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Tai Tuivasa

15-10-0
33y·6' 2"·75" reach·Southpaw
1:52
Control / 15m
time on top
-1.24
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
88%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
1.6
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss December 2018. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Dec 2022

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 18 recorded bouts, 491 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 59%Body 18%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 71%Clinch 24%Ground 5%
And how often each lands
Head39%
Body75%
Legs73%
Distance43%
Clinch73%
Ground71%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

8Wins7 KO · 1 DEC
10Losses3 KO · 3 SUB · 4 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

27%
Coulter
17%
Asker
11%
Arlovski
17%
Santos
18%
Ivanov
1%
Spivac
35%
Struve
20%
Hunsucker
9%
Hardy
36%
Sakai
32%
Lewis
0%
Gane
0%
Pavlovich
0%
Volkov
0%
Tybura
0%
Rozenstruik
26%
Teixeira
5%
Sutherland

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.54100%18
R23.0887%11
R33.3795%6

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.37
Strikes absorbed / min4.61
Striking accuracyof everything thrown48%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed42%
Takedowns / 15 min0
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land0%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed58%
Sub attempts / 15 min0
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together7.98
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 18 bouts8.1m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

42.8%
Landed at range
811 thrown over 18 bouts
42.5%
Expected
against these opponents
+0.3pp
Gap
above expected
80.1%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LLouie SutherlandMay 2026U-DEC0:42 ctrl13 str0 td
Significant strikes
13 of 22 · 59%
Total strikes
27 of 37 · 73%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:42
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 92%Body 0%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 15%Clinch 38%Ground 46%
This fight on UFCStats
LTallison TeixeiraJan 2026U-DEC3:58 ctrl42 str0 td
Significant strikes
42 of 58 · 72%
Total strikes
56 of 74 · 76%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
3:58
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 50%Body 24%Legs 26%
Position
Distance 64%Clinch 26%Ground 10%
This fight on UFCStats
LJairzinho RozenstruikAug 2024S-DEC0:01 ctrl37 str0 td
Significant strikes
37 of 126 · 29%
Total strikes
37 of 126 · 29%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 51%Body 16%Legs 32%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LMarcin TyburaMar 2024SUB R10:00 ctrl15 str0 td
Significant strikes
15 of 24 · 63%
Total strikes
18 of 27 · 67%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 4:08
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 60%Body 7%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 53%Clinch 47%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LAlexander VolkovSep 2023SUB R20:00 ctrl28 str0 td
Significant strikes
28 of 67 · 42%
Total strikes
30 of 69 · 43%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 4:37
Ezekiel Choke From Mount
Target
Head 14%Body 25%Legs 61%
Position
Distance 93%Clinch 7%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LSergei PavlovichDec 2022KO R10:00 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 10 · 20%
Total strikes
2 of 10 · 20%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:54
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LCiryl GaneSep 2022KO R30:04 ctrl29 str0 td
Significant strikes
29 of 89 · 33%
Total strikes
29 of 89 · 33%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:04
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 4:23
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 59%Body 14%Legs 28%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 3%Ground 7%
This fight on UFCStats
WDerrick LewisFeb 2022KO R22:06 ctrl24 str0 td
Significant strikes
24 of 36 · 67%
Total strikes
35 of 47 · 74%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
2:06
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:40
Elbow to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 50%Body 38%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 33%Clinch 67%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WAugusto SakaiDec 2021KO R21:58 ctrl34 str0 td
Significant strikes
34 of 52 · 65%
Total strikes
44 of 62 · 71%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
1:58
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 0:26
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 76%Body 24%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 38%Clinch 62%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WGreg HardyJul 2021KO R10:06 ctrl11 str0 td
Significant strikes
11 of 23 · 48%
Total strikes
11 of 23 · 48%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:06
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:07
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 45%Body 0%Legs 55%
Position
Distance 82%Clinch 0%Ground 18%
This fight on UFCStats
WHarry HunsuckerMar 2021KO R10:10 ctrl14 str0 td
Significant strikes
14 of 18 · 78%
Total strikes
14 of 18 · 78%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:10
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:49
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 71%Body 0%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 64%Clinch 0%Ground 36%
This fight on UFCStats
WStefan StruveOct 2020KO R11:44 ctrl27 str0 td
Significant strikes
27 of 42 · 64%
Total strikes
48 of 63 · 76%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:44
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:59
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 56%Body 15%Legs 30%
Position
Distance 52%Clinch 37%Ground 11%
This fight on UFCStats
LSerghei SpivacOct 2019SUB R20:06 ctrl21 str0 td
Significant strikes
21 of 50 · 42%
Total strikes
22 of 51 · 43%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:06
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 3:14
Arm Triangle From Side Control
Target
Head 38%Body 19%Legs 43%
Position
Distance 81%Clinch 19%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LBlagoy IvanovJun 2019U-DEC2:38 ctrl64 str0 td
Significant strikes
64 of 144 · 44%
Total strikes
66 of 146 · 45%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
2:38
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 61%Body 9%Legs 30%
Position
Distance 78%Clinch 22%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJunior Dos SantosDec 2018KO R21:16 ctrl16 str0 td
Significant strikes
16 of 42 · 38%
Total strikes
16 of 46 · 35%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:16
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 2:30
Punches to Head From Mount
Target
Head 56%Body 25%Legs 19%
Position
Distance 63%Clinch 38%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WAndrei ArlovskiJun 2018U-DEC1:39 ctrl54 str0 td
Significant strikes
54 of 120 · 45%
Total strikes
54 of 120 · 45%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:39
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 67%Body 22%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 91%Clinch 9%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WCyril AskerFeb 2018KO R10:24 ctrl38 str0 td
Significant strikes
38 of 51 · 75%
Total strikes
39 of 52 · 75%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:24
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:18
Elbow to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 79%Body 21%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 68%Clinch 32%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WRashad CoulterNov 2017KO R11:15 ctrl22 str0 td
Significant strikes
22 of 36 · 61%
Total strikes
22 of 36 · 61%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
1:15
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:35
Flying Knee Head
Target
Head 73%Body 14%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 64%Clinch 27%Ground 9%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.