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Brandon Royval

18-9-0
34y·5' 9"·68" reach·Southpaw
1:25
Control / 15m
time on top
+1.36
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
63%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.4
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss November 2020. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Dec 2025

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 13 recorded bouts, 852 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 79%Body 14%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 86%Clinch 6%Ground 9%
And how often each lands
Head39%
Body71%
Legs68%
Distance40%
Clinch76%
Ground70%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

8Wins1 KO · 4 SUB · 3 DEC
5Losses2 KO · 1 SUB · 2 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

25%
Elliott
26%
Kara-France
0%
Moreno
2%
Pantoja
11%
Bontorin
10%
Schnell
5%
Nicolau
3%
Pantoja
2%
Moreno
10%
Taira
0%
Van
0%
Kape
36%
Kavanagh

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.21100%13
R24.96118%9
R38.05191%6
R44.0797%3
R59.27220%3

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min5.6
Strikes absorbed / min4.24
Striking accuracyof everything thrown42%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed42%
Takedowns / 15 min0.89
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land64%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed45%
Sub attempts / 15 min1.2
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together9.84
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 13 bouts11.7m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

39.8%
Landed at range
1,830 thrown over 13 bouts
41.7%
Expected
against these opponents
−1.8pp
Gap
below expected
91.6%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

WLone'er KavanaghJul 2026SUB R34:53 ctrl84 str3 td
Significant strikes
84 of 152 · 55%
Total strikes
146 of 218 · 67%
Takedowns
3 of 6 · 50%
Control
4:53
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 3:40
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 93%Body 5%Legs 2%
Position
Distance 65%Clinch 13%Ground 21%
This fight on UFCStats
LManel KapeDec 2025KO R10:00 ctrl17 str0 td
Significant strikes
17 of 26 · 65%
Total strikes
17 of 26 · 65%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:18
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 29%Body 35%Legs 35%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJoshua VanJun 2025U-DEC0:00 ctrl215 str0 td
Significant strikes
215 of 467 · 46%
Total strikes
216 of 468 · 46%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 83%Body 10%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 5%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WTatsuro TairaOct 2024S-DEC2:23 ctrl124 str3 td
Significant strikes
124 of 232 · 53%
Total strikes
172 of 287 · 60%
Takedowns
3 of 3 · 100%
Control
2:23
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
3
Reversals
2
Ended
Split decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 92%Body 8%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 78%Clinch 9%Ground 13%
This fight on UFCStats
WBrandon MorenoFeb 2024S-DEC0:35 ctrl145 str1 td
Significant strikes
145 of 510 · 28%
Total strikes
177 of 556 · 32%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
0:35
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 67%Body 26%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LAlexandre PantojaDec 2023U-DEC0:47 ctrl111 str0 td
Significant strikes
111 of 204 · 54%
Total strikes
281 of 390 · 72%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:47
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
2
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 92%Body 6%Legs 2%
Position
Distance 82%Clinch 5%Ground 14%
This fight on UFCStats
WMatheus NicolauApr 2023KO R10:07 ctrl13 str0 td
Significant strikes
13 of 22 · 59%
Total strikes
13 of 22 · 59%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:07
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:09
Knee to Head At Distance
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 23%Clinch 0%Ground 77%
This fight on UFCStats
WMatt SchnellMay 2022SUB R10:13 ctrl14 str0 td
Significant strikes
14 of 39 · 36%
Total strikes
14 of 39 · 36%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:13
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:14
Guillotine Choke From Bottom Guard
Target
Head 64%Body 14%Legs 21%
Position
Distance 93%Clinch 7%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WRogerio BontorinJan 2022S-DEC1:43 ctrl40 str0 td
Significant strikes
40 of 132 · 30%
Total strikes
81 of 174 · 47%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:43
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
3
Reversals
1
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 53%Body 38%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 70%Clinch 3%Ground 28%
This fight on UFCStats
LAlexandre PantojaAug 2021SUB R20:08 ctrl17 str1 td
Significant strikes
17 of 61 · 28%
Total strikes
27 of 79 · 34%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
0:08
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 1:46
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 71%Body 18%Legs 12%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LBrandon MorenoNov 2020KO R10:00 ctrl17 str0 td
Significant strikes
17 of 52 · 33%
Total strikes
24 of 62 · 39%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:59
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 41%Body 29%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 0%Ground 12%
This fight on UFCStats
WKai Kara-FranceSep 2020SUB R21:31 ctrl39 str0 td
Significant strikes
39 of 71 · 55%
Total strikes
51 of 85 · 60%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:31
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 0:48
Guillotine Choke After Drop to Guard
Target
Head 69%Body 18%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 87%Clinch 10%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
WTim ElliottMay 2020SUB R22:04 ctrl16 str1 td
Significant strikes
16 of 33 · 48%
Total strikes
22 of 41 · 54%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
2:04
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
1
Ended
Submission, R2 3:18
Arm Triangle From Side Control
Target
Head 56%Body 25%Legs 19%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 6%Ground 19%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.