Chin Decay
PredictiveFirst KO loss November 2019. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.
Fired again Dec 2022
Read the researchThe Record
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Dalcha Lungiambula
11-6-0
39y·5' 8"·76" reach·Orthodox
4:06
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.86
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
50%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.5
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed
Tells
Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.
Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.
How they fight
Every significant strike they have landed across 7 recorded bouts, 215 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.
Target
Head 66%Body 28%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 55%Clinch 21%Ground 24%
And how often each lands
Head37%
Body72%
Legs82%
Distance35%
Clinch63%
Ground79%
How fights end
UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.
2Wins1 KO · 1 DEC
5Losses3 KO · 1 SUB · 1 DEC
Control, bout by bout
Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.
72%
Townsend
3%
Ankalaev
45%
Perez
4%
Barriault
51%
Brundage
30%
Soriano
3%
Shahbazyan
As the fight goes on
Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.
Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R12.34100%7
R22.82120%6
R35.80248%4
Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.
Career numbers
Strikes landed / min3.07
Strikes absorbed / min3.93
Striking accuracyof everything thrown45%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed52%
Takedowns / 15 min2.14
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land45%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed77%
Sub attempts / 15 min0
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together7
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 7 bouts10.0m
Earned Accuracy
How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.
34.8%
Landed at range
339 thrown over 7 bouts
39.4%
Expected
against these opponents
−4.6pp
Gap
below expected
80.3%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print
Distance strikes only
Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.
One pass, not a rating
How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.
Coverage, and who gets ranked
Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.
Short records get pulled to the middle
An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.
Bout log
LEdmen ShahbazyanDec 2022KO R20:15 ctrl23 str0 td
Significant strikes
23 of 48 · 48%
Total strikes
26 of 51 · 51%
Takedowns
0 of 4 · 0%
Control
0:15
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:41
Punches to Head On GroundTarget
Head 26%Body 48%Legs 26%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 4%Ground 0%
LPunahele SorianoJul 2022KO R21:39 ctrl11 str2 td
Significant strikes
11 of 22 · 50%
Total strikes
17 of 28 · 61%
Takedowns
2 of 2 · 100%
Control
1:39
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 0:28
Punch to Head At DistanceTarget
Head 55%Body 18%Legs 27%
Position
Distance 82%Clinch 0%Ground 18%
LCody BrundageMar 2022SUB R11:52 ctrl29 str1 td
Significant strikes
29 of 56 · 52%
Total strikes
50 of 83 · 60%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
1:52
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 3:41
Guillotine Choke From Bottom GuardTarget
Head 90%Body 10%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 21%Clinch 52%Ground 28%
LMarc-Andre BarriaultSep 2021U-DEC0:32 ctrl85 str2 td
Significant strikes
85 of 217 · 39%
Total strikes
87 of 219 · 40%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
0:32
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 71%Body 25%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 25%Ground 0%
WMarkus PerezJan 2021U-DEC6:46 ctrl29 str1 td
Significant strikes
29 of 65 · 45%
Total strikes
61 of 98 · 62%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
6:46
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 59%Body 41%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 17%Clinch 17%Ground 66%
LMagomed AnkalaevNov 2019KO R30:20 ctrl6 str0 td
Significant strikes
6 of 26 · 23%
Total strikes
13 of 33 · 39%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:20
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 0:29
Kick to Head At Distance Front KickTarget
Head 67%Body 33%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 17%Ground 0%
WDequan TownsendJun 2019KO R37:45 ctrl32 str4 td
Significant strikes
32 of 43 · 74%
Total strikes
64 of 80 · 80%
Takedowns
4 of 6 · 67%
Control
7:45
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 0:42
Punch to Head At DistanceTarget
Head 69%Body 28%Legs 3%
Position
Distance 22%Clinch 6%Ground 72%