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Alexander Volkanovski

28-4-0
37y·5' 6"·71" reach·Orthodox
2:58
Control / 15m
time on top
+2.68
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
33%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.3
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss October 2023. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Feb 2024

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in December 2018, 125 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Feb 2024

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 18 recorded bouts, 1815 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 65%Body 10%Legs 25%
Position
Distance 76%Clinch 8%Ground 15%
And how often each lands
Head51%
Body67%
Legs78%
Distance54%
Clinch73%
Ground69%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

15Wins5 KO · 10 DEC
3Losses2 KO · 1 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

62%
Kasuya
35%
Hirota
56%
Young
80%
Kennedy
23%
Elkins
1%
Mendes
30%
Aldo
3%
Holloway
6%
Holloway
15%
Ortega
18%
Jung
8%
Holloway
12%
Makhachev
50%
Rodriguez
26%
Makhachev
0%
Topuria
5%
Lopes
11%
Lopes

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.56100%18
R26.20136%17
R36.81149%13
R46.37140%8
R57.20158%7

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min5.99
Strikes absorbed / min3.31
Striking accuracyof everything thrown57%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed58%
Takedowns / 15 min1.63
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land34%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed68%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.2
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together9.3
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 18 bouts16.8m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

54.0%
Landed at range
2,496 thrown over 17 bouts
38.6%
Expected
against these opponents
+15.3pp
Gap
above expected
93.8%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

WDiego LopesJan 2026U-DEC2:49 ctrl98 str2 td
Significant strikes
98 of 160 · 61%
Total strikes
112 of 178 · 63%
Takedowns
2 of 7 · 29%
Control
2:49
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 73%Body 3%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 3%Ground 7%
This fight on UFCStats
WDiego LopesApr 2025U-DEC1:18 ctrl158 str1 td
Significant strikes
158 of 259 · 61%
Total strikes
165 of 266 · 62%
Takedowns
1 of 11 · 9%
Control
1:18
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 86%Body 5%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 4%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
LIlia TopuriaFeb 2024KO R20:00 ctrl47 str0 td
Significant strikes
47 of 107 · 44%
Total strikes
47 of 107 · 44%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:32
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 45%Body 23%Legs 32%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 6%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LIslam MakhachevOct 2023KO R10:49 ctrl4 str0 td
Significant strikes
4 of 6 · 67%
Total strikes
11 of 18 · 61%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:49
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:06
Kick to Head At Distance
Target
Head 0%Body 25%Legs 75%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 25%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WYair RodriguezJul 2023KO R37:13 ctrl66 str7 td
Significant strikes
66 of 97 · 68%
Total strikes
149 of 198 · 75%
Takedowns
7 of 12 · 58%
Control
7:13
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 4:19
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 73%Body 6%Legs 21%
Position
Distance 38%Clinch 6%Ground 56%
This fight on UFCStats
LIslam MakhachevFeb 2023U-DEC2:55 ctrl70 str0 td
Significant strikes
70 of 143 · 49%
Total strikes
164 of 255 · 64%
Takedowns
0 of 4 · 0%
Control
2:55
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 53%Body 30%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 9%Ground 9%
This fight on UFCStats
WMax HollowayJul 2022U-DEC1:57 ctrl199 str0 td
Significant strikes
199 of 372 · 53%
Total strikes
204 of 377 · 54%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:57
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 76%Body 10%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 12%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WChan Sung JungApr 2022KO R42:52 ctrl138 str4 td
Significant strikes
138 of 213 · 65%
Total strikes
152 of 228 · 67%
Takedowns
4 of 8 · 50%
Control
2:52
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R4 0:45
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 74%Body 7%Legs 19%
Position
Distance 84%Clinch 7%Ground 9%
This fight on UFCStats
WBrian OrtegaSep 2021U-DEC3:51 ctrl214 str0 td
Significant strikes
214 of 353 · 61%
Total strikes
229 of 377 · 61%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
3:51
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
2
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 68%Body 9%Legs 22%
Position
Distance 74%Clinch 1%Ground 25%
This fight on UFCStats
WMax HollowayJul 2020S-DEC1:26 ctrl137 str3 td
Significant strikes
137 of 272 · 50%
Total strikes
139 of 275 · 51%
Takedowns
3 of 9 · 33%
Control
1:26
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 47%Body 4%Legs 49%
Position
Distance 99%Clinch 1%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WMax HollowayDec 2019U-DEC0:44 ctrl157 str0 td
Significant strikes
157 of 303 · 52%
Total strikes
157 of 303 · 52%
Takedowns
0 of 4 · 0%
Control
0:44
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 43%Body 10%Legs 48%
Position
Distance 99%Clinch 1%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WJose AldoMay 2019U-DEC4:26 ctrl95 str0 td
Significant strikes
95 of 176 · 54%
Total strikes
129 of 215 · 60%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
4:26
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 29%Body 18%Legs 53%
Position
Distance 71%Clinch 29%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WChad MendesDec 2018KO R20:08 ctrl54 str0 td
Significant strikes
54 of 124 · 44%
Total strikes
54 of 124 · 44%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:08
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:14
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 67%Body 19%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 85%Clinch 9%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
WDarren ElkinsJul 2018U-DEC3:25 ctrl100 str2 td
Significant strikes
100 of 144 · 69%
Total strikes
103 of 147 · 70%
Takedowns
2 of 12 · 17%
Control
3:25
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
3
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 76%Body 11%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 81%Clinch 18%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
WJeremy KennedyFeb 2018KO R27:55 ctrl73 str2 td
Significant strikes
73 of 120 · 61%
Total strikes
105 of 158 · 66%
Takedowns
2 of 3 · 67%
Control
7:55
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:57
Punches to Head From Half Guard
Target
Head 78%Body 14%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 5%Clinch 7%Ground 88%
This fight on UFCStats
WShane YoungNov 2017U-DEC8:21 ctrl68 str5 td
Significant strikes
68 of 114 · 60%
Total strikes
79 of 128 · 62%
Takedowns
5 of 14 · 36%
Control
8:21
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 53%Body 16%Legs 31%
Position
Distance 59%Clinch 21%Ground 21%
This fight on UFCStats
WMizuto HirotaJun 2017U-DEC5:18 ctrl87 str4 td
Significant strikes
87 of 139 · 63%
Total strikes
93 of 145 · 64%
Takedowns
4 of 7 · 57%
Control
5:18
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 63%Body 10%Legs 26%
Position
Distance 53%Clinch 21%Ground 26%
This fight on UFCStats
WYusuke KasuyaNov 2016KO R24:23 ctrl50 str3 td
Significant strikes
50 of 76 · 66%
Total strikes
55 of 81 · 68%
Takedowns
3 of 3 · 100%
Control
4:23
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 2:06
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 94%Body 4%Legs 2%
Position
Distance 4%Clinch 6%Ground 90%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.