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Jake Hadley

11-4-0
30y·5' 7"·70" reach·Southpaw
1:49
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.36
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
75%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.3
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in May 2024, 62 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 7 recorded bouts, 323 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 46%Body 26%Legs 28%
Position
Distance 86%Clinch 4%Ground 10%
And how often each lands
Head27%
Body74%
Legs94%
Distance40%
Clinch57%
Ground84%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

4Wins1 KO · 2 SUB · 1 DEC
4Losses4 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

26%
Nascimento
0%
Candelario
7%
Gordon
14%
Durden
15%
Johnson
1%
Loughran
13%
Smotherman

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.45100%7
R24.1994%6
R32.7662%5

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.8
Strikes absorbed / min4.16
Striking accuracyof everything thrown43%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed61%
Takedowns / 15 min0.33
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land11%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed54%
Sub attempts / 15 min1.1
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together7.96
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 7 bouts11.9m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

40.4%
Landed at range
690 thrown over 7 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LCameron SmothermanOct 2024U-DEC1:53 ctrl60 str1 td
Significant strikes
60 of 165 · 36%
Total strikes
70 of 176 · 40%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
1:53
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 47%Body 28%Legs 25%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WCaolan LoughranJul 2024U-DEC0:07 ctrl81 str0 td
Significant strikes
81 of 154 · 53%
Total strikes
107 of 181 · 59%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:07
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 43%Body 16%Legs 41%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 4%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LCharles JohnsonMay 2024U-DEC2:12 ctrl48 str0 td
Significant strikes
48 of 128 · 38%
Total strikes
50 of 130 · 38%
Takedowns
0 of 11 · 0%
Control
2:12
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 31%Body 31%Legs 38%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 4%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LCody DurdenAug 2023U-DEC2:04 ctrl26 str0 td
Significant strikes
26 of 83 · 31%
Total strikes
45 of 106 · 42%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
2:04
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
3
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 46%Body 38%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 12%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WMalcolm GordonMar 2023KO R10:04 ctrl10 str0 td
Significant strikes
10 of 21 · 48%
Total strikes
13 of 24 · 54%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:04
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:01
Punch to Body At Distance
Target
Head 70%Body 20%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 50%Clinch 0%Ground 50%
This fight on UFCStats
WCarlos CandelarioNov 2022SUB R20:00 ctrl90 str0 td
Significant strikes
90 of 169 · 53%
Total strikes
107 of 188 · 57%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 2:39
Triangle Choke From Bottom Guard
Target
Head 50%Body 27%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 72%Clinch 2%Ground 26%
This fight on UFCStats
LAllan NascimentoMay 2022U-DEC3:50 ctrl8 str0 td
Significant strikes
8 of 29 · 28%
Total strikes
26 of 47 · 55%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
3:50
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 63%Body 38%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 38%Clinch 13%Ground 50%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.