Chin Decay
PredictiveFirst KO loss December 2020. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.
Fired again Jan 2023
Read the researchThe Record
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Damon Jackson
23-8-1 (1 NC)
38y·5' 11"·71" reach·Switch
6:12
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.51
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
50%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed
Tells
Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.
Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.
How they fight
Every significant strike they have landed across 14 recorded bouts, 406 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.
Target
Head 61%Body 30%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 64%Clinch 23%Ground 13%
And how often each lands
Head34%
Body69%
Legs92%
Distance36%
Clinch70%
Ground63%
How fights end
UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.
6Wins1 KO · 2 SUB · 3 DEC
6Losses2 KO · 2 SUB · 2 DEC
Control, bout by bout
Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.
34%
Medeiros
67%
Jason
44%
Makashvili
8%
Bektic
8%
Topuria
69%
Rosa
58%
Kirk
69%
Argueta
46%
Sabatini
0%
Ige
41%
Quarantillo
42%
Hernandez
29%
Mariscal
16%
Miller
As the fight goes on
Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.
Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.25100%14
R22.7986%10
R32.6481%7
Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.
Career numbers
Strikes landed / min2.96
Strikes absorbed / min3.47
Striking accuracyof everything thrown42%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed49%
Takedowns / 15 min2.3
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land32%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed37%
Sub attempts / 15 min1.2
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together6.43
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 14 bouts9.8m
Earned Accuracy
How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.
35.7%
Landed at range
732 thrown over 14 bouts
42.8%
Expected
against these opponents
−7.2pp
Gap
below expected
73.2%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print
Distance strikes only
Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.
One pass, not a rating
How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.
Coverage, and who gets ranked
Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.
Short records get pulled to the middle
An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.
Bout log
LJim MillerNov 2024SUB R10:27 ctrl16 str0 td
Significant strikes
16 of 31 · 52%
Total strikes
16 of 31 · 52%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
0:27
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:44
Guillotine Choke After Drop to GuardTarget
Head 50%Body 38%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
LChepe MariscalAug 2024U-DEC4:18 ctrl32 str1 td
Significant strikes
32 of 49 · 65%
Total strikes
49 of 72 · 68%
Takedowns
1 of 5 · 20%
Control
4:18
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 16%Body 81%Legs 3%
Position
Distance 16%Clinch 84%Ground 0%
WAlexander HernandezApr 2024S-DEC6:18 ctrl42 str3 td
Significant strikes
42 of 85 · 49%
Total strikes
85 of 135 · 63%
Takedowns
3 of 7 · 43%
Control
6:18
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 48%Body 24%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 71%Clinch 26%Ground 2%
LBilly QuarantilloAug 2023U-DEC6:10 ctrl67 str3 td
Significant strikes
67 of 173 · 39%
Total strikes
75 of 184 · 41%
Takedowns
3 of 13 · 23%
Control
6:10
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 67%Body 28%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 79%Clinch 15%Ground 6%
LDan IgeJan 2023KO R20:01 ctrl36 str0 td
Significant strikes
36 of 100 · 36%
Total strikes
38 of 102 · 37%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:13
Punch to Head At DistanceTarget
Head 61%Body 28%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 89%Clinch 11%Ground 0%
WPat SabatiniSep 2022KO R10:32 ctrl11 str1 td
Significant strikes
11 of 20 · 55%
Total strikes
16 of 27 · 59%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
0:32
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:09
Punches to Head From Back ControlTarget
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 27%Clinch 9%Ground 64%
WDan ArguetaJun 2022U-DEC10:25 ctrl32 str2 td
Significant strikes
32 of 53 · 60%
Total strikes
47 of 71 · 66%
Takedowns
2 of 4 · 50%
Control
10:25
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 72%Body 19%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 59%Clinch 16%Ground 25%
WKamuela KirkMar 2022SUB R25:37 ctrl32 str2 td
Significant strikes
32 of 78 · 41%
Total strikes
51 of 102 · 50%
Takedowns
2 of 3 · 67%
Control
5:37
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 4:42
Arm Triangle From Half GuardTarget
Head 69%Body 28%Legs 3%
Position
Distance 84%Clinch 6%Ground 9%
WCharles RosaOct 2021U-DEC10:24 ctrl41 str6 td
Significant strikes
41 of 87 · 47%
Total strikes
53 of 101 · 52%
Takedowns
6 of 12 · 50%
Control
10:24
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
3
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 80%Body 15%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 49%Clinch 7%Ground 44%
LIlia TopuriaDec 2020KO R10:13 ctrl16 str0 td
Significant strikes
16 of 52 · 31%
Total strikes
16 of 53 · 30%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:13
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:38
Punch to Head At DistanceTarget
Head 63%Body 31%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 6%Ground 0%
WMirsad BekticSep 2020SUB R30:56 ctrl12 str0 td
Significant strikes
12 of 26 · 46%
Total strikes
20 of 34 · 59%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:56
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
7
Reversals
1
Ended
Submission, R3 1:21
Guillotine Choke From MountTarget
Head 83%Body 17%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 17%Clinch 25%Ground 58%
DLevan MakashviliJan 2016M-DEC6:40 ctrl44 str0 td
Significant strikes
44 of 131 · 34%
Total strikes
85 of 175 · 49%
Takedowns
0 of 6 · 0%
Control
6:40
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Majority decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 50%Body 43%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 55%Clinch 43%Ground 2%
NCRony JasonMay 2015NC R12:21 ctrl5 str3 td
Significant strikes
5 of 13 · 38%
Total strikes
13 of 22 · 59%
Takedowns
3 of 4 · 75%
Control
2:21
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Overturned, R1 3:31
Failed Drug Test by JasonTarget
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 0%Clinch 40%Ground 60%
LYancy MedeirosAug 2014SUB R22:19 ctrl20 str0 td
Significant strikes
20 of 49 · 41%
Total strikes
22 of 51 · 43%
Takedowns
0 of 5 · 0%
Control
2:19
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 1:54
Bulldog Choke On Ground Reverse Bulldog ChokeTarget
Head 55%Body 25%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 25%Ground 0%