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Josh Parisian

15-8-0
37y·6' 4"·79" reach·Orthodox
2:04
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.33
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
75%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss December 2021. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Mar 2024

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in June 2021, 90 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Mar 2024

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 7 recorded bouts, 310 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 59%Body 31%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 72%Clinch 22%Ground 6%
And how often each lands
Head37%
Body79%
Legs91%
Distance43%
Clinch68%
Ground72%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

4Wins3 KO · 1 DEC
5Losses2 KO · 1 SUB · 2 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

3%
Porter
29%
Martinez
3%
Mayes
39%
Baudot
8%
Pogues
5%
Buday
0%
Despaigne

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R15.19100%7
R23.6470%5
R33.9776%4

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min4.55
Strikes absorbed / min4.88
Striking accuracyof everything thrown48%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed41%
Takedowns / 15 min0.98
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land33%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed46%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.2
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together9.43
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 7 bouts10.1m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

42.7%
Landed at range
522 thrown over 7 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LRobelis DespaigneMar 2024KO R10:00 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 5 · 40%
Total strikes
2 of 5 · 40%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:18
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 50%Body 50%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LMartin BudayAug 2023SUB R10:13 ctrl26 str0 td
Significant strikes
26 of 61 · 43%
Total strikes
27 of 63 · 43%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:13
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 4:11
Kimura From Side Control
Target
Head 58%Body 23%Legs 19%
Position
Distance 77%Clinch 23%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJamal PoguesFeb 2023U-DEC1:12 ctrl37 str1 td
Significant strikes
37 of 113 · 33%
Total strikes
51 of 137 · 37%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
1:12
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 51%Body 38%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 5%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WAlan BaudotJun 2022KO R23:09 ctrl42 str3 td
Significant strikes
42 of 68 · 62%
Total strikes
102 of 156 · 65%
Takedowns
3 of 4 · 75%
Control
3:09
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:04
Punches to Head From Back Control
Target
Head 64%Body 26%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 52%Clinch 5%Ground 43%
This fight on UFCStats
LDon'Tale MayesDec 2021KO R30:21 ctrl10 str0 td
Significant strikes
10 of 16 · 63%
Total strikes
24 of 33 · 73%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:21
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 3:26
Elbows to Head From Crucifix
Target
Head 70%Body 10%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 60%Clinch 40%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WRoque MartinezJun 2021S-DEC4:23 ctrl79 str1 td
Significant strikes
79 of 160 · 49%
Total strikes
100 of 186 · 54%
Takedowns
1 of 7 · 14%
Control
4:23
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 54%Body 37%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 62%Clinch 38%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LParker PorterNov 2020U-DEC0:28 ctrl114 str0 td
Significant strikes
114 of 226 · 50%
Total strikes
123 of 237 · 52%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:28
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 62%Body 31%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 78%Clinch 22%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.