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Ian Machado Garry

The Future
17-1-0
28y·6' 3"·74" reach·Orthodox
1:33
Control / 15m
time on top
+1.92
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
30%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.5
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in March 2023, 64 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 12 recorded bouts, 804 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 55%Body 20%Legs 24%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 6%Ground 4%
And how often each lands
Head42%
Body75%
Legs89%
Distance52%
Clinch70%
Ground69%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

10Wins3 KO · 7 DEC
1Losses1 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

12%
Williams
4%
Weeks
5%
Green
1%
Kenan
6%
Rodriguez
17%
Magny
1%
Neal
50%
Page
10%
Rakhmonov
13%
Prates
4%
Muhammad
2%
Makhachev

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.44100%12
R24.62134%10
R35.95173%10
R42.7380%3
R52.6076%3

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min4.78
Strikes absorbed / min2.86
Striking accuracyof everything thrown54%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed52%
Takedowns / 15 min0.92
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land31%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed80%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.4
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together7.64
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 12 bouts15.6m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

53.0%
Landed at range
1,329 thrown over 11 bouts
45.3%
Expected
against these opponents
+7.7pp
Gap
above expected
86.7%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LIslam MakhachevAug 2026U-DEC0:34 ctrl29 str0 td
Significant strikes
29 of 65 · 45%
Total strikes
89 of 141 · 63%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:34
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 24%Body 55%Legs 21%
Position
Distance 76%Clinch 24%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WBelal MuhammadNov 2025U-DEC0:39 ctrl72 str0 td
Significant strikes
72 of 141 · 51%
Total strikes
96 of 167 · 57%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:39
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 49%Body 14%Legs 38%
Position
Distance 92%Clinch 8%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WCarlos PratesApr 2025U-DEC3:09 ctrl126 str4 td
Significant strikes
126 of 242 · 52%
Total strikes
141 of 259 · 54%
Takedowns
4 of 19 · 21%
Control
3:09
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 68%Body 13%Legs 18%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 2%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
LShavkat RakhmonovDec 2024U-DEC2:32 ctrl42 str1 td
Significant strikes
42 of 84 · 50%
Total strikes
102 of 157 · 65%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
2:32
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 26%Body 24%Legs 50%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 17%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WMichael PageJun 2024U-DEC7:29 ctrl19 str2 td
Significant strikes
19 of 39 · 49%
Total strikes
65 of 101 · 64%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
7:29
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 63%Body 16%Legs 21%
Position
Distance 47%Clinch 26%Ground 26%
This fight on UFCStats
WGeoff NealFeb 2024S-DEC0:12 ctrl67 str0 td
Significant strikes
67 of 135 · 50%
Total strikes
80 of 148 · 54%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:12
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 58%Body 27%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 3%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WNeil MagnyAug 2023U-DEC2:32 ctrl91 str2 td
Significant strikes
91 of 150 · 61%
Total strikes
111 of 171 · 65%
Takedowns
2 of 2 · 100%
Control
2:32
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 35%Body 18%Legs 47%
Position
Distance 92%Clinch 4%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
WDaniel RodriguezMay 2023KO R10:10 ctrl23 str0 td
Significant strikes
23 of 46 · 50%
Total strikes
23 of 46 · 50%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:10
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:57
Kick to Head At Distance
Target
Head 83%Body 17%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 52%Clinch 0%Ground 48%
This fight on UFCStats
WSong KenanMar 2023KO R30:05 ctrl127 str0 td
Significant strikes
127 of 231 · 55%
Total strikes
127 of 231 · 55%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:05
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 4:22
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 46%Body 28%Legs 26%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 1%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
WGabe GreenJul 2022U-DEC0:46 ctrl116 str1 td
Significant strikes
116 of 193 · 60%
Total strikes
129 of 206 · 63%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
0:46
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 75%Body 15%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 2%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
WDarian WeeksApr 2022U-DEC0:39 ctrl74 str0 td
Significant strikes
74 of 144 · 51%
Total strikes
80 of 151 · 53%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:39
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 64%Body 16%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 93%Clinch 7%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WJordan WilliamsNov 2021KO R10:37 ctrl18 str0 td
Significant strikes
18 of 28 · 64%
Total strikes
22 of 32 · 69%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:37
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:59
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 61%Body 28%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 78%Clinch 22%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.