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Grant Dawson

24-3-1
32y·5' 10"·72" reach·Switch
9:46
Control / 15m
time on top
+1.00
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
62%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.2
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss October 2023. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Dec 2025

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in March 2021, 65 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Dec 2025

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 15 recorded bouts, 528 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 69%Body 19%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 50%Clinch 10%Ground 40%
And how often each lands
Head45%
Body64%
Legs85%
Distance40%
Clinch80%
Ground69%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

13Wins2 KO · 6 SUB · 5 DEC
2Losses2 KO

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

67%
Erosa
56%
Trizano
79%
Minner
55%
Narimani
55%
Santos
56%
Glenn
51%
Gordon
79%
Madsen
83%
Ismagulov
0%
Green
92%
Solecki
77%
Garcia
72%
Ferreira
0%
Torres
49%
Rebecki

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R12.78100%15
R23.19115%13
R33.51126%10

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.14
Strikes absorbed / min2.14
Striking accuracyof everything thrown51%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed44%
Takedowns / 15 min3.58
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land39%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed66%
Sub attempts / 15 min1.4
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together5.28
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 15 bouts11.3m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

39.2%
Landed at range
554 thrown over 14 bouts
39.3%
Expected
against these opponents
−0.1pp
Gap
below expected
85.2%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

WMateusz RebeckiMay 2026SUB R37:08 ctrl35 str1 td
Significant strikes
35 of 94 · 37%
Total strikes
71 of 136 · 52%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
7:08
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
4
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 4:42
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 54%Body 40%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 69%Clinch 17%Ground 14%
This fight on UFCStats
LManuel TorresDec 2025KO R10:00 ctrl8 str0 td
Significant strikes
8 of 21 · 38%
Total strikes
8 of 21 · 38%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:25
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 50%Body 25%Legs 25%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WDiego FerreiraJan 2025U-DEC10:50 ctrl56 str6 td
Significant strikes
56 of 98 · 57%
Total strikes
195 of 269 · 72%
Takedowns
6 of 11 · 55%
Control
10:50
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 91%Body 5%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 34%Clinch 13%Ground 54%
This fight on UFCStats
WRafa GarciaOct 2024KO R25:09 ctrl44 str2 td
Significant strikes
44 of 90 · 49%
Total strikes
80 of 144 · 56%
Takedowns
2 of 4 · 50%
Control
5:09
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:42
Punches to Head From Back Control
Target
Head 86%Body 9%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 11%Clinch 0%Ground 89%
This fight on UFCStats
WJoe SoleckiJun 2024U-DEC13:46 ctrl46 str3 td
Significant strikes
46 of 70 · 66%
Total strikes
146 of 190 · 77%
Takedowns
3 of 3 · 100%
Control
13:46
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 85%Body 13%Legs 2%
Position
Distance 15%Clinch 2%Ground 83%
This fight on UFCStats
LKing GreenOct 2023KO R10:00 ctrl0 str0 td
Significant strikes
0 of 6 · 0%
Total strikes
0 of 6 · 0%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:33
Punch to Head At Distance
This fight on UFCStats
WDamir IsmagulovJul 2023U-DEC12:24 ctrl30 str3 td
Significant strikes
30 of 57 · 53%
Total strikes
84 of 128 · 66%
Takedowns
3 of 5 · 60%
Control
12:24
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 93%Body 3%Legs 3%
Position
Distance 30%Clinch 3%Ground 67%
This fight on UFCStats
WMark MadsenNov 2022SUB R39:31 ctrl33 str2 td
Significant strikes
33 of 49 · 67%
Total strikes
73 of 96 · 76%
Takedowns
2 of 6 · 33%
Control
9:31
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 2:05
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 52%Body 15%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 76%Clinch 3%Ground 21%
This fight on UFCStats
WJared GordonApr 2022SUB R37:11 ctrl54 str7 td
Significant strikes
54 of 111 · 49%
Total strikes
98 of 163 · 60%
Takedowns
7 of 17 · 41%
Control
7:11
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 4:11
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 78%Body 20%Legs 2%
Position
Distance 74%Clinch 17%Ground 9%
This fight on UFCStats
DRicky GlennOct 2021M-DEC8:26 ctrl24 str3 td
Significant strikes
24 of 31 · 77%
Total strikes
71 of 85 · 84%
Takedowns
3 of 11 · 27%
Control
8:26
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Majority decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 50%Body 46%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 13%Clinch 8%Ground 79%
This fight on UFCStats
WLeonardo SantosMar 2021KO R38:18 ctrl46 str1 td
Significant strikes
46 of 84 · 55%
Total strikes
75 of 132 · 57%
Takedowns
1 of 13 · 8%
Control
8:18
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 4:59
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 35%Body 50%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 72%Clinch 20%Ground 9%
This fight on UFCStats
WNad NarimaniJul 2020U-DEC8:11 ctrl53 str2 td
Significant strikes
53 of 115 · 46%
Total strikes
136 of 218 · 62%
Takedowns
2 of 6 · 33%
Control
8:11
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 47%Body 9%Legs 43%
Position
Distance 91%Clinch 0%Ground 9%
This fight on UFCStats
WDarrick MinnerFeb 2020SUB R25:14 ctrl15 str2 td
Significant strikes
15 of 22 · 68%
Total strikes
42 of 52 · 81%
Takedowns
2 of 3 · 67%
Control
5:14
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 1:38
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 93%Body 7%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 7%Clinch 0%Ground 93%
This fight on UFCStats
WMichael TrizanoMay 2019SUB R24:11 ctrl27 str3 td
Significant strikes
27 of 56 · 48%
Total strikes
34 of 63 · 54%
Takedowns
3 of 10 · 30%
Control
4:11
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 2:27
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 33%Body 44%Legs 22%
Position
Distance 56%Clinch 41%Ground 4%
This fight on UFCStats
WJulian ErosaMar 2019U-DEC10:07 ctrl57 str6 td
Significant strikes
57 of 128 · 45%
Total strikes
86 of 166 · 52%
Takedowns
6 of 11 · 55%
Control
10:07
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 84%Body 4%Legs 12%
Position
Distance 49%Clinch 9%Ground 42%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.