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Brad Katona

16-5-0
34y·5' 6"·64" reach·Orthodox
4:16
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.06
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
0%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss May 2025. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in September 2019, 92 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again May 2025

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 9 recorded bouts, 582 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 71%Body 13%Legs 16%
Position
Distance 73%Clinch 15%Ground 12%
And how often each lands
Head47%
Body64%
Legs88%
Distance48%
Clinch71%
Ground72%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

4Wins4 DEC
5Losses1 KO · 4 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

55%
Cucciniello
1%
Lopez
4%
Dvalishvili
43%
Azure
0%
Gibson
31%
Armfield
72%
Butler
24%
Matsumoto
0%
Almakhan

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.57100%9
R24.85106%8
R35.00109%8

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min4.81
Strikes absorbed / min4.75
Striking accuracyof everything thrown52%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed50%
Takedowns / 15 min1.86
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land34%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed61%
Sub attempts / 15 min0
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together9.56
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 9 bouts13.4m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

47.8%
Landed at range
889 thrown over 9 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LBekzat AlmakhanMay 2025KO R10:00 ctrl1 str0 td
Significant strikes
1 of 4 · 25%
Total strikes
1 of 4 · 25%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:04
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJean MatsumotoOct 2024U-DEC3:35 ctrl89 str3 td
Significant strikes
89 of 141 · 63%
Total strikes
117 of 171 · 68%
Takedowns
3 of 8 · 38%
Control
3:35
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 76%Body 13%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 82%Clinch 17%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
WJesse ButlerJun 2024U-DEC10:50 ctrl68 str3 td
Significant strikes
68 of 113 · 60%
Total strikes
148 of 217 · 68%
Takedowns
3 of 3 · 100%
Control
10:50
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 87%Body 4%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 40%Clinch 1%Ground 59%
This fight on UFCStats
LGarrett ArmfieldJan 2024U-DEC4:35 ctrl64 str4 td
Significant strikes
64 of 155 · 41%
Total strikes
76 of 172 · 44%
Takedowns
4 of 9 · 44%
Control
4:35
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 77%Body 13%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 72%Clinch 27%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
WCody GibsonAug 2023U-DEC0:00 ctrl160 str0 td
Significant strikes
160 of 311 · 51%
Total strikes
173 of 327 · 53%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 73%Body 16%Legs 12%
Position
Distance 79%Clinch 21%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LHunter AzureSep 2019U-DEC6:23 ctrl21 str3 td
Significant strikes
21 of 60 · 35%
Total strikes
40 of 83 · 48%
Takedowns
3 of 12 · 25%
Control
6:23
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 86%Body 10%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 81%Clinch 19%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LMerab DvalishviliMay 2019U-DEC0:36 ctrl32 str0 td
Significant strikes
32 of 56 · 57%
Total strikes
43 of 70 · 61%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:36
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 66%Body 13%Legs 22%
Position
Distance 53%Clinch 38%Ground 9%
This fight on UFCStats
WMatthew LopezDec 2018U-DEC0:13 ctrl76 str0 td
Significant strikes
76 of 158 · 48%
Total strikes
86 of 170 · 51%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
0:13
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 53%Body 16%Legs 32%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 5%Ground 7%
This fight on UFCStats
WJay CuccinielloJul 2018U-DEC8:18 ctrl71 str2 td
Significant strikes
71 of 111 · 64%
Total strikes
117 of 167 · 70%
Takedowns
2 of 7 · 29%
Control
8:18
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 59%Body 11%Legs 30%
Position
Distance 70%Clinch 0%Ground 30%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.