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Josh Emmett

19-7-0
41y·5' 6"·70" reach·Orthodox
1:12
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.85
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
40%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
1.5
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss February 2018. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Mar 2026

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in October 2017, 128 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Mar 2026

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 17 recorded bouts, 775 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 64%Body 21%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 84%Clinch 6%Ground 10%
And how often each lands
Head28%
Body61%
Legs87%
Distance33%
Clinch68%
Ground62%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

10Wins4 KO · 6 DEC
7Losses2 KO · 2 SUB · 3 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

0%
Tuck
27%
Holtzman
0%
Green
18%
Arantes
0%
Lamas
5%
Stephens
0%
Johnson
11%
Bektic
9%
Burgos
5%
Ige
0%
Kattar
32%
Rodriguez
0%
Topuria
3%
Mitchell
15%
Murphy
16%
Zalal
0%
Vallejos

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.13100%17
R23.65117%12
R34.94158%10
R43.13100%3
R52.8792%3

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.67
Strikes absorbed / min4.52
Striking accuracyof everything thrown35%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed59%
Takedowns / 15 min1.07
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land36%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed43%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.1
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together8.19
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 17 bouts12.4m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

33.1%
Landed at range
1,978 thrown over 16 bouts
38.2%
Expected
against these opponents
−5.1pp
Gap
below expected
84.0%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LKevin VallejosMar 2026KO R10:00 ctrl3 str0 td
Significant strikes
3 of 12 · 25%
Total strikes
3 of 12 · 25%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:33
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 67%Body 33%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LYoussef ZalalOct 2025SUB R10:16 ctrl0 str0 td
Significant strikes
0 of 0
Total strikes
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:16
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 1:38
Armbar From Back Control
This fight on UFCStats
LLerone MurphyApr 2025U-DEC3:39 ctrl41 str4 td
Significant strikes
41 of 143 · 29%
Total strikes
44 of 149 · 30%
Takedowns
4 of 11 · 36%
Control
3:39
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 71%Body 15%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WBryce MitchellDec 2023KO R10:03 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 10 · 20%
Total strikes
2 of 10 · 20%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:03
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:57
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 50%Body 50%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LIlia TopuriaJun 2023U-DEC0:00 ctrl87 str0 td
Significant strikes
87 of 305 · 29%
Total strikes
89 of 309 · 29%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 49%Body 30%Legs 21%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LYair RodriguezFeb 2023SUB R23:01 ctrl22 str1 td
Significant strikes
22 of 52 · 42%
Total strikes
35 of 72 · 49%
Takedowns
1 of 4 · 25%
Control
3:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 4:19
Triangle Choke From Bottom Guard
Target
Head 77%Body 18%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 59%Clinch 5%Ground 36%
This fight on UFCStats
WCalvin KattarJun 2022S-DEC0:04 ctrl107 str0 td
Significant strikes
107 of 332 · 32%
Total strikes
107 of 332 · 32%
Takedowns
0 of 4 · 0%
Control
0:04
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 68%Body 24%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 99%Clinch 1%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WDan IgeDec 2021U-DEC0:47 ctrl60 str0 td
Significant strikes
60 of 165 · 36%
Total strikes
62 of 167 · 37%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:47
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 85%Body 12%Legs 3%
Position
Distance 80%Clinch 8%Ground 12%
This fight on UFCStats
WShane BurgosJun 2020U-DEC1:24 ctrl127 str1 td
Significant strikes
127 of 266 · 48%
Total strikes
136 of 275 · 49%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
1:24
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 77%Body 13%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 87%Clinch 0%Ground 13%
This fight on UFCStats
WMirsad BekticJul 2019KO R10:29 ctrl27 str0 td
Significant strikes
27 of 52 · 52%
Total strikes
33 of 60 · 55%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:29
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:25
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 81%Body 11%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 44%Clinch 0%Ground 56%
This fight on UFCStats
WMichael JohnsonMar 2019KO R30:02 ctrl22 str0 td
Significant strikes
22 of 87 · 25%
Total strikes
22 of 87 · 25%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
0:02
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 4:14
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 32%Body 32%Legs 36%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJeremy StephensFeb 2018KO R20:21 ctrl18 str0 td
Significant strikes
18 of 40 · 45%
Total strikes
21 of 43 · 49%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:21
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:35
Punch to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 50%Body 28%Legs 22%
Position
Distance 72%Clinch 0%Ground 28%
This fight on UFCStats
WRicardo LamasDec 2017KO R10:00 ctrl10 str0 td
Significant strikes
10 of 38 · 26%
Total strikes
10 of 38 · 26%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:33
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 60%Body 10%Legs 30%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WFelipe ArantesOct 2017U-DEC2:45 ctrl67 str1 td
Significant strikes
67 of 211 · 32%
Total strikes
78 of 231 · 34%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
2:45
Knockdowns
4
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 64%Body 21%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 67%Clinch 0%Ground 33%
This fight on UFCStats
LDesmond GreenApr 2017S-DEC0:00 ctrl41 str0 td
Significant strikes
41 of 142 · 29%
Total strikes
43 of 144 · 30%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 32%Body 24%Legs 44%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WScott HoltzmanDec 2016U-DEC3:59 ctrl87 str8 td
Significant strikes
87 of 160 · 54%
Total strikes
99 of 175 · 57%
Takedowns
8 of 12 · 67%
Control
3:59
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 57%Body 30%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 54%Clinch 40%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
WJon TuckMay 2016S-DEC0:01 ctrl54 str0 td
Significant strikes
54 of 152 · 36%
Total strikes
54 of 153 · 35%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 59%Body 20%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.