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Darren Elkins

29-13-0
42y·5' 10"·71" reach·Orthodox
5:31
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.05
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
37%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.2
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss April 2013. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Aug 2026

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in November 2012, 76 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Aug 2026

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 31 recorded bouts, 1190 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 76%Body 20%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 58%Clinch 20%Ground 22%
And how often each lands
Head34%
Body65%
Legs76%
Distance29%
Clinch67%
Ground68%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

19Wins4 KO · 3 SUB · 12 DEC
12Losses5 KO · 1 SUB · 6 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

23%
Ludwig
66%
Oliveira
1%
Omigawa
87%
Tiequan
44%
Brandao
75%
Siler
12%
Carvalho
0%
Mendes
47%
Hioki
8%
Stephens
54%
Martins
18%
Dias
57%
Whiteford
58%
Skelly
78%
Pepey
10%
Bektic
27%
Bermudez
27%
Johnson
7%
Volkanovski
19%
Lamas
12%
Hall
9%
Landwehr
61%
Garagorri
34%
Minner
0%
Swanson
52%
Connelly
5%
Pearce
66%
Brown
44%
Pineda
19%
Erosa
0%
Valle

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R12.79100%31
R23.62130%24
R33.90140%22

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.39
Strikes absorbed / min3.34
Striking accuracyof everything thrown38%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed51%
Takedowns / 15 min2.86
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land33%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed56%
Sub attempts / 15 min1.1
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together6.73
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 31 bouts11.3m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

29.1%
Landed at range
2,350 thrown over 31 bouts
37.1%
Expected
against these opponents
−7.9pp
Gap
below expected
70.3%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LYadier del ValleAug 2026KO R10:00 ctrl0 str0 td
Significant strikes
0 of 2 · 0%
Total strikes
0 of 2 · 0%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:35
Punch to Head At Distance
This fight on UFCStats
LJulian ErosaApr 2025KO R10:48 ctrl13 str1 td
Significant strikes
13 of 31 · 42%
Total strikes
18 of 45 · 40%
Takedowns
1 of 7 · 14%
Control
0:48
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:15
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 85%Body 8%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 92%Clinch 0%Ground 8%
This fight on UFCStats
WDaniel PinedaOct 2024U-DEC6:33 ctrl39 str3 td
Significant strikes
39 of 88 · 44%
Total strikes
102 of 170 · 60%
Takedowns
3 of 12 · 25%
Control
6:33
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 77%Body 23%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 72%Clinch 8%Ground 21%
This fight on UFCStats
WTJ BrownOct 2023SUB R38:09 ctrl11 str5 td
Significant strikes
11 of 33 · 33%
Total strikes
95 of 146 · 65%
Takedowns
5 of 8 · 63%
Control
8:09
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
1
Ended
Submission, R3 2:23
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 73%Body 27%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJonathan PearceDec 2022U-DEC0:48 ctrl57 str2 td
Significant strikes
57 of 193 · 30%
Total strikes
67 of 203 · 33%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
0:48
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 82%Body 16%Legs 2%
Position
Distance 86%Clinch 14%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WTristan ConnellyApr 2022U-DEC7:52 ctrl75 str5 td
Significant strikes
75 of 151 · 50%
Total strikes
165 of 259 · 64%
Takedowns
5 of 10 · 50%
Control
7:52
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 88%Body 12%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 51%Clinch 39%Ground 11%
This fight on UFCStats
LCub SwansonDec 2021KO R10:00 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 19 · 11%
Total strikes
5 of 22 · 23%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:12
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WDarrick MinnerJul 2021KO R23:01 ctrl20 str1 td
Significant strikes
20 of 30 · 67%
Total strikes
137 of 154 · 89%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
3:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
2
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:48
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 90%Body 10%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 10%Clinch 10%Ground 80%
This fight on UFCStats
WEduardo GaragorriNov 2020SUB R37:34 ctrl32 str7 td
Significant strikes
32 of 72 · 44%
Total strikes
120 of 168 · 71%
Takedowns
7 of 21 · 33%
Control
7:34
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 2:22
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 66%Body 31%Legs 3%
Position
Distance 56%Clinch 38%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
LNate LandwehrMay 2020U-DEC1:24 ctrl121 str1 td
Significant strikes
121 of 253 · 48%
Total strikes
142 of 276 · 51%
Takedowns
1 of 13 · 8%
Control
1:24
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 83%Body 12%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 85%Clinch 14%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
LRyan HallJul 2019U-DEC1:49 ctrl29 str0 td
Significant strikes
29 of 126 · 23%
Total strikes
31 of 128 · 24%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:49
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 28%Body 38%Legs 34%
Position
Distance 55%Clinch 3%Ground 41%
This fight on UFCStats
LRicardo LamasNov 2018KO R32:39 ctrl62 str3 td
Significant strikes
62 of 174 · 36%
Total strikes
81 of 196 · 41%
Takedowns
3 of 6 · 50%
Control
2:39
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 4:09
Elbows to Head On Ground
Target
Head 81%Body 16%Legs 3%
Position
Distance 77%Clinch 21%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
LAlexander VolkanovskiJul 2018U-DEC0:59 ctrl82 str1 td
Significant strikes
82 of 172 · 48%
Total strikes
93 of 184 · 51%
Takedowns
1 of 6 · 17%
Control
0:59
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 80%Body 18%Legs 1%
Position
Distance 82%Clinch 18%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WMichael JohnsonJan 2018SUB R22:01 ctrl18 str1 td
Significant strikes
18 of 64 · 28%
Total strikes
54 of 108 · 50%
Takedowns
1 of 4 · 25%
Control
2:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 2:22
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 72%Body 28%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 0%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
WDennis BermudezJul 2017S-DEC4:04 ctrl70 str3 td
Significant strikes
70 of 154 · 45%
Total strikes
99 of 189 · 52%
Takedowns
3 of 10 · 30%
Control
4:04
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 60%Body 34%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 49%Clinch 47%Ground 4%
This fight on UFCStats
WMirsad BekticMar 2017KO R31:22 ctrl28 str0 td
Significant strikes
28 of 59 · 47%
Total strikes
72 of 109 · 66%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
1:22
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
1
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 3:19
Kick to Head At Distance
Target
Head 50%Body 36%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 21%Clinch 36%Ground 43%
This fight on UFCStats
WGodofredo PepeyJul 2016U-DEC11:46 ctrl33 str5 td
Significant strikes
33 of 57 · 58%
Total strikes
206 of 256 · 80%
Takedowns
5 of 6 · 83%
Control
11:46
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 97%Body 3%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 9%Clinch 0%Ground 91%
This fight on UFCStats
WChas SkellyMar 2016U-DEC8:43 ctrl104 str7 td
Significant strikes
104 of 153 · 68%
Total strikes
193 of 255 · 76%
Takedowns
7 of 11 · 64%
Control
8:43
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 70%Body 25%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 23%Clinch 31%Ground 46%
This fight on UFCStats
WRobert WhitefordOct 2015U-DEC8:30 ctrl40 str7 td
Significant strikes
40 of 130 · 31%
Total strikes
112 of 212 · 53%
Takedowns
7 of 11 · 64%
Control
8:30
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 90%Body 8%Legs 3%
Position
Distance 25%Clinch 5%Ground 70%
This fight on UFCStats
LHacran DiasDec 2014U-DEC2:42 ctrl37 str1 td
Significant strikes
37 of 97 · 38%
Total strikes
77 of 140 · 55%
Takedowns
1 of 6 · 17%
Control
2:42
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 68%Body 22%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 51%Clinch 38%Ground 11%
This fight on UFCStats
WLucas MartinsOct 2014S-DEC8:03 ctrl47 str1 td
Significant strikes
47 of 154 · 31%
Total strikes
133 of 251 · 53%
Takedowns
1 of 14 · 7%
Control
8:03
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 53%Body 36%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 45%Clinch 53%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
LJeremy StephensJan 2014U-DEC1:14 ctrl21 str0 td
Significant strikes
21 of 137 · 15%
Total strikes
26 of 142 · 18%
Takedowns
0 of 9 · 0%
Control
1:14
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
4
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 67%Body 29%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 5%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WHatsu HiokiAug 2013U-DEC7:00 ctrl48 str2 td
Significant strikes
48 of 144 · 33%
Total strikes
100 of 205 · 49%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
7:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 75%Body 25%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 52%Clinch 13%Ground 35%
This fight on UFCStats
LChad MendesApr 2013KO R10:00 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 29 · 7%
Total strikes
2 of 29 · 7%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:08
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 50%Body 50%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WAntonio CarvalhoMar 2013KO R10:22 ctrl14 str0 td
Significant strikes
14 of 54 · 26%
Total strikes
19 of 59 · 32%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:22
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:06
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 57%Body 29%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 43%Clinch 57%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WSteven SilerNov 2012U-DEC11:19 ctrl44 str6 td
Significant strikes
44 of 91 · 48%
Total strikes
103 of 159 · 65%
Takedowns
6 of 7 · 86%
Control
11:19
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
6
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 82%Body 11%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 23%Clinch 25%Ground 52%
This fight on UFCStats
WDiego BrandaoMay 2012U-DEC6:32 ctrl36 str1 td
Significant strikes
36 of 88 · 41%
Total strikes
115 of 187 · 61%
Takedowns
1 of 6 · 17%
Control
6:32
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 75%Body 25%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 39%Clinch 0%Ground 61%
This fight on UFCStats
WZhang TiequanOct 2011U-DEC13:06 ctrl27 str1 td
Significant strikes
27 of 49 · 55%
Total strikes
175 of 218 · 80%
Takedowns
1 of 6 · 17%
Control
13:06
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
3
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 89%Body 11%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 7%Clinch 0%Ground 93%
This fight on UFCStats
WMichihiro OmigawaJun 2011U-DEC0:05 ctrl78 str1 td
Significant strikes
78 of 288 · 27%
Total strikes
79 of 289 · 27%
Takedowns
1 of 4 · 25%
Control
0:05
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 90%Body 10%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LCharles OliveiraAug 2010SUB R10:27 ctrl0 str1 td
Significant strikes
0 of 4 · 0%
Total strikes
0 of 4 · 0%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
0:27
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 0:41
Triangle Armbar From Bottom Guard
This fight on UFCStats
WDuane LudwigMar 2010KO R10:10 ctrl0 str1 td
Significant strikes
0 of 2 · 0%
Total strikes
0 of 2 · 0%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
0:10
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:44
to Ankle Injury
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.