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Bryce Mitchell

19-4-0
31y·5' 10"·70" reach·Southpaw
8:15
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.68
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
30%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.3
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss December 2023. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in March 2022, 62 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Dec 2023

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 13 recorded bouts, 337 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 57%Body 30%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 56%Clinch 9%Ground 35%
And how often each lands
Head52%
Body67%
Legs85%
Distance49%
Clinch75%
Ground81%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

10Wins1 KO · 2 SUB · 7 DEC
3Losses1 KO · 2 SUB

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

15%
Diamond
21%
Moffett
92%
Sayles
86%
Rosa
68%
Fili
76%
Barboza
18%
Topuria
50%
Ige
0%
Emmett
80%
Gracie
19%
Silva
65%
Nurmagomedov
78%
Luna

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R12.48100%13
R22.3896%11
R31.5161%9

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min2.19
Strikes absorbed / min1.51
Striking accuracyof everything thrown59%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed58%
Takedowns / 15 min3.12
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land36%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed38%
Sub attempts / 15 min1.3
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together3.7
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 13 bouts11.8m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

49.0%
Landed at range
384 thrown over 13 bouts
38.1%
Expected
against these opponents
+10.9pp
Gap
above expected
71.2%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

WSantiago LunaJun 2026SUB R311:40 ctrl22 str2 td
Significant strikes
22 of 41 · 54%
Total strikes
54 of 77 · 70%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
11:40
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
1
Ended
Submission, R3 4:52
Arm Triangle From Side Control
Target
Head 41%Body 45%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 55%Clinch 27%Ground 18%
This fight on UFCStats
WSaid NurmagomedovJul 2025U-DEC9:44 ctrl13 str3 td
Significant strikes
13 of 20 · 65%
Total strikes
39 of 51 · 76%
Takedowns
3 of 9 · 33%
Control
9:44
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 23%Body 54%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 38%Clinch 62%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJean SilvaApr 2025SUB R21:43 ctrl36 str1 td
Significant strikes
36 of 64 · 56%
Total strikes
37 of 66 · 56%
Takedowns
1 of 14 · 7%
Control
1:43
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 3:52
Guillotine Choke In Clinch
Target
Head 19%Body 22%Legs 58%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 3%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WKron GracieDec 2024KO R38:33 ctrl26 str2 td
Significant strikes
26 of 36 · 72%
Total strikes
147 of 177 · 83%
Takedowns
2 of 2 · 100%
Control
8:33
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 0:39
Elbows to Head From Guard
Target
Head 54%Body 35%Legs 12%
Position
Distance 65%Clinch 19%Ground 15%
This fight on UFCStats
LJosh EmmettDec 2023KO R10:00 ctrl0 str0 td
Significant strikes
0 of 3 · 0%
Total strikes
0 of 3 · 0%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:57
Punch to Head At Distance
This fight on UFCStats
WDan IgeSep 2023U-DEC7:33 ctrl23 str5 td
Significant strikes
23 of 40 · 57%
Total strikes
37 of 59 · 63%
Takedowns
5 of 15 · 33%
Control
7:33
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 57%Body 30%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 74%Clinch 4%Ground 22%
This fight on UFCStats
LIlia TopuriaDec 2022SUB R21:29 ctrl36 str1 td
Significant strikes
36 of 82 · 44%
Total strikes
46 of 94 · 49%
Takedowns
1 of 9 · 11%
Control
1:29
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 3:10
Arm Triangle From Side Control
Target
Head 61%Body 31%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 3%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
WEdson BarbozaMar 2022U-DEC11:28 ctrl34 str4 td
Significant strikes
34 of 47 · 72%
Total strikes
182 of 209 · 87%
Takedowns
4 of 4 · 100%
Control
11:28
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 82%Body 12%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 26%Clinch 0%Ground 74%
This fight on UFCStats
WAndre FiliOct 2020U-DEC10:12 ctrl46 str7 td
Significant strikes
46 of 69 · 67%
Total strikes
100 of 135 · 74%
Takedowns
7 of 13 · 54%
Control
10:12
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 61%Body 30%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 63%Clinch 0%Ground 37%
This fight on UFCStats
WCharles RosaMay 2020U-DEC12:51 ctrl40 str3 td
Significant strikes
40 of 49 · 82%
Total strikes
60 of 74 · 81%
Takedowns
3 of 3 · 100%
Control
12:51
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
5
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 68%Body 33%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 0%Clinch 0%Ground 100%
This fight on UFCStats
WMatt SaylesDec 2019SUB R13:59 ctrl6 str1 td
Significant strikes
6 of 7 · 86%
Total strikes
24 of 28 · 86%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
3:59
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 4:20
Twister From Back Control
Target
Head 83%Body 17%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 17%Clinch 0%Ground 83%
This fight on UFCStats
WBobby MoffettMar 2019U-DEC3:13 ctrl17 str0 td
Significant strikes
17 of 44 · 39%
Total strikes
28 of 56 · 50%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
3:13
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 41%Body 41%Legs 18%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 6%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WTyler DiamondJul 2018M-DEC2:12 ctrl38 str3 td
Significant strikes
38 of 69 · 55%
Total strikes
45 of 78 · 58%
Takedowns
3 of 10 · 30%
Control
2:12
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Majority decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 76%Body 24%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 34%Clinch 18%Ground 47%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.