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Cynthia Calvillo

9-6-1
39y·5' 4"·64" reach·Orthodox
2:54
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.29
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
50%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss September 2021. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in December 2019, 122 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Sep 2021

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 13 recorded bouts, 736 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 54%Body 30%Legs 16%
Position
Distance 87%Clinch 3%Ground 11%
And how often each lands
Head29%
Body59%
Legs67%
Distance36%
Clinch83%
Ground80%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

6Wins3 SUB · 3 DEC
6Losses2 KO · 4 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

54%
Cooper
39%
Gonzalez
7%
Wood
29%
Esparza
39%
Botelho
6%
Casey
34%
Rodriguez
31%
Eye
0%
Cerminara
0%
Andrade
7%
Lee
14%
Nunes
8%
Godinez

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.24100%13
R23.7689%10
R35.18122%9
R43.401
R57.401

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min4.41
Strikes absorbed / min4.12
Striking accuracyof everything thrown38%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed64%
Takedowns / 15 min1.8
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land44%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed77%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.8
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together8.53
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 13 bouts12.8m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

Women's divisions sit this one out for now. The baseline leans on how far striking has drifted era to era, and there isn't enough sample in the women's divisions to measure that drift. Building a baseline anyway would claim a precision we haven't earned.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LLoopy GodinezApr 2023S-DEC1:15 ctrl104 str1 td
Significant strikes
104 of 333 · 31%
Total strikes
107 of 338 · 32%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
1:15
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 56%Body 29%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LNina NunesAug 2022S-DEC2:09 ctrl48 str3 td
Significant strikes
48 of 139 · 35%
Total strikes
66 of 159 · 42%
Takedowns
3 of 6 · 50%
Control
2:09
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 33%Body 35%Legs 31%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LAndrea LeeNov 2021KO R20:39 ctrl47 str1 td
Significant strikes
47 of 154 · 31%
Total strikes
47 of 154 · 31%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
0:39
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 5:00
to Stoppage Between Rounds
Target
Head 38%Body 45%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJessica AndradeSep 2021KO R10:00 ctrl27 str0 td
Significant strikes
27 of 75 · 36%
Total strikes
27 of 75 · 36%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:54
Punches to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 37%Body 48%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LKatlyn CerminaraNov 2020U-DEC0:00 ctrl60 str1 td
Significant strikes
60 of 197 · 30%
Total strikes
60 of 197 · 30%
Takedowns
1 of 4 · 25%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 52%Body 28%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WJessica EyeJun 2020U-DEC7:46 ctrl113 str4 td
Significant strikes
113 of 237 · 48%
Total strikes
150 of 294 · 51%
Takedowns
4 of 7 · 57%
Control
7:46
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 68%Body 28%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 93%Clinch 1%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
DMarina RodriguezDec 2019M-DEC5:04 ctrl78 str3 td
Significant strikes
78 of 130 · 60%
Total strikes
112 of 173 · 65%
Takedowns
3 of 4 · 75%
Control
5:04
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Majority decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 65%Body 22%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 38%Clinch 3%Ground 59%
This fight on UFCStats
WCortney CaseyFeb 2019U-DEC0:58 ctrl82 str0 td
Significant strikes
82 of 192 · 43%
Total strikes
82 of 192 · 43%
Takedowns
0 of 6 · 0%
Control
0:58
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 50%Body 21%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 4%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WPoliana BotelhoNov 2018SUB R11:51 ctrl22 str2 td
Significant strikes
22 of 41 · 54%
Total strikes
35 of 54 · 65%
Takedowns
2 of 3 · 67%
Control
1:51
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 4:48
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 32%Body 50%Legs 18%
Position
Distance 41%Clinch 9%Ground 50%
This fight on UFCStats
LCarla EsparzaDec 2017U-DEC4:21 ctrl38 str1 td
Significant strikes
38 of 112 · 34%
Total strikes
57 of 131 · 44%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
4:21
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 92%Body 8%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 61%Clinch 11%Ground 29%
This fight on UFCStats
WJoanne WoodJul 2017U-DEC1:03 ctrl54 str2 td
Significant strikes
54 of 111 · 49%
Total strikes
62 of 119 · 52%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
1:03
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 39%Body 44%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 89%Clinch 7%Ground 4%
This fight on UFCStats
WPearl GonzalezApr 2017SUB R35:24 ctrl50 str1 td
Significant strikes
50 of 169 · 30%
Total strikes
65 of 188 · 35%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
5:24
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
3
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 3:45
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 52%Body 32%Legs 16%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 2%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
WAmanda CooperMar 2017SUB R11:47 ctrl13 str1 td
Significant strikes
13 of 26 · 50%
Total strikes
15 of 29 · 52%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
1:47
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
3
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 3:19
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 23%Body 46%Legs 31%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.