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Anthony Smith

38-22-0
38y·6' 4"·76" reach·Orthodox
0:57
Control / 15m
time on top
-1.85
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
87%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.8
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss February 2018. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Apr 2025

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in April 2017, 90 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Apr 2025

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 25 recorded bouts, 840 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 63%Body 18%Legs 19%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 8%Ground 4%
And how often each lands
Head42%
Body67%
Legs89%
Distance48%
Clinch72%
Ground74%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

15Wins7 KO · 6 SUB · 2 DEC
14Losses7 KO · 2 SUB · 5 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

4%
Neto
26%
Guimaraes
0%
Ferreira
1%
Mutapcic
8%
Sanchez
0%
Lombard
14%
Santos
8%
Evans
1%
Rua
10%
Oezdemir
0%
Jones
8%
Gustafsson
1%
Teixeira
4%
Rakic
51%
Clark
1%
Crute
43%
Spann
10%
Ankalaev
9%
Walker
6%
Spann
2%
Jr.
0%
Petrino
0%
Dolidze
0%
Reyes
7%
Mingyang

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.58100%25
R23.2691%17
R33.1387%13
R41.6747%3
R51.152

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.19
Strikes absorbed / min5.04
Striking accuracyof everything thrown49%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed44%
Takedowns / 15 min0.44
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land22%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed50%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.6
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together8.23
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 25 bouts10.4m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

48.0%
Landed at range
1,539 thrown over 25 bouts
41.0%
Expected
against these opponents
+7.0pp
Gap
above expected
78.7%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LZhang MingyangApr 2025KO R10:16 ctrl10 str0 td
Significant strikes
10 of 21 · 48%
Total strikes
11 of 22 · 50%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:16
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:03
Elbows to Head On Ground
Target
Head 80%Body 20%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LDominick ReyesDec 2024KO R20:01 ctrl21 str0 td
Significant strikes
21 of 46 · 46%
Total strikes
24 of 49 · 49%
Takedowns
0 of 4 · 0%
Control
0:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:46
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 67%Body 24%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 10%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LRoman DolidzeJun 2024U-DEC0:00 ctrl51 str0 td
Significant strikes
51 of 93 · 55%
Total strikes
51 of 93 · 55%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 53%Body 8%Legs 39%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WVitor PetrinoMay 2024SUB R10:00 ctrl11 str0 td
Significant strikes
11 of 20 · 55%
Total strikes
11 of 20 · 55%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:00
Guillotine Choke On Ground
Target
Head 64%Body 0%Legs 36%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LKhalil Rountree Jr.Dec 2023KO R30:11 ctrl47 str0 td
Significant strikes
47 of 84 · 56%
Total strikes
52 of 89 · 58%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:11
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 0:56
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 57%Body 30%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WRyan SpannAug 2023S-DEC0:56 ctrl91 str1 td
Significant strikes
91 of 147 · 62%
Total strikes
91 of 147 · 62%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
0:56
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 48%Body 13%Legs 38%
Position
Distance 99%Clinch 1%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJohnny WalkerMay 2023U-DEC1:22 ctrl38 str1 td
Significant strikes
38 of 92 · 41%
Total strikes
41 of 95 · 43%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
1:22
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 50%Body 26%Legs 24%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LMagomed AnkalaevJul 2022KO R20:51 ctrl18 str0 td
Significant strikes
18 of 36 · 50%
Total strikes
21 of 39 · 54%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:51
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:09
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 33%Body 28%Legs 39%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 0%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
WRyan SpannSep 2021SUB R11:38 ctrl17 str0 td
Significant strikes
17 of 28 · 61%
Total strikes
18 of 29 · 62%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:38
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 3:47
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 65%Body 18%Legs 18%
Position
Distance 65%Clinch 0%Ground 35%
This fight on UFCStats
WJimmy CruteApr 2021DOC R10:02 ctrl26 str0 td
Significant strikes
26 of 39 · 67%
Total strikes
27 of 40 · 68%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:02
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Doctor's stoppage, R1 5:00
Leg Injury
Target
Head 77%Body 15%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WDevin ClarkNov 2020SUB R11:18 ctrl1 str1 td
Significant strikes
1 of 4 · 25%
Total strikes
4 of 8 · 50%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
1:18
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:34
Triangle Choke From Bottom Guard
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 0%Clinch 0%Ground 100%
This fight on UFCStats
LAleksandar RakicAug 2020U-DEC0:36 ctrl9 str0 td
Significant strikes
9 of 21 · 43%
Total strikes
40 of 53 · 75%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:36
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 56%Body 0%Legs 44%
Position
Distance 67%Clinch 11%Ground 22%
This fight on UFCStats
LGlover TeixeiraMay 2020KO R50:07 ctrl86 str1 td
Significant strikes
86 of 210 · 41%
Total strikes
87 of 212 · 41%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
0:07
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R5 1:04
Punches to Head From Mount
Target
Head 73%Body 20%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 99%Clinch 1%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WAlexander GustafssonJun 2019SUB R41:24 ctrl49 str0 td
Significant strikes
49 of 104 · 47%
Total strikes
51 of 107 · 48%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
1:24
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R4 2:38
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 39%Body 22%Legs 39%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 0%Ground 10%
This fight on UFCStats
LJon JonesMar 2019U-DEC0:00 ctrl36 str0 td
Significant strikes
36 of 66 · 55%
Total strikes
45 of 75 · 60%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 42%Body 25%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 86%Clinch 14%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WVolkan OezdemirOct 2018SUB R31:29 ctrl63 str1 td
Significant strikes
63 of 117 · 54%
Total strikes
67 of 121 · 55%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
1:29
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 4:26
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 65%Body 25%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 76%Clinch 22%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
WMauricio RuaJul 2018KO R10:01 ctrl23 str0 td
Significant strikes
23 of 31 · 74%
Total strikes
23 of 31 · 74%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:01
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:29
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 91%Body 0%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WRashad EvansJun 2018KO R10:04 ctrl6 str0 td
Significant strikes
6 of 9 · 67%
Total strikes
6 of 9 · 67%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:04
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:53
Knee to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 67%Body 0%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 33%Clinch 33%Ground 33%
This fight on UFCStats
LThiago SantosFeb 2018KO R20:51 ctrl10 str1 td
Significant strikes
10 of 22 · 45%
Total strikes
13 of 26 · 50%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
0:51
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:03
Kick to Body At Distance
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 80%Clinch 10%Ground 10%
This fight on UFCStats
WHector LombardSep 2017KO R30:03 ctrl35 str0 td
Significant strikes
35 of 115 · 30%
Total strikes
38 of 118 · 32%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:03
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 2:33
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 77%Body 17%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 77%Clinch 17%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
WAndrew SanchezApr 2017KO R31:07 ctrl49 str0 td
Significant strikes
49 of 100 · 49%
Total strikes
58 of 111 · 52%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
1:07
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 3:52
Kick to Head At Distance
Target
Head 67%Body 24%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 71%Clinch 16%Ground 12%
This fight on UFCStats
WElvis MutapcicDec 2016KO R20:03 ctrl48 str0 td
Significant strikes
48 of 90 · 53%
Total strikes
52 of 94 · 55%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:03
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:27
Elbow to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 85%Body 8%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 10%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
LCezar FerreiraJul 2016U-DEC0:03 ctrl33 str0 td
Significant strikes
33 of 63 · 52%
Total strikes
41 of 71 · 58%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:03
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 67%Body 18%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 79%Clinch 18%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
WLeonardo GuimaraesFeb 2016U-DEC3:56 ctrl57 str2 td
Significant strikes
57 of 101 · 56%
Total strikes
66 of 111 · 59%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
3:56
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 70%Body 23%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 70%Clinch 16%Ground 14%
This fight on UFCStats
LAntonio Braga NetoJun 2013SUB R10:04 ctrl5 str0 td
Significant strikes
5 of 19 · 26%
Total strikes
5 of 19 · 26%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:04
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Submission, R1 1:52
Kneebar On Ground
Target
Head 40%Body 40%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 60%Clinch 40%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.