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David Dvorak

20-6-0
34y·5' 5"·68" reach·Orthodox
1:30
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.19
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
33%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in June 2023, 100 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 6 recorded bouts, 269 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 51%Body 22%Legs 28%
Position
Distance 86%Clinch 11%Ground 3%
And how often each lands
Head32%
Body54%
Legs82%
Distance41%
Clinch59%
Ground67%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

3Wins1 SUB · 2 DEC
3Losses3 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

8%
Silva
0%
Espinosa
17%
Ronderos
9%
Nicolau
18%
Kape
13%
Erceg

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R12.89100%6
R23.68127%5
R33.92135%5

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.48
Strikes absorbed / min3.29
Striking accuracyof everything thrown43%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed59%
Takedowns / 15 min0.58
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land30%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed70%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.2
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together6.77
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 6 bouts12.9m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

41.1%
Landed at range
562 thrown over 6 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LSteve ErcegJun 2023U-DEC1:57 ctrl53 str1 td
Significant strikes
53 of 114 · 46%
Total strikes
56 of 117 · 48%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
1:57
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 49%Body 19%Legs 32%
Position
Distance 87%Clinch 8%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
LManel KapeDec 2022U-DEC2:42 ctrl33 str2 td
Significant strikes
33 of 94 · 35%
Total strikes
55 of 122 · 45%
Takedowns
2 of 3 · 67%
Control
2:42
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 52%Body 18%Legs 30%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 3%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
LMatheus NicolauMar 2022U-DEC1:25 ctrl39 str0 td
Significant strikes
39 of 110 · 35%
Total strikes
60 of 134 · 45%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
1:25
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 64%Body 15%Legs 21%
Position
Distance 85%Clinch 10%Ground 5%
This fight on UFCStats
WJuancamilo RonderosMay 2021SUB R10:23 ctrl9 str0 td
Significant strikes
9 of 28 · 32%
Total strikes
9 of 28 · 32%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:23
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:18
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 44%Body 44%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WJordan EspinosaSep 2020U-DEC0:04 ctrl68 str0 td
Significant strikes
68 of 146 · 47%
Total strikes
69 of 147 · 47%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:04
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 44%Body 12%Legs 44%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 10%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WBruno SilvaMar 2020U-DEC1:12 ctrl67 str0 td
Significant strikes
67 of 133 · 50%
Total strikes
92 of 161 · 57%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
1:12
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
2
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 52%Body 36%Legs 12%
Position
Distance 76%Clinch 21%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.