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Israel Adesanya

24-6-0
37y·6' 4"·80" reach·Switch
0:28
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.81
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
38%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
1
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss November 2022. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Mar 2026

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in April 2019, 78 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Mar 2026

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 19 recorded bouts, 1313 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 49%Body 21%Legs 30%
Position
Distance 92%Clinch 5%Ground 3%
And how often each lands
Head35%
Body70%
Legs83%
Distance47%
Clinch77%
Ground73%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

13Wins5 KO · 8 DEC
6Losses3 KO · 1 SUB · 2 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

0%
Wilkinson
0%
Vettori
7%
Tavares
3%
Brunson
0%
Silva
3%
Gastelum
1%
Whittaker
0%
Romero
2%
Costa
0%
Blachowicz
2%
Vettori
0%
Whittaker
0%
Cannonier
30%
Pereira
1%
Pereira
0%
Strickland
1%
Plessis
0%
Imavov
0%
Pyfer

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.33100%19
R25.02151%18
R33.98120%12
R43.91117%10
R53.93118%9

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min4.03
Strikes absorbed / min3.22
Striking accuracyof everything thrown48%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed55%
Takedowns / 15 min0.05
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land9%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed76%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.1
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together7.25
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 19 bouts17.1m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

47.0%
Landed at range
2,580 thrown over 19 bouts
37.1%
Expected
against these opponents
+9.9pp
Gap
above expected
91.7%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LJoe PyferMar 2026KO R20:00 ctrl42 str0 td
Significant strikes
42 of 75 · 56%
Total strikes
58 of 92 · 63%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:18
Punches to Head From Mount
Target
Head 52%Body 19%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LNassourdine ImavovFeb 2025KO R20:00 ctrl26 str0 td
Significant strikes
26 of 50 · 52%
Total strikes
32 of 56 · 57%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 0:30
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 35%Body 23%Legs 42%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LDricus Du PlessisAug 2024SUB R40:09 ctrl97 str0 td
Significant strikes
97 of 203 · 48%
Total strikes
105 of 211 · 50%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:09
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Submission, R4 3:38
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 65%Body 27%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 4%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
LSean StricklandSep 2023U-DEC0:00 ctrl94 str0 td
Significant strikes
94 of 271 · 35%
Total strikes
94 of 271 · 35%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 23%Body 40%Legs 36%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WAlex PereiraApr 2023KO R20:03 ctrl41 str0 td
Significant strikes
41 of 96 · 43%
Total strikes
41 of 96 · 43%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:03
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:21
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 44%Body 34%Legs 22%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 0%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
LAlex PereiraNov 2022KO R56:34 ctrl86 str1 td
Significant strikes
86 of 162 · 53%
Total strikes
119 of 209 · 57%
Takedowns
1 of 4 · 25%
Control
6:34
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R5 2:01
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 48%Body 24%Legs 28%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 3%Ground 7%
This fight on UFCStats
WJared CannonierJul 2022U-DEC0:00 ctrl116 str0 td
Significant strikes
116 of 230 · 50%
Total strikes
163 of 277 · 59%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 52%Body 22%Legs 26%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WRobert WhittakerFeb 2022U-DEC0:01 ctrl79 str0 td
Significant strikes
79 of 169 · 47%
Total strikes
98 of 188 · 52%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:01
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 46%Body 18%Legs 37%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 3%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WMarvin VettoriJun 2021U-DEC0:36 ctrl96 str0 td
Significant strikes
96 of 181 · 53%
Total strikes
122 of 208 · 59%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:36
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
2
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 46%Body 11%Legs 43%
Position
Distance 89%Clinch 10%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
LJan BlachowiczMar 2021U-DEC0:01 ctrl78 str0 td
Significant strikes
78 of 161 · 48%
Total strikes
99 of 182 · 54%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 41%Body 22%Legs 37%
Position
Distance 99%Clinch 0%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
WPaulo CostaSep 2020KO R20:09 ctrl55 str0 td
Significant strikes
55 of 84 · 65%
Total strikes
55 of 84 · 65%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:09
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:59
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 44%Body 9%Legs 47%
Position
Distance 82%Clinch 4%Ground 15%
This fight on UFCStats
WYoel RomeroMar 2020U-DEC0:00 ctrl48 str0 td
Significant strikes
48 of 132 · 36%
Total strikes
48 of 132 · 36%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 29%Body 19%Legs 52%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WRobert WhittakerOct 2019KO R20:04 ctrl40 str0 td
Significant strikes
40 of 95 · 42%
Total strikes
40 of 95 · 42%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:04
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:33
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 68%Body 15%Legs 18%
Position
Distance 93%Clinch 0%Ground 8%
This fight on UFCStats
WKelvin GastelumApr 2019U-DEC0:42 ctrl109 str0 td
Significant strikes
109 of 237 · 46%
Total strikes
119 of 247 · 48%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:42
Knockdowns
4
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 64%Body 15%Legs 21%
Position
Distance 92%Clinch 1%Ground 7%
This fight on UFCStats
WAnderson SilvaFeb 2019U-DEC0:00 ctrl65 str0 td
Significant strikes
65 of 132 · 49%
Total strikes
65 of 132 · 49%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 42%Body 14%Legs 45%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 3%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WDerek BrunsonNov 2018KO R10:10 ctrl13 str0 td
Significant strikes
13 of 23 · 57%
Total strikes
15 of 25 · 60%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:10
Knockdowns
3
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:51
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 69%Body 23%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 85%Clinch 15%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WBrad TavaresJul 2018U-DEC1:46 ctrl119 str0 td
Significant strikes
119 of 215 · 55%
Total strikes
127 of 223 · 57%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
1:46
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 51%Body 18%Legs 31%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 10%Ground 7%
This fight on UFCStats
WMarvin VettoriApr 2018S-DEC0:00 ctrl57 str0 td
Significant strikes
57 of 123 · 46%
Total strikes
67 of 134 · 50%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 54%Body 19%Legs 26%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WRob WilkinsonFeb 2018KO R20:00 ctrl52 str0 td
Significant strikes
52 of 75 · 69%
Total strikes
70 of 94 · 74%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:37
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 67%Body 25%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 54%Clinch 46%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.