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Justin Willis

8-2-0
39y·6' 1"·78" reach·Southpaw
1:33
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.80
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
25%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.9
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 5 recorded bouts, 211 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 83%Body 9%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 80%Clinch 7%Ground 14%
And how often each lands
Head57%
Body73%
Legs80%
Distance57%
Clinch52%
Ground88%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

4Wins1 KO · 3 DEC
1Losses1 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

23%
Mulheron
1%
Crowder
20%
Sherman
0%
Hunt
0%
Blaydes

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.58100%5
R23.2591%4
R33.2591%4

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.37
Strikes absorbed / min2.57
Striking accuracyof everything thrown59%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed57%
Takedowns / 15 min0.96
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land66%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed36%
Sub attempts / 15 min0
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together5.94
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 5 bouts12.5m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

56.8%
Landed at range
296 thrown over 5 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LCurtis BlaydesMar 2019U-DEC0:00 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 9 · 22%
Total strikes
9 of 16 · 56%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WMark HuntDec 2018U-DEC0:00 ctrl59 str0 td
Significant strikes
59 of 103 · 57%
Total strikes
59 of 103 · 57%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 76%Body 5%Legs 19%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WChase ShermanApr 2018U-DEC3:00 ctrl76 str1 td
Significant strikes
76 of 109 · 70%
Total strikes
118 of 153 · 77%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
3:00
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 89%Body 11%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 70%Clinch 8%Ground 22%
This fight on UFCStats
WAllen CrowderDec 2017KO R10:02 ctrl22 str0 td
Significant strikes
22 of 44 · 50%
Total strikes
25 of 47 · 53%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:02
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:33
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 95%Body 5%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 64%Clinch 27%Ground 9%
This fight on UFCStats
WJames MulheronJul 2017U-DEC3:25 ctrl52 str3 td
Significant strikes
52 of 91 · 57%
Total strikes
72 of 114 · 63%
Takedowns
3 of 4 · 75%
Control
3:25
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 77%Body 13%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 77%Clinch 4%Ground 19%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.