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Ben Rothwell

39-14-0
44y·6' 4"·78" reach·Orthodox
2:50
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.92
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
75%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.6
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss October 2009. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Nov 2021

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 17 recorded bouts, 681 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 73%Body 16%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 79%Clinch 13%Ground 9%
And how often each lands
Head37%
Body80%
Legs93%
Distance40%
Clinch66%
Ground69%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

16Wins9 KO · 3 SUB · 4 DEC
9Losses3 KO · 1 SUB · 5 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

0%
Velasquez
82%
Yvel
15%
Hunt
3%
Schaub
10%
Gonzaga
14%
Vera
9%
Overeem
2%
Mitrione
1%
Barnett
0%
Santos
0%
Ivanov
15%
Arlovski
47%
Struve
39%
Preux
2%
Tybura
29%
Barnett
0%
Lima

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.70100%17
R24.48121%13
R34.15112%8
R43.601
R52.201

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.71
Strikes absorbed / min4.63
Striking accuracyof everything thrown42%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed47%
Takedowns / 15 min0.68
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land34%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed70%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.4
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together8.34
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 17 bouts10.0m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

39.5%
Landed at range
1,358 thrown over 17 bouts
39.7%
Expected
against these opponents
−0.2pp
Gap
below expected
80.2%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LMarcos Rogerio de LimaNov 2021KO R10:00 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 8 · 25%
Total strikes
2 of 8 · 25%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:32
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WChris BarnettMay 2021SUB R22:03 ctrl60 str1 td
Significant strikes
60 of 101 · 59%
Total strikes
72 of 120 · 60%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
2:03
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 2:07
Guillotine Choke From Side Control
Target
Head 78%Body 17%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 10%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LMarcin TyburaOct 2020U-DEC0:19 ctrl89 str0 td
Significant strikes
89 of 276 · 32%
Total strikes
95 of 287 · 33%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:19
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 71%Body 18%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 12%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WOvince Saint PreuxMay 2020S-DEC5:49 ctrl56 str1 td
Significant strikes
56 of 110 · 51%
Total strikes
86 of 142 · 61%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
5:49
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 66%Body 27%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 71%Clinch 25%Ground 4%
This fight on UFCStats
WStefan StruveDec 2019KO R24:38 ctrl58 str0 td
Significant strikes
58 of 101 · 57%
Total strikes
71 of 114 · 62%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
4:38
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:57
Punches to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 71%Body 22%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 57%Clinch 34%Ground 9%
This fight on UFCStats
LAndrei ArlovskiJul 2019U-DEC2:14 ctrl70 str0 td
Significant strikes
70 of 177 · 40%
Total strikes
75 of 183 · 41%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
2:14
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 79%Body 13%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LBlagoy IvanovMar 2019U-DEC0:00 ctrl70 str0 td
Significant strikes
70 of 163 · 43%
Total strikes
70 of 163 · 43%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 67%Body 9%Legs 24%
Position
Distance 99%Clinch 1%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJunior Dos SantosApr 2016U-DEC0:01 ctrl77 str0 td
Significant strikes
77 of 212 · 36%
Total strikes
78 of 213 · 37%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 66%Body 9%Legs 25%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 3%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WJosh BarnettJan 2016SUB R20:07 ctrl35 str0 td
Significant strikes
35 of 91 · 38%
Total strikes
38 of 94 · 40%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:07
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 3:48
Guillotine Choke From Front Headlock
Target
Head 69%Body 14%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WMatt MitrioneJun 2015SUB R10:02 ctrl5 str0 td
Significant strikes
5 of 16 · 31%
Total strikes
6 of 17 · 35%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:02
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 1:54
Guillotine Choke On Ground
Target
Head 80%Body 0%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WAlistair OvereemSep 2014KO R10:13 ctrl17 str0 td
Significant strikes
17 of 27 · 63%
Total strikes
22 of 32 · 69%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:13
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:19
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 88%Body 12%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 71%Clinch 0%Ground 29%
This fight on UFCStats
WBrandon VeraAug 2013KO R31:40 ctrl56 str0 td
Significant strikes
56 of 103 · 54%
Total strikes
60 of 107 · 56%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:40
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 1:54
Punches to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 71%Body 18%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 63%Clinch 38%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LGabriel GonzagaJan 2013SUB R20:37 ctrl12 str0 td
Significant strikes
12 of 27 · 44%
Total strikes
15 of 32 · 47%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:37
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 1:01
Guillotine Choke After Drop to Guard
Target
Head 83%Body 17%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 25%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WBrendan SchaubApr 2012KO R10:02 ctrl8 str0 td
Significant strikes
8 of 17 · 47%
Total strikes
8 of 18 · 44%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:02
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:10
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 75%Body 25%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 63%Clinch 25%Ground 13%
This fight on UFCStats
LMark HuntSep 2011U-DEC2:12 ctrl19 str2 td
Significant strikes
19 of 50 · 38%
Total strikes
23 of 54 · 43%
Takedowns
2 of 14 · 14%
Control
2:12
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 47%Clinch 0%Ground 53%
This fight on UFCStats
WGilbert YvelJun 2010U-DEC12:20 ctrl44 str5 td
Significant strikes
44 of 72 · 61%
Total strikes
120 of 167 · 72%
Takedowns
5 of 7 · 71%
Control
12:20
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 73%Body 27%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 7%Clinch 14%Ground 80%
This fight on UFCStats
LCain VelasquezOct 2009KO R20:00 ctrl3 str0 td
Significant strikes
3 of 21 · 14%
Total strikes
3 of 21 · 14%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 0:58
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.