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Brandon Davis

14-10-0
36y·5' 10"·72" reach·Orthodox
1:06
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.06
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
33%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss October 2021. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in May 2018, 84 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Oct 2021

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 9 recorded bouts, 437 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 57%Body 17%Legs 27%
Position
Distance 89%Clinch 6%Ground 5%
And how often each lands
Head28%
Body63%
Legs79%
Distance36%
Clinch80%
Ground63%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

3Wins1 SUB · 2 DEC
7Losses1 KO · 1 SUB · 5 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

1%
Bochniak
4%
Peterson
6%
Barzola
0%
Magomedsharipov
20%
Costa
3%
Kang
20%
Chikadze
0%
Danaa
10%
Martinez

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.00100%9
R23.8696%8
R34.47112%6

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min4.68
Strikes absorbed / min4.62
Striking accuracyof everything thrown35%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed58%
Takedowns / 15 min0.74
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land42%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed57%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.1
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together9.3
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 9 bouts11.9m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

36.4%
Landed at range
1,068 thrown over 9 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LMana MartinezOct 2022S-DEC1:31 ctrl76 str1 td
Significant strikes
76 of 181 · 42%
Total strikes
84 of 189 · 44%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
1:31
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 57%Body 21%Legs 22%
Position
Distance 91%Clinch 4%Ground 5%
This fight on UFCStats
LBatgerel DanaaOct 2021KO R10:00 ctrl7 str0 td
Significant strikes
7 of 27 · 26%
Total strikes
7 of 27 · 26%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:01
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 57%Body 14%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LGiga ChikadzeSep 2019S-DEC3:02 ctrl34 str3 td
Significant strikes
34 of 99 · 34%
Total strikes
36 of 103 · 35%
Takedowns
3 of 7 · 43%
Control
3:02
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 59%Body 15%Legs 26%
Position
Distance 76%Clinch 9%Ground 15%
This fight on UFCStats
LKyung Ho KangAug 2019S-DEC0:24 ctrl77 str1 td
Significant strikes
77 of 187 · 41%
Total strikes
114 of 231 · 49%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
0:24
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 42%Body 22%Legs 36%
Position
Distance 81%Clinch 5%Ground 14%
This fight on UFCStats
WRandy CostaApr 2019SUB R21:16 ctrl35 str0 td
Significant strikes
35 of 88 · 40%
Total strikes
40 of 93 · 43%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:16
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 1:12
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 57%Body 17%Legs 26%
Position
Distance 86%Clinch 14%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LZabit MagomedsharipovSep 2018SUB R20:00 ctrl27 str0 td
Significant strikes
27 of 69 · 39%
Total strikes
29 of 71 · 41%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 3:46
Suloev Stretch From Back Control
Target
Head 30%Body 26%Legs 44%
Position
Distance 89%Clinch 11%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LEnrique BarzolaMay 2018U-DEC0:53 ctrl29 str0 td
Significant strikes
29 of 87 · 33%
Total strikes
39 of 102 · 38%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:53
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 62%Body 7%Legs 31%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 3%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WSteven PetersonFeb 2018U-DEC0:39 ctrl114 str0 td
Significant strikes
114 of 285 · 40%
Total strikes
119 of 291 · 41%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:39
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 73%Body 11%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 5%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LKyle BochniakJan 2018U-DEC0:08 ctrl38 str1 td
Significant strikes
38 of 112 · 34%
Total strikes
59 of 133 · 44%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
0:08
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 50%Body 18%Legs 32%
Position
Distance 92%Clinch 8%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.