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Francis Marshall

10-3-0
27y·5' 9"·72" reach·Orthodox
4:47
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.26
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
40%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
1.2
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss August 2023. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 7 recorded bouts, 172 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 82%Body 7%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 89%Clinch 5%Ground 6%
And how often each lands
Head26%
Body57%
Legs100%
Distance27%
Clinch90%
Ground71%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

5Wins1 KO · 1 SUB · 3 DEC
3Losses1 KO · 2 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

45%
Rojo
29%
Gomis
0%
Dulgarian
36%
Buzukja
17%
Santos
68%
Silva
44%
Brennan

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R11.61100%7
R22.69167%5
R33.15196%4

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.19
Strikes absorbed / min3.45
Striking accuracyof everything thrown34%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed55%
Takedowns / 15 min2.71
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land47%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed88%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.5
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together6.64
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 7 bouts10.5m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

27.2%
Landed at range
563 thrown over 7 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

WLucas BrennanApr 2026U-DEC6:36 ctrl33 str2 td
Significant strikes
33 of 69 · 48%
Total strikes
60 of 99 · 61%
Takedowns
2 of 3 · 67%
Control
6:36
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 79%Body 9%Legs 12%
Position
Distance 85%Clinch 12%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
WErik SilvaFeb 2026SUB R11:42 ctrl3 str1 td
Significant strikes
3 of 5 · 60%
Total strikes
10 of 13 · 77%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
1:42
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:29
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 0%Body 0%Legs 100%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LMairon SantosMar 2025S-DEC2:35 ctrl39 str3 td
Significant strikes
39 of 143 · 27%
Total strikes
64 of 179 · 36%
Takedowns
3 of 5 · 60%
Control
2:35
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 82%Body 3%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WDennis BuzukjaAug 2024S-DEC5:26 ctrl57 str1 td
Significant strikes
57 of 150 · 38%
Total strikes
82 of 175 · 47%
Takedowns
1 of 6 · 17%
Control
5:26
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 93%Body 4%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 93%Clinch 5%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
LIsaac DulgarianAug 2023KO R10:00 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 7 · 29%
Total strikes
11 of 16 · 69%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:48
Elbows to Head From Mount
Target
Head 0%Body 0%Legs 100%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LWilliam GomisApr 2023S-DEC4:20 ctrl15 str2 td
Significant strikes
15 of 132 · 11%
Total strikes
35 of 165 · 21%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
4:20
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 67%Body 27%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 87%Clinch 0%Ground 13%
This fight on UFCStats
WMarcelo RojoDec 2022KO R22:47 ctrl23 str1 td
Significant strikes
23 of 81 · 28%
Total strikes
29 of 89 · 33%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
2:47
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:14
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 87%Body 9%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 65%Clinch 9%Ground 26%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.