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Danny Roberts

18-8-0
39y·6' 1"·74" reach·Southpaw
2:16
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.55
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
57%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.7
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss October 2016. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Jul 2023

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 14 recorded bouts, 405 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 58%Body 26%Legs 16%
Position
Distance 65%Clinch 20%Ground 15%
And how often each lands
Head29%
Body73%
Legs85%
Distance32%
Clinch69%
Ground73%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

7Wins3 KO · 1 SUB · 3 DEC
7Losses5 KO · 1 SUB · 1 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

0%
Coy
7%
Steele
0%
Perry
2%
Nash
0%
Taleb
2%
Enkamp
59%
Zawada
25%
Silva
0%
Pereira
23%
Imadaev
18%
Emeev
4%
Trinaldo
7%
Maddalena
1%
Parsons

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R12.62100%14
R23.22123%9
R34.29164%6

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.18
Strikes absorbed / min3.73
Striking accuracyof everything thrown39%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed50%
Takedowns / 15 min0.24
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land9%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed57%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.2
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together6.91
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 14 bouts9.1m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

31.8%
Landed at range
823 thrown over 14 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LJonny ParsonsJul 2023KO R20:05 ctrl44 str0 td
Significant strikes
44 of 133 · 33%
Total strikes
44 of 134 · 33%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:05
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:57
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 61%Body 32%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJack Della MaddalenaNov 2022KO R10:15 ctrl5 str0 td
Significant strikes
5 of 33 · 15%
Total strikes
5 of 33 · 15%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:15
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:24
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 40%Body 20%Legs 40%
Position
Distance 80%Clinch 20%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LFrancisco TrinaldoMay 2022U-DEC0:39 ctrl36 str0 td
Significant strikes
36 of 118 · 31%
Total strikes
44 of 128 · 34%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:39
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 42%Body 33%Legs 25%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 22%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
WRamazan EmeevOct 2021S-DEC2:38 ctrl34 str1 td
Significant strikes
34 of 94 · 36%
Total strikes
42 of 102 · 41%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
2:38
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 50%Body 47%Legs 3%
Position
Distance 41%Clinch 59%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WZelim ImadaevNov 2019KO R22:18 ctrl37 str1 td
Significant strikes
37 of 61 · 61%
Total strikes
42 of 68 · 62%
Takedowns
1 of 8 · 13%
Control
2:18
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:54
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 27%Body 46%Legs 27%
Position
Distance 49%Clinch 51%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LMichel PereiraMay 2019KO R10:00 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 4 · 50%
Total strikes
2 of 4 · 50%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:47
Flying Knee Head
Target
Head 0%Body 0%Legs 100%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LClaudio SilvaMar 2019SUB R33:12 ctrl26 str0 td
Significant strikes
26 of 45 · 58%
Total strikes
29 of 48 · 60%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
3:12
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
3
Ended
Submission, R3 2:37
Armbar From Bottom Guard
Target
Head 92%Body 8%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 23%Clinch 8%Ground 69%
This fight on UFCStats
WDavid ZawadaJul 2018S-DEC8:47 ctrl45 str0 td
Significant strikes
45 of 87 · 52%
Total strikes
68 of 117 · 58%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
8:47
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 71%Body 13%Legs 16%
Position
Distance 31%Clinch 2%Ground 67%
This fight on UFCStats
WOliver EnkampMar 2018KO R10:02 ctrl4 str0 td
Significant strikes
4 of 10 · 40%
Total strikes
4 of 10 · 40%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:02
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:12
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 50%Body 25%Legs 25%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 0%Ground 25%
This fight on UFCStats
LNordine TalebDec 2017KO R10:00 ctrl1 str0 td
Significant strikes
1 of 4 · 25%
Total strikes
1 of 4 · 25%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:59
Kick to Head At Distance
Target
Head 0%Body 0%Legs 100%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WBobby NashJul 2017KO R20:10 ctrl24 str0 td
Significant strikes
24 of 65 · 37%
Total strikes
29 of 71 · 41%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:10
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:59
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 58%Body 29%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 21%Ground 4%
This fight on UFCStats
LMike PerryOct 2016KO R30:00 ctrl81 str0 td
Significant strikes
81 of 239 · 34%
Total strikes
81 of 239 · 34%
Takedowns
0 of 4 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 4:40
Knee to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 65%Body 7%Legs 27%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WDominique SteeleApr 2016U-DEC1:04 ctrl60 str0 td
Significant strikes
60 of 112 · 54%
Total strikes
66 of 119 · 55%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:04
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 57%Body 38%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 45%Clinch 38%Ground 17%
This fight on UFCStats
WNathan CoyDec 2015SUB R10:00 ctrl6 str0 td
Significant strikes
6 of 19 · 32%
Total strikes
8 of 21 · 38%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:46
Triangle Choke From Bottom Guard Technical Submission
Target
Head 50%Body 17%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 17%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.