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Daniel Rodriguez

20-6-0
39y·6' 1"·74" reach·Southpaw
0:44
Control / 15m
time on top
+1.75
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
36%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.6
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss May 2023. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Aug 2026

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in August 2021, 170 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Aug 2026

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 15 recorded bouts, 1171 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 64%Body 20%Legs 16%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 2%Ground 3%
And how often each lands
Head40%
Body73%
Legs92%
Distance49%
Clinch82%
Ground57%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

11Wins3 KO · 1 SUB · 7 DEC
5Losses2 KO · 1 SUB · 2 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

1%
Means
3%
Green
1%
Grant
5%
Dalby
0%
Perry
4%
Parsons
5%
Lee
0%
Jingliang
9%
Magny
0%
Garry
0%
Gastelum
6%
Morono
1%
Ponzinibbio
24%
Holland
0%
Medic

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R15.90100%15
R27.76132%11
R38.35142%10

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min7.19
Strikes absorbed / min5.44
Striking accuracyof everything thrown49%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed57%
Takedowns / 15 min0.51
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land50%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed64%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.1
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together12.63
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 15 bouts10.9m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

48.6%
Landed at range
2,104 thrown over 14 bouts
40.8%
Expected
against these opponents
+7.8pp
Gap
above expected
76.7%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LUros MedicAug 2026KO R10:00 ctrl1 str0 td
Significant strikes
1 of 3 · 33%
Total strikes
1 of 3 · 33%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:30
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 0%Body 0%Legs 100%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WKevin HollandJul 2025U-DEC3:34 ctrl77 str0 td
Significant strikes
77 of 149 · 52%
Total strikes
111 of 189 · 59%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
3:34
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 64%Body 17%Legs 19%
Position
Distance 70%Clinch 8%Ground 22%
This fight on UFCStats
WSantiago PonzinibbioMay 2025KO R30:08 ctrl66 str0 td
Significant strikes
66 of 166 · 40%
Total strikes
70 of 170 · 41%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:08
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 1:12
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 59%Body 30%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 2%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
WAlex MoronoOct 2024S-DEC0:56 ctrl123 str1 td
Significant strikes
123 of 257 · 48%
Total strikes
126 of 260 · 48%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
0:56
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 36%Body 46%Legs 19%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 5%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LKelvin GastelumJun 2024U-DEC0:00 ctrl127 str0 td
Significant strikes
127 of 265 · 48%
Total strikes
132 of 273 · 48%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 65%Body 28%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LIan Machado GarryMay 2023KO R10:00 ctrl7 str0 td
Significant strikes
7 of 25 · 28%
Total strikes
7 of 25 · 28%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:57
Kick to Head At Distance
Target
Head 29%Body 29%Legs 43%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LNeil MagnyNov 2022SUB R31:16 ctrl66 str0 td
Significant strikes
66 of 108 · 61%
Total strikes
71 of 113 · 63%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
1:16
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 3:33
D'Arce Choke On Ground
Target
Head 55%Body 23%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 5%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WLi JingliangSep 2022S-DEC0:00 ctrl88 str0 td
Significant strikes
88 of 185 · 48%
Total strikes
89 of 186 · 48%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 61%Body 19%Legs 19%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WKevin LeeAug 2021U-DEC0:45 ctrl120 str0 td
Significant strikes
120 of 210 · 57%
Total strikes
137 of 229 · 60%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:45
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 73%Body 6%Legs 22%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 0%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
WPreston ParsonsJul 2021KO R10:09 ctrl45 str0 td
Significant strikes
45 of 83 · 54%
Total strikes
46 of 84 · 55%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:09
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:47
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 80%Body 4%Legs 16%
Position
Distance 84%Clinch 2%Ground 13%
This fight on UFCStats
WMike PerryApr 2021U-DEC0:00 ctrl129 str0 td
Significant strikes
129 of 235 · 55%
Total strikes
145 of 252 · 58%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 70%Body 9%Legs 22%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LNicolas DalbyNov 2020U-DEC0:41 ctrl83 str0 td
Significant strikes
83 of 199 · 42%
Total strikes
105 of 222 · 47%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:41
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 53%Body 23%Legs 24%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WDwight GrantAug 2020KO R10:02 ctrl15 str0 td
Significant strikes
15 of 32 · 47%
Total strikes
15 of 32 · 47%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:02
Knockdowns
3
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:24
Punches to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 67%Body 20%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 73%Clinch 0%Ground 27%
This fight on UFCStats
WGabe GreenMay 2020U-DEC0:27 ctrl175 str1 td
Significant strikes
175 of 344 · 51%
Total strikes
175 of 345 · 51%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
0:27
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 79%Body 15%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 2%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
WTim MeansFeb 2020SUB R20:05 ctrl49 str0 td
Significant strikes
49 of 121 · 40%
Total strikes
49 of 121 · 40%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:05
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 3:37
Guillotine Choke Standing
Target
Head 76%Body 10%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.