Chin Decay
PredictiveFirst KO loss November 2025. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.
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Ismael Bonfim
20-7-0
30y·5' 8"·71" reach·Orthodox
1:13
Control / 15m
time on top
+1.14
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
33%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.4
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed
Tells
Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.
Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.
How they fight
Every significant strike they have landed across 6 recorded bouts, 228 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.
Target
Head 64%Body 21%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 8%Ground 1%
And how often each lands
Head45%
Body84%
Legs89%
Distance53%
Clinch86%
Ground75%
How fights end
UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.
3Wins1 KO · 2 DEC
4Losses2 KO · 2 SUB
Control, bout by bout
Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.
11%
McKinney
3%
Denis
3%
Pichel
0%
Sadykhov
3%
Padilla
43%
Sola
As the fight goes on
Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.
Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.59100%6
R26.86191%3
R38.20—1
Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.
Career numbers
Strikes landed / min5.1
Strikes absorbed / min3.96
Striking accuracyof everything thrown54%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed62%
Takedowns / 15 min1.22
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land33%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed76%
Sub attempts / 15 min0
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together9.06
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 6 bouts7.7m
Earned Accuracy
How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.
52.6%
Landed at range
392 thrown over 6 bouts
40.8%
Expected
against these opponents
+11.8pp
Gap
above expected
82.3%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print
Distance strikes only
Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.
One pass, not a rating
How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.
Coverage, and who gets ranked
Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.
Short records get pulled to the middle
An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.
Bout log
LAxel SolaJul 2026SUB R12:03 ctrl1 str1 td
Significant strikes
1 of 3 · 33%
Total strikes
1 of 3 · 33%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
2:03
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 4:44
D'Arce Choke On GroundTarget
Head 0%Body 0%Legs 100%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
LChris PadillaNov 2025KO R20:15 ctrl42 str1 td
Significant strikes
42 of 84 · 50%
Total strikes
47 of 89 · 53%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
0:15
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:30
Punches to Head On GroundTarget
Head 64%Body 29%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
LNazim SadykhovFeb 2025DOC R10:00 ctrl26 str0 td
Significant strikes
26 of 42 · 62%
Total strikes
26 of 43 · 60%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Doctor's stoppage, R1 5:00
Target
Head 54%Body 19%Legs 27%
Position
Distance 92%Clinch 8%Ground 0%
WVinc PichelMay 2024U-DEC0:30 ctrl111 str1 td
Significant strikes
111 of 216 · 51%
Total strikes
112 of 217 · 52%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
0:30
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 72%Body 12%Legs 16%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 2%Ground 2%
LBenoit Saint DenisJul 2023SUB R10:10 ctrl14 str0 td
Significant strikes
14 of 24 · 58%
Total strikes
15 of 26 · 58%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:10
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 4:48
Rear Naked ChokeTarget
Head 64%Body 14%Legs 21%
Position
Distance 57%Clinch 36%Ground 7%
WTerrance McKinneyJan 2023KO R20:48 ctrl34 str1 td
Significant strikes
34 of 49 · 69%
Total strikes
38 of 53 · 72%
Takedowns
1 of 4 · 25%
Control
0:48
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 2:17
Flying Knee HeadTarget
Head 47%Body 47%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 71%Clinch 29%Ground 0%