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Dustin Stoltzfus

16-8-0
34y·6' 0"·75" reach·Orthodox
4:13
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.07
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
75%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.5
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss September 2022. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Jun 2024

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in December 2021, 98 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Jun 2024

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 11 recorded bouts, 383 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 52%Body 25%Legs 22%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 13%Ground 11%
And how often each lands
Head33%
Body76%
Legs88%
Distance41%
Clinch71%
Ground71%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

4Wins2 KO · 1 SUB · 1 DEC
7Losses2 KO · 2 SUB · 3 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

13%
Daukaus
1%
Vieira
57%
Meerschaert
29%
Grant
0%
Magomedov
24%
Soriano
31%
Ferreira
87%
Barriault
35%
Ruziboev
13%
Gastelum
32%
Abdul-Malik

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.91100%11
R23.2683%8
R32.5365%6

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.3
Strikes absorbed / min3.23
Striking accuracyof everything thrown45%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed47%
Takedowns / 15 min2.08
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land37%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed46%
Sub attempts / 15 min1.1
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together6.53
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 11 bouts10.3m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

40.7%
Landed at range
671 thrown over 10 bouts
43.0%
Expected
against these opponents
−2.3pp
Gap
below expected
74.1%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

WMansur Abdul-MalikAug 2026SUB R23:02 ctrl43 str2 td
Significant strikes
43 of 70 · 61%
Total strikes
61 of 92 · 66%
Takedowns
2 of 7 · 29%
Control
3:02
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 4:25
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 58%Body 28%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 35%Clinch 33%Ground 33%
This fight on UFCStats
LKelvin GastelumSep 2025U-DEC2:00 ctrl64 str1 td
Significant strikes
64 of 146 · 44%
Total strikes
69 of 151 · 46%
Takedowns
1 of 6 · 17%
Control
2:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 39%Body 39%Legs 22%
Position
Distance 86%Clinch 6%Ground 8%
This fight on UFCStats
LNursulton RuziboevMay 2025U-DEC5:11 ctrl21 str2 td
Significant strikes
21 of 37 · 57%
Total strikes
41 of 62 · 66%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
5:11
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 24%Body 19%Legs 57%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 5%Ground 5%
This fight on UFCStats
WMarc-Andre BarriaultNov 2024KO R13:54 ctrl13 str0 td
Significant strikes
13 of 20 · 65%
Total strikes
23 of 32 · 72%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
3:54
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:28
Punch to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 85%Body 8%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 15%Clinch 54%Ground 31%
This fight on UFCStats
LBrunno FerreiraJun 2024KO R11:31 ctrl18 str1 td
Significant strikes
18 of 40 · 45%
Total strikes
20 of 44 · 45%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
1:31
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:51
Spinning Back Elbow to Head At Distance
Target
Head 67%Body 22%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 72%Clinch 17%Ground 11%
This fight on UFCStats
WPunahele SorianoDec 2023SUB R22:12 ctrl64 str4 td
Significant strikes
64 of 123 · 52%
Total strikes
78 of 140 · 56%
Takedowns
4 of 7 · 57%
Control
2:12
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 4:10
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 38%Body 36%Legs 27%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 6%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LAbus MagomedovSep 2022KO R10:00 ctrl0 str0 td
Significant strikes
0 of 2 · 0%
Total strikes
0 of 2 · 0%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:19
Punches to Head In Clinch
This fight on UFCStats
WDwight GrantJul 2022U-DEC4:17 ctrl49 str2 td
Significant strikes
49 of 112 · 44%
Total strikes
102 of 173 · 59%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
4:17
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 47%Body 14%Legs 39%
Position
Distance 71%Clinch 6%Ground 22%
This fight on UFCStats
LGerald MeerschaertDec 2021SUB R37:27 ctrl12 str4 td
Significant strikes
12 of 32 · 38%
Total strikes
51 of 72 · 71%
Takedowns
4 of 4 · 100%
Control
7:27
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 2:58
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 67%Body 17%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 58%Clinch 0%Ground 42%
This fight on UFCStats
LRodolfo VieiraJul 2021SUB R30:09 ctrl67 str0 td
Significant strikes
67 of 192 · 35%
Total strikes
83 of 209 · 40%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
0:09
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Submission, R3 1:54
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 79%Body 16%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 3%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
LKyle DaukausNov 2020U-DEC2:01 ctrl32 str0 td
Significant strikes
32 of 63 · 51%
Total strikes
95 of 130 · 73%
Takedowns
0 of 7 · 0%
Control
2:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 44%Body 25%Legs 31%
Position
Distance 56%Clinch 41%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.