Chin Decay
PredictiveFirst KO loss November 2021. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.
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Andreas Michailidis
13-6-0
38y·6' 0"·76" reach·Orthodox
2:31
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.67
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
0%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed
Tells
Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.
Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.
How they fight
Every significant strike they have landed across 4 recorded bouts, 117 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.
Target
Head 55%Body 26%Legs 19%
Position
Distance 84%Clinch 11%Ground 5%
And how often each lands
Head40%
Body78%
Legs85%
Distance49%
Clinch68%
Ground86%
How fights end
UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.
1Wins1 DEC
3Losses2 KO · 1 DEC
Control, bout by bout
Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.
3%
Bukauskas
13%
Bhullar
75%
Pereira
4%
Fakhretdinov
As the fight goes on
Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.
Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.30100%4
R22.7282%3
R32.30—2
Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.
Career numbers
Strikes landed / min2.9
Strikes absorbed / min3.57
Striking accuracyof everything thrown51%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed44%
Takedowns / 15 min1.12
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land27%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed50%
Sub attempts / 15 min0
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together6.47
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 4 bouts10.1m
Earned Accuracy
How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.
48.8%
Landed at range
201 thrown over 4 bouts
—
Expected
against these opponents
—
Gap
below the cutoffs
—
Coverage
from real records
It takes 5 bouts before this comparison says anything. There are 4 here, so it's only showing what they actually landed.
The fine print
Distance strikes only
Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.
One pass, not a rating
How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.
Coverage, and who gets ranked
Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.
Short records get pulled to the middle
An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.
Bout log
LRinat FakhretdinovJun 2022U-DEC0:39 ctrl18 str0 td
Significant strikes
18 of 33 · 55%
Total strikes
48 of 65 · 74%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:39
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 39%Body 28%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 50%Clinch 39%Ground 11%
LAlex PereiraNov 2021KO R23:59 ctrl3 str2 td
Significant strikes
3 of 11 · 27%
Total strikes
11 of 19 · 58%
Takedowns
2 of 7 · 29%
Control
3:59
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 0:18
Flying Knee HeadTarget
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 0%Clinch 67%Ground 33%
WKB BhullarMay 2021U-DEC1:59 ctrl73 str1 td
Significant strikes
73 of 137 · 53%
Total strikes
75 of 139 · 54%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
1:59
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 63%Body 26%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 5%Ground 4%
LModestas BukauskasJul 2020KO R10:09 ctrl23 str0 td
Significant strikes
23 of 46 · 50%
Total strikes
23 of 46 · 50%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:09
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 5:00
to Referee Stoppage Between RoundsTarget
Head 35%Body 30%Legs 35%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%