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Greg Hardy

7-5-0 (1 NC)
38y·6' 5"·80" reach·Orthodox
1:05
Control / 15m
time on top
+1.48
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
83%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.3
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss December 2020. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Mar 2022

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 10 recorded bouts, 343 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 59%Body 15%Legs 26%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 4%Ground 21%
And how often each lands
Head40%
Body72%
Legs80%
Distance44%
Clinch82%
Ground80%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

6Wins5 KO · 1 DEC
4Losses3 KO · 1 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

17%
Crowder
19%
Smoliakov
38%
Adams
0%
Sosoli
0%
Volkov
6%
Castro
41%
Greene
0%
Tybura
0%
Tuivasa
0%
Spivac

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R15.55100%10
R23.8469%6
R33.4762%3

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min4.79
Strikes absorbed / min3.31
Striking accuracyof everything thrown50%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed55%
Takedowns / 15 min0.2
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land33%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed64%
Sub attempts / 15 min0
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together8.1
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 10 bouts7.5m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

44.2%
Landed at range
581 thrown over 10 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LSerghei SpivacMar 2022KO R10:00 ctrl7 str0 td
Significant strikes
7 of 12 · 58%
Total strikes
7 of 12 · 58%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:16
Punches to Head From Mount
Target
Head 43%Body 14%Legs 43%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LTai TuivasaJul 2021KO R10:00 ctrl6 str0 td
Significant strikes
6 of 15 · 40%
Total strikes
6 of 15 · 40%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:07
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 83%Body 0%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LMarcin TyburaDec 2020KO R20:02 ctrl50 str0 td
Significant strikes
50 of 91 · 55%
Total strikes
50 of 91 · 55%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:02
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:31
Punches to Head From Half Guard
Target
Head 58%Body 24%Legs 18%
Position
Distance 92%Clinch 8%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WMaurice GreeneOct 2020KO R22:32 ctrl46 str1 td
Significant strikes
46 of 74 · 62%
Total strikes
56 of 85 · 66%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
2:32
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:12
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 70%Body 11%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 41%Clinch 0%Ground 59%
This fight on UFCStats
WYorgan De CastroMay 2020U-DEC0:53 ctrl55 str0 td
Significant strikes
55 of 124 · 44%
Total strikes
66 of 135 · 49%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:53
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 38%Body 13%Legs 49%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LAlexander VolkovNov 2019U-DEC0:00 ctrl46 str0 td
Significant strikes
46 of 135 · 34%
Total strikes
51 of 140 · 36%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 50%Body 28%Legs 22%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
NCBen SosoliOct 2019NC R30:00 ctrl54 str0 td
Significant strikes
54 of 105 · 51%
Total strikes
54 of 105 · 51%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Overturned, R3 5:00
Illegal Inhaler Use by Hardy Lars Borssen 28 - 29. Sal D'amato 28 - 29. Marcel Varela 28 - 29.
Target
Head 41%Body 9%Legs 50%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 4%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WJuan AdamsJul 2019KO R10:17 ctrl36 str0 td
Significant strikes
36 of 38 · 95%
Total strikes
36 of 38 · 95%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:17
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:45
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 97%Body 3%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 14%Clinch 0%Ground 86%
This fight on UFCStats
WDmitrii SmoliakovApr 2019KO R10:25 ctrl14 str0 td
Significant strikes
14 of 30 · 47%
Total strikes
17 of 33 · 52%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:25
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:15
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 86%Body 14%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 29%Clinch 14%Ground 57%
This fight on UFCStats
LAllen CrowderJan 2019DQ R21:16 ctrl29 str0 td
Significant strikes
29 of 64 · 45%
Total strikes
35 of 70 · 50%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:16
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Disqualification, R2 2:28
Illegal Knee by Hardy
Target
Head 72%Body 17%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 59%Clinch 21%Ground 21%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.