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Jeff Molina

11-2-0
29y·5' 6"·69" reach·Orthodox
1:50
Control / 15m
time on top
+2.21
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
25%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
1
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in October 2021, 77 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 3 recorded bouts, 292 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 85%Body 10%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 81%Clinch 5%Ground 14%
And how often each lands
Head48%
Body86%
Legs81%
Distance47%
Clinch88%
Ground79%

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

5%
Aoriqileng
60%
Lacerda
2%
Zhumagulov

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.13100%3
R26.85166%3
R315.602

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min7.25
Strikes absorbed / min5.04
Striking accuracyof everything thrown48%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed55%
Takedowns / 15 min0
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land0%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed66%
Sub attempts / 15 min0
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together12.29
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 3 bouts11.9m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

47.5%
Landed at range
497 thrown over 3 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

It takes 5 bouts before this comparison says anything. There are 3 here, so it's only showing what they actually landed.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

WZhalgas ZhumagulovJun 2022S-DEC0:14 ctrl56 str0 td
Significant strikes
56 of 148 · 38%
Total strikes
129 of 226 · 57%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:14
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 77%Body 11%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 9%Ground 4%
This fight on UFCStats
WDaniel LacerdaOct 2021KO R23:26 ctrl47 str0 td
Significant strikes
47 of 62 · 76%
Total strikes
106 of 131 · 81%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
3:26
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 0:46
Punches to Head From Back Control
Target
Head 83%Body 13%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 19%Clinch 0%Ground 81%
This fight on UFCStats
WAoriqilengApr 2021U-DEC0:43 ctrl189 str0 td
Significant strikes
189 of 356 · 53%
Total strikes
210 of 378 · 56%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:43
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 88%Body 10%Legs 2%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 5%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.