%Ground 0%
WBartosz FabinskiSep 2020SUB R10:02 ctrl4 str0 td
Significant strikes
4 of 8 · 50%
Total strikes
19 of 23 · 83%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:02
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:42
Armbar From Bottom GuardTarget
Head 50%Body 50%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 50%Clinch 50%Ground 0%
WAntonio ArroyoNov 2019U-DEC5:22 ctrl22 str3 td
Significant strikes
22 of 42 · 52%
Total strikes
85 of 128 · 66%
Takedowns
3 of 7 · 43%
Control
5:22
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 55%Body 36%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 91%Clinch 5%Ground 5%