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Chris Weidman

16-8-0
42y·6' 2"·78" reach·Orthodox
4:50
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.26
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
58%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.8
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss December 2015. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Dec 2024

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in May 2015, 94 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Dec 2024

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 20 recorded bouts, 626 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 73%Body 16%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 66%Clinch 9%Ground 24%
And how often each lands
Head40%
Body61%
Legs80%
Distance39%
Clinch65%
Ground68%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

12Wins4 KO · 3 SUB · 5 DEC
8Losses7 KO · 1 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

53%
Sakara
77%
Bongfeldt
69%
Lawlor
11%
Maia
79%
Munoz
30%
Silva
69%
Silva
18%
Machida
42%
Belfort
24%
Rockhold
4%
Romero
41%
Mousasi
55%
Gastelum
6%
Souza
68%
Reyes
55%
Akhmedov
0%
Hall
9%
Tavares
26%
Silva
23%
Anders

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R12.82100%20
R23.34118%15
R33.52125%10
R41.462
R54.601

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.11
Strikes absorbed / min3.37
Striking accuracyof everything thrown45%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed51%
Takedowns / 15 min3.27
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land42%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed72%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.8
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together6.48
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 20 bouts10.1m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

38.5%
Landed at range
1,050 thrown over 19 bouts
34.5%
Expected
against these opponents
+3.9pp
Gap
above expected
87.2%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LEryk AndersDec 2024KO R22:15 ctrl16 str0 td
Significant strikes
16 of 36 · 44%
Total strikes
27 of 50 · 54%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
2:15
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:51
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 69%Body 31%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 0%Ground 25%
This fight on UFCStats
WBruno SilvaMar 2024U-DEC R33:15 ctrl75 str1 td
Significant strikes
75 of 111 · 68%
Total strikes
88 of 129 · 68%
Takedowns
1 of 4 · 25%
Control
3:15
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, R3 2:18
Target
Head 59%Body 19%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 7%Ground 19%
This fight on UFCStats
LBrad TavaresAug 2023U-DEC1:21 ctrl37 str0 td
Significant strikes
37 of 92 · 40%
Total strikes
39 of 94 · 41%
Takedowns
0 of 8 · 0%
Control
1:21
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 81%Body 14%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 5%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LUriah HallApr 2021KO R10:00 ctrl1 str0 td
Significant strikes
1 of 2 · 50%
Total strikes
1 of 2 · 50%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:17
to Leg Injury
Target
Head 0%Body 0%Legs 100%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WOmari AkhmedovAug 2020U-DEC8:17 ctrl29 str5 td
Significant strikes
29 of 56 · 52%
Total strikes
67 of 98 · 68%
Takedowns
5 of 16 · 31%
Control
8:17
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 86%Body 14%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 59%Clinch 3%Ground 38%
This fight on UFCStats
LDominick ReyesOct 2019KO R11:10 ctrl3 str1 td
Significant strikes
3 of 6 · 50%
Total strikes
10 of 13 · 77%
Takedowns
1 of 4 · 25%
Control
1:10
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:43
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 33%Body 67%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 33%Clinch 33%Ground 33%
This fight on UFCStats
LJacare SouzaNov 2018KO R30:43 ctrl68 str1 td
Significant strikes
68 of 193 · 35%
Total strikes
76 of 201 · 38%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
0:43
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 2:46
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 76%Body 21%Legs 3%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 10%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WKelvin GastelumJul 2017SUB R37:35 ctrl36 str7 td
Significant strikes
36 of 76 · 47%
Total strikes
75 of 124 · 60%
Takedowns
7 of 13 · 54%
Control
7:35
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 3:45
Arm Triangle On Ground
Target
Head 69%Body 17%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 67%Clinch 17%Ground 17%
This fight on UFCStats
LGegard MousasiApr 2017KO R23:22 ctrl13 str4 td
Significant strikes
13 of 29 · 45%
Total strikes
18 of 34 · 53%
Takedowns
4 of 6 · 67%
Control
3:22
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:13
Knee to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 69%Body 23%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LYoel RomeroNov 2016KO R30:25 ctrl12 str1 td
Significant strikes
12 of 47 · 26%
Total strikes
16 of 54 · 30%
Takedowns
1 of 8 · 13%
Control
0:25
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 0:24
Flying Knee Head
Target
Head 17%Body 50%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LLuke RockholdDec 2015KO R44:27 ctrl48 str3 td
Significant strikes
48 of 75 · 64%
Total strikes
62 of 92 · 67%
Takedowns
3 of 6 · 50%
Control
4:27
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R4 3:12
Punches to Head From Half Guard
Target
Head 52%Body 38%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 15%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
WVitor BelfortMay 2015KO R11:13 ctrl46 str1 td
Significant strikes
46 of 69 · 67%
Total strikes
50 of 73 · 68%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
1:13
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:53
Punches to From Mount
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 7%Clinch 0%Ground 93%
This fight on UFCStats
WLyoto MachidaJul 2014U-DEC4:36 ctrl65 str5 td
Significant strikes
65 of 177 · 37%
Total strikes
90 of 206 · 44%
Takedowns
5 of 13 · 38%
Control
4:36
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 72%Body 11%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 78%Clinch 12%Ground 9%
This fight on UFCStats
WAnderson SilvaDec 2013KO R24:21 ctrl20 str1 td
Significant strikes
20 of 44 · 45%
Total strikes
34 of 60 · 57%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
4:21
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:16
to Leg Injury
Target
Head 90%Body 10%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 5%Clinch 10%Ground 85%
This fight on UFCStats
WAnderson SilvaJul 2013KO R21:55 ctrl16 str1 td
Significant strikes
16 of 43 · 37%
Total strikes
26 of 55 · 47%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
1:55
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:18
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 50%Clinch 0%Ground 50%
This fight on UFCStats
WMark MunozJul 2012KO R25:12 ctrl28 str2 td
Significant strikes
28 of 37 · 76%
Total strikes
46 of 59 · 78%
Takedowns
2 of 2 · 100%
Control
5:12
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:37
Elbow to Head At Distance
Target
Head 71%Body 7%Legs 21%
Position
Distance 11%Clinch 29%Ground 61%
This fight on UFCStats
WDemian MaiaJan 2012U-DEC1:38 ctrl58 str4 td
Significant strikes
58 of 166 · 35%
Total strikes
68 of 178 · 38%
Takedowns
4 of 6 · 67%
Control
1:38
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 74%Body 17%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 84%Clinch 12%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
WTom LawlorNov 2011SUB R11:27 ctrl3 str1 td
Significant strikes
3 of 6 · 50%
Total strikes
3 of 6 · 50%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
1:27
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:07
D'Arce Choke On Ground Technical Submission
Target
Head 67%Body 33%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WJesse BongfeldtJun 2011SUB R13:46 ctrl7 str1 td
Significant strikes
7 of 17 · 41%
Total strikes
32 of 44 · 73%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
3:46
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 4:54
Guillotine Choke Standing
Target
Head 71%Body 14%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 14%Clinch 29%Ground 57%
This fight on UFCStats
WAlessio SakaraMar 2011U-DEC8:00 ctrl45 str5 td
Significant strikes
45 of 105 · 43%
Total strikes
98 of 171 · 57%
Takedowns
5 of 8 · 63%
Control
8:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 87%Body 0%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 56%Clinch 4%Ground 40%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.