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Brad Tavares

21-13-0
38y·6' 1"·74" reach·Orthodox
1:55
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.09
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
13%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.4
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss August 2014. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Sep 2025

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in September 2012, 52 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Sep 2025

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 28 recorded bouts, 1243 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 59%Body 17%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 84%Clinch 12%Ground 4%
And how often each lands
Head34%
Body65%
Legs84%
Distance41%
Clinch65%
Ground68%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

16Wins2 KO · 14 DEC
12Losses6 KO · 6 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

77%
Baczynski
17%
Baroni
6%
Simpson
15%
Yang
36%
Watson
0%
Fukuda
11%
McDaniel
21%
Larkin
8%
Romero
52%
Boetsch
3%
Marquardt
0%
Whittaker
13%
Magalhaes
14%
Theodorou
9%
Leites
21%
Jotko
8%
Adesanya
0%
Shahbazyan
1%
Junior
1%
Akhmedov
13%
Plessis
0%
Silva
0%
Weidman
0%
Rodrigues
5%
Park
0%
Meerschaert
12%
Bryczek
3%
Anders

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.10100%28
R23.68118%24
R33.69119%23
R41.601
R51.201

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.41
Strikes absorbed / min3.32
Striking accuracyof everything thrown43%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed54%
Takedowns / 15 min0.7
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land26%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed80%
Sub attempts / 15 min0
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together6.73
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 28 bouts13.0m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

41.2%
Landed at range
2,548 thrown over 28 bouts
36.5%
Expected
against these opponents
+4.7pp
Gap
above expected
76.8%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LEryk AndersMar 2026U-DEC0:29 ctrl48 str0 td
Significant strikes
48 of 86 · 56%
Total strikes
55 of 95 · 58%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:29
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 60%Body 35%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 65%Clinch 29%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
LRobert BryczekSep 2025KO R31:22 ctrl42 str1 td
Significant strikes
42 of 102 · 41%
Total strikes
50 of 111 · 45%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
1:22
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 1:43
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 40%Body 19%Legs 40%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WGerald MeerschaertApr 2025U-DEC0:01 ctrl47 str0 td
Significant strikes
47 of 109 · 43%
Total strikes
56 of 118 · 47%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 62%Body 26%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 4%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJunYong ParkOct 2024S-DEC0:42 ctrl65 str0 td
Significant strikes
65 of 149 · 44%
Total strikes
73 of 159 · 46%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:42
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 85%Body 3%Legs 12%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 0%Ground 5%
This fight on UFCStats
LGregory RodriguesFeb 2024KO R30:00 ctrl37 str0 td
Significant strikes
37 of 84 · 44%
Total strikes
42 of 90 · 47%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 0:55
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 76%Body 11%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 3%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WChris WeidmanAug 2023U-DEC0:00 ctrl70 str0 td
Significant strikes
70 of 115 · 61%
Total strikes
71 of 116 · 61%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 30%Body 11%Legs 59%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 3%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LBruno SilvaApr 2023KO R10:00 ctrl15 str0 td
Significant strikes
15 of 64 · 23%
Total strikes
15 of 65 · 23%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:35
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 73%Body 27%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LDricus Du PlessisJul 2022U-DEC2:01 ctrl82 str0 td
Significant strikes
82 of 150 · 55%
Total strikes
98 of 167 · 59%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
2:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 67%Body 26%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 84%Clinch 15%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
WOmari AkhmedovJul 2021S-DEC0:09 ctrl84 str0 td
Significant strikes
84 of 150 · 56%
Total strikes
88 of 155 · 57%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:09
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 57%Body 14%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 93%Clinch 6%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
WAntonio Carlos JuniorJan 2021U-DEC0:05 ctrl54 str0 td
Significant strikes
54 of 108 · 50%
Total strikes
73 of 135 · 54%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:05
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 52%Body 11%Legs 37%
Position
Distance 93%Clinch 7%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LEdmen ShahbazyanNov 2019KO R10:00 ctrl3 str0 td
Significant strikes
3 of 23 · 13%
Total strikes
3 of 23 · 13%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:27
Kick to Head At Distance
Target
Head 33%Body 33%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LIsrael AdesanyaJul 2018U-DEC2:05 ctrl40 str1 td
Significant strikes
40 of 174 · 23%
Total strikes
46 of 181 · 25%
Takedowns
1 of 12 · 8%
Control
2:05
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 85%Body 8%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 93%Clinch 3%Ground 5%
This fight on UFCStats
WKrzysztof JotkoApr 2018KO R32:33 ctrl46 str0 td
Significant strikes
46 of 96 · 48%
Total strikes
62 of 115 · 54%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
2:33
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 2:16
Punch to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 50%Body 13%Legs 37%
Position
Distance 72%Clinch 15%Ground 13%
This fight on UFCStats
WThales LeitesOct 2017U-DEC1:23 ctrl70 str0 td
Significant strikes
70 of 136 · 51%
Total strikes
80 of 146 · 55%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:23
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 61%Body 6%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 86%Clinch 7%Ground 7%
This fight on UFCStats
WElias TheodorouJul 2017U-DEC2:06 ctrl31 str1 td
Significant strikes
31 of 71 · 44%
Total strikes
34 of 74 · 46%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
2:06
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 58%Body 26%Legs 16%
Position
Distance 55%Clinch 45%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WCaio MagalhaesSep 2016S-DEC2:00 ctrl46 str0 td
Significant strikes
46 of 100 · 46%
Total strikes
58 of 112 · 52%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
2:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 46%Body 20%Legs 35%
Position
Distance 65%Clinch 33%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
LRobert WhittakerMay 2015KO R10:00 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 7 · 29%
Total strikes
2 of 7 · 29%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:44
Punch to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 0%Body 0%Legs 100%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WNate MarquardtJan 2015U-DEC0:29 ctrl50 str1 td
Significant strikes
50 of 119 · 42%
Total strikes
57 of 126 · 45%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
0:29
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 62%Body 14%Legs 24%
Position
Distance 84%Clinch 16%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LTim BoetschAug 2014KO R24:19 ctrl24 str0 td
Significant strikes
24 of 56 · 43%
Total strikes
37 of 70 · 53%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
4:19
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:18
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 71%Body 29%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 29%Clinch 71%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LYoel RomeroApr 2014U-DEC1:08 ctrl21 str0 td
Significant strikes
21 of 70 · 30%
Total strikes
35 of 87 · 40%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
1:08
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 43%Body 14%Legs 43%
Position
Distance 76%Clinch 24%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WLorenz LarkinJan 2014U-DEC3:11 ctrl45 str2 td
Significant strikes
45 of 112 · 40%
Total strikes
62 of 132 · 47%
Takedowns
2 of 9 · 22%
Control
3:11
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 42%Body 24%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WRobert McDanielAug 2013U-DEC1:37 ctrl30 str0 td
Significant strikes
30 of 79 · 38%
Total strikes
38 of 87 · 44%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
1:37
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 23%Body 23%Legs 53%
Position
Distance 70%Clinch 17%Ground 13%
This fight on UFCStats
WRiki FukudaMar 2013U-DEC0:00 ctrl116 str0 td
Significant strikes
116 of 254 · 46%
Total strikes
131 of 270 · 49%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 74%Body 16%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 3%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WTom WatsonSep 2012S-DEC5:25 ctrl83 str5 td
Significant strikes
83 of 173 · 48%
Total strikes
92 of 183 · 50%
Takedowns
5 of 12 · 42%
Control
5:25
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 75%Body 14%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 86%Clinch 13%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
WDongi YangMay 2012U-DEC2:18 ctrl39 str2 td
Significant strikes
39 of 159 · 25%
Total strikes
47 of 167 · 28%
Takedowns
2 of 3 · 67%
Control
2:18
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 33%Body 26%Legs 41%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 10%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LAaron SimpsonJul 2011U-DEC0:58 ctrl13 str1 td
Significant strikes
13 of 33 · 39%
Total strikes
41 of 62 · 66%
Takedowns
1 of 4 · 25%
Control
0:58
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 38%Body 38%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 69%Clinch 31%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WPhil BaroniJan 2011KO R10:44 ctrl22 str0 td
Significant strikes
22 of 31 · 71%
Total strikes
25 of 34 · 74%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
0:44
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:20
Punches to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 68%Body 18%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 36%Clinch 36%Ground 27%
This fight on UFCStats
WSeth BaczynskiJun 2010U-DEC11:33 ctrl18 str3 td
Significant strikes
18 of 34 · 53%
Total strikes
54 of 74 · 73%
Takedowns
3 of 6 · 50%
Control
11:33
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 72%Body 22%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 33%Clinch 6%Ground 61%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.