Chin Decay
PredictiveFirst KO loss February 2025. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.
Fired again Nov 2025
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Eric McConico
11-4-1
36y·6' 0"·77" reach·Southpaw
1:58
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.13
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
0%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed
Tells
Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.
Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.
How they fight
Every significant strike they have landed across 5 recorded bouts, 144 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.
Target
Head 65%Body 19%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 77%Clinch 23%Ground 0%
And how often each lands
Head38%
Body69%
Legs92%
Distance42%
Clinch73%
How fights end
UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.
2Wins2 DEC
2Losses2 KO
Control, bout by bout
Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.
0%
Ruziboev
21%
Brundage
20%
Susurkaev
6%
Vieira
3%
Johnson
As the fight goes on
Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.
Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R11.90100%5
R23.65192%4
R33.97209%3
Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.
Career numbers
Strikes landed / min2.92
Strikes absorbed / min3.05
Striking accuracyof everything thrown46%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed45%
Takedowns / 15 min0.64
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land100%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed68%
Sub attempts / 15 min0
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together5.97
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 5 bouts9.8m
Earned Accuracy
How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.
42.4%
Landed at range
250 thrown over 4 bouts
—
Expected
against these opponents
—
Gap
below the cutoffs
—
Coverage
from real records
It takes 5 bouts before this comparison says anything. There are 4 here, so it's only showing what they actually landed.
The fine print
Distance strikes only
Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.
One pass, not a rating
How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.
Coverage, and who gets ranked
Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.
Short records get pulled to the middle
An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.
Bout log
LDonte JohnsonAug 2026KO R10:03 ctrl6 str0 td
Significant strikes
6 of 15 · 40%
Total strikes
6 of 15 · 40%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:03
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:38
Punch to Head At DistanceTarget
Head 67%Body 17%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 17%Ground 0%
WRodolfo VieiraApr 2026U-DEC0:51 ctrl54 str2 td
Significant strikes
54 of 102 · 53%
Total strikes
73 of 123 · 59%
Takedowns
2 of 2 · 100%
Control
0:51
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 78%Body 15%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 91%Clinch 9%Ground 0%
LBaisangur SusurkaevNov 2025KO R32:17 ctrl53 str0 td
Significant strikes
53 of 107 · 50%
Total strikes
90 of 150 · 60%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
2:17
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 1:38
Punch to Head At DistanceTarget
Head 53%Body 19%Legs 28%
Position
Distance 68%Clinch 32%Ground 0%
WCody BrundageAug 2025S-DEC3:12 ctrl26 str0 td
Significant strikes
26 of 72 · 36%
Total strikes
54 of 102 · 53%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
3:12
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 69%Body 27%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 62%Clinch 38%Ground 0%
LNursulton RuziboevFeb 2025KO R20:00 ctrl5 str0 td
Significant strikes
5 of 13 · 38%
Total strikes
6 of 16 · 38%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 0:33
Punch to Head At DistanceTarget
Head 20%Body 20%Legs 60%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%