Chin Decay
PredictiveFirst KO loss September 2022. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.
Fired again Aug 2023
Read the researchThe Record
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Chidi Njokuani
“Bang Bang”
25-12-0 (1 NC)
37y·6' 3"·80" reach·Orthodox
2:01
Control / 15m
time on top
+1.84
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
67%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.5
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed
Tells
Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.
Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.
How they fight
Every significant strike they have landed across 11 recorded bouts, 633 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.
Target
Head 36%Body 39%Legs 24%
Position
Distance 72%Clinch 22%Ground 6%
And how often each lands
Head46%
Body70%
Legs89%
Distance57%
Clinch80%
Ground65%
How fights end
UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.
6Wins4 KO · 2 DEC
5Losses2 KO · 1 SUB · 2 DEC
Control, bout by bout
Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.
25%
Barriault
17%
Todorovic
26%
Rodrigues
0%
Duraev
4%
Oleksiejczuk
6%
McKee
62%
Gooden
2%
Santos
0%
Matthews
1%
Leal
1%
Alvarez
As the fight goes on
Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.
Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R15.67100%11
R26.32111%7
R37.72136%5
Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.
Career numbers
Strikes landed / min5.16
Strikes absorbed / min3.32
Striking accuracyof everything thrown61%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed57%
Takedowns / 15 min0
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land0%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed75%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.1
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together8.48
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 11 bouts9.0m
Earned Accuracy
How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.
53.5%
Landed at range
570 thrown over 10 bouts
42.7%
Expected
against these opponents
+10.8pp
Gap
above expected
85.7%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print
Distance strikes only
Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.
One pass, not a rating
How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.
Coverage, and who gets ranked
Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.
Short records get pulled to the middle
An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.
Bout log
WJoel AlvarezAug 2026U-DEC0:12 ctrl155 str0 td
Significant strikes
155 of 229 · 68%
Total strikes
159 of 233 · 68%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:12
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 33%Body 36%Legs 31%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 4%Ground 0%
LCarlos LealFeb 2026U-DEC0:06 ctrl120 str0 td
Significant strikes
120 of 205 · 59%
Total strikes
124 of 210 · 59%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:06
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 38%Body 33%Legs 30%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 12%Ground 1%
LJake MatthewsJul 2025SUB R10:00 ctrl5 str0 td
Significant strikes
5 of 10 · 50%
Total strikes
5 of 10 · 50%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 1:09
Rear Naked ChokeTarget
Head 0%Body 60%Legs 40%
Position
Distance 80%Clinch 20%Ground 0%
WElizeu Zaleski dos SantosMar 2025KO R20:10 ctrl46 str0 td
Significant strikes
46 of 87 · 53%
Total strikes
46 of 88 · 52%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:10
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 2:19
Knee to Head In ClinchTarget
Head 37%Body 35%Legs 28%
Position
Distance 78%Clinch 4%Ground 17%
WJared GoodenOct 2024U-DEC9:16 ctrl105 str0 td
Significant strikes
105 of 148 · 71%
Total strikes
162 of 207 · 78%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
9:16
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 47%Body 45%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 27%Clinch 53%Ground 20%
WRhys McKeeMar 2024S-DEC0:53 ctrl64 str0 td
Significant strikes
64 of 98 · 65%
Total strikes
96 of 139 · 69%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:53
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 27%Body 28%Legs 45%
Position
Distance 72%Clinch 28%Ground 0%
LMichal OleksiejczukAug 2023KO R10:09 ctrl29 str0 td
Significant strikes
29 of 57 · 51%
Total strikes
30 of 58 · 52%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:09
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:16
Punches to Head On GroundTarget
Head 24%Body 62%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 66%Clinch 34%Ground 0%
LAlbert DuraevMar 2023S-DEC0:00 ctrl40 str0 td
Significant strikes
40 of 99 · 40%
Total strikes
44 of 104 · 42%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 45%Body 38%Legs 18%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 3%Ground 0%
LGregory RodriguesSep 2022KO R21:40 ctrl44 str0 td
Significant strikes
44 of 65 · 68%
Total strikes
47 of 68 · 69%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:40
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:27
Punches to Head From Half GuardTarget
Head 30%Body 64%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 43%Clinch 57%Ground 0%
WDusko TodorovicMay 2022KO R10:50 ctrl14 str0 td
Significant strikes
14 of 17 · 82%
Total strikes
19 of 23 · 83%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:50
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:48
Elbow to Head In ClinchTarget
Head 21%Body 57%Legs 21%
Position
Distance 36%Clinch 64%Ground 0%
WMarc-Andre BarriaultFeb 2022KO R10:04 ctrl11 str0 td
Significant strikes
11 of 11 · 100%
Total strikes
13 of 13 · 100%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:04
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:16
Punches to Head At DistanceTarget
Head 82%Body 9%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 36%Clinch 0%Ground 64%