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Bill Algeo

18-9-0
37y·6' 0"·73" reach·Switch
2:49
Control / 15m
time on top
+1.50
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
40%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.3
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss March 2024. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Jul 2024

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in July 2022, 132 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Jul 2024

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 10 recorded bouts, 624 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 56%Body 24%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 80%Clinch 10%Ground 10%
And how often each lands
Head42%
Body66%
Legs80%
Distance47%
Clinch76%
Ground86%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

5Wins1 KO · 1 SUB · 3 DEC
6Losses2 KO · 4 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

9%
Lamas
28%
Carlyle
5%
Ramos
34%
Brito
80%
Burns
1%
Fili
26%
Brown
1%
Hernandez
0%
Nelson
36%
Choi

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R15.24100%10
R25.82111%9
R35.0396%6

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min5.88
Strikes absorbed / min4.38
Striking accuracyof everything thrown51%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed47%
Takedowns / 15 min1.03
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land50%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed55%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.1
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together10.26
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 10 bouts11.6m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

46.9%
Landed at range
1,062 thrown over 10 bouts
41.0%
Expected
against these opponents
+5.9pp
Gap
above expected
81.3%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LDooho ChoiJul 2024KO R23:09 ctrl17 str2 td
Significant strikes
17 of 49 · 35%
Total strikes
38 of 74 · 51%
Takedowns
2 of 3 · 67%
Control
3:09
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:38
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 65%Body 18%Legs 18%
Position
Distance 82%Clinch 12%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
LKyle NelsonMar 2024KO R10:00 ctrl30 str0 td
Significant strikes
30 of 58 · 52%
Total strikes
44 of 73 · 60%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:00
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 37%Body 37%Legs 27%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WAlexander HernandezOct 2023U-DEC0:07 ctrl110 str1 td
Significant strikes
110 of 244 · 45%
Total strikes
119 of 257 · 46%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
0:07
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 42%Body 30%Legs 28%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WTJ BrownApr 2023SUB R21:42 ctrl64 str1 td
Significant strikes
64 of 110 · 58%
Total strikes
77 of 123 · 63%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
1:42
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 1:40
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 69%Body 9%Legs 22%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 8%Ground 17%
This fight on UFCStats
LAndre FiliSep 2022S-DEC0:07 ctrl81 str0 td
Significant strikes
81 of 170 · 48%
Total strikes
151 of 246 · 61%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
0:07
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 47%Body 21%Legs 32%
Position
Distance 99%Clinch 1%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WHerbert BurnsJul 2022KO R25:26 ctrl28 str1 td
Significant strikes
28 of 36 · 78%
Total strikes
81 of 104 · 78%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
5:26
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:50
to Knee Injury to Burns
Target
Head 75%Body 21%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 7%Clinch 7%Ground 86%
This fight on UFCStats
WJoanderson BritoJan 2022U-DEC5:02 ctrl59 str2 td
Significant strikes
59 of 118 · 50%
Total strikes
112 of 176 · 64%
Takedowns
2 of 2 · 100%
Control
5:02
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 75%Body 17%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 54%Clinch 29%Ground 17%
This fight on UFCStats
LRicardo RamosMay 2021U-DEC0:41 ctrl76 str0 td
Significant strikes
76 of 170 · 45%
Total strikes
90 of 187 · 48%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:41
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 46%Body 33%Legs 21%
Position
Distance 93%Clinch 5%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
WSpike CarlyleNov 2020U-DEC4:16 ctrl70 str1 td
Significant strikes
70 of 95 · 74%
Total strikes
118 of 150 · 79%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
4:16
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 63%Body 26%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 60%Clinch 20%Ground 20%
This fight on UFCStats
LRicardo LamasAug 2020U-DEC1:19 ctrl89 str1 td
Significant strikes
89 of 168 · 53%
Total strikes
145 of 224 · 65%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
1:19
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 64%Body 25%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 80%Clinch 18%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.