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Karolina Kowalkiewicz

16-10-0
40y·5' 3"·64" reach·Orthodox
1:33
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.23
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
11%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss September 2018. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Oct 2025

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in November 2016, 119 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Oct 2025

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 19 recorded bouts, 1394 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 61%Body 27%Legs 12%
Position
Distance 79%Clinch 18%Ground 3%
And how often each lands
Head34%
Body72%
Legs74%
Distance39%
Clinch76%
Ground80%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

9Wins1 SUB · 8 DEC
10Losses2 KO · 2 SUB · 6 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

10%
Markos
5%
Clark
15%
Namajunas
14%
Jedrzejczyk
0%
Gadelha
1%
Esquibel
8%
Herrig
0%
Andrade
6%
Waterson-Gomez
4%
Grasso
12%
Xiaonan
10%
Penne
35%
Herrig
27%
Juarez
12%
Demopoulos
15%
Belbita
0%
Lucindo
7%
Gomes
4%
Polastri

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.88100%19
R26.19127%16
R36.01123%15
R45.001
R51.001

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min5.54
Strikes absorbed / min5.77
Striking accuracyof everything thrown42%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed56%
Takedowns / 15 min0.36
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land23%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed74%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.2
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together11.31
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 19 bouts13.2m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

Women's divisions sit this one out for now. The baseline leans on how far striking has drifted era to era, and there isn't enough sample in the women's divisions to measure that drift. Building a baseline anyway would claim a precision we haven't earned.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LJulia PolastriOct 2025KO R30:31 ctrl72 str1 td
Significant strikes
72 of 192 · 38%
Total strikes
75 of 196 · 38%
Takedowns
1 of 4 · 25%
Control
0:31
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 2:56
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 33%Body 50%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 99%Clinch 1%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LDenise GomesNov 2024U-DEC1:02 ctrl46 str0 td
Significant strikes
46 of 98 · 47%
Total strikes
61 of 115 · 53%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
1:02
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 35%Body 41%Legs 24%
Position
Distance 85%Clinch 15%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LIasmin LucindoMay 2024U-DEC0:00 ctrl42 str0 td
Significant strikes
42 of 111 · 38%
Total strikes
47 of 119 · 39%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 40%Body 36%Legs 24%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 5%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WDiana BelbitaOct 2023U-DEC2:15 ctrl141 str1 td
Significant strikes
141 of 267 · 53%
Total strikes
155 of 283 · 55%
Takedowns
1 of 6 · 17%
Control
2:15
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 67%Body 30%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 87%Clinch 12%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
WVanessa DemopoulosMay 2023U-DEC1:52 ctrl139 str0 td
Significant strikes
139 of 237 · 59%
Total strikes
148 of 249 · 59%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:52
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 68%Body 22%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 4%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WSilvana Gomez JuarezNov 2022U-DEC4:03 ctrl74 str2 td
Significant strikes
74 of 202 · 37%
Total strikes
90 of 230 · 39%
Takedowns
2 of 2 · 100%
Control
4:03
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 74%Body 18%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 4%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WFelice HerrigJun 2022SUB R23:10 ctrl82 str0 td
Significant strikes
82 of 123 · 67%
Total strikes
102 of 146 · 70%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
3:10
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 4:01
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 66%Body 28%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 70%Clinch 21%Ground 10%
This fight on UFCStats
LJessica PenneAug 2021SUB R10:26 ctrl8 str1 td
Significant strikes
8 of 12 · 67%
Total strikes
28 of 36 · 78%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
0:26
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 4:32
Armbar From Mount
Target
Head 38%Body 0%Legs 63%
Position
Distance 50%Clinch 0%Ground 50%
This fight on UFCStats
LYan XiaonanFeb 2020U-DEC1:45 ctrl38 str0 td
Significant strikes
38 of 85 · 45%
Total strikes
51 of 103 · 50%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
1:45
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 50%Body 18%Legs 32%
Position
Distance 92%Clinch 8%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LAlexa GrassoJun 2019U-DEC0:33 ctrl90 str0 td
Significant strikes
90 of 232 · 39%
Total strikes
92 of 234 · 39%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:33
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 61%Body 30%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 12%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LMichelle Waterson-GomezMar 2019U-DEC0:56 ctrl57 str0 td
Significant strikes
57 of 118 · 48%
Total strikes
77 of 141 · 55%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:56
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 28%Body 35%Legs 37%
Position
Distance 74%Clinch 23%Ground 4%
This fight on UFCStats
LJessica AndradeSep 2018KO R10:00 ctrl24 str0 td
Significant strikes
24 of 56 · 43%
Total strikes
25 of 58 · 43%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:58
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 63%Body 21%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 25%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WFelice HerrigApr 2018S-DEC1:10 ctrl126 str0 td
Significant strikes
126 of 248 · 51%
Total strikes
140 of 262 · 53%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
1:10
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 65%Body 25%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 63%Clinch 34%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
WJodie EsquibelOct 2017U-DEC0:10 ctrl127 str1 td
Significant strikes
127 of 333 · 38%
Total strikes
142 of 348 · 41%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
0:10
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 75%Body 22%Legs 3%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 21%Ground 4%
This fight on UFCStats
LClaudia GadelhaJun 2017SUB R10:00 ctrl9 str0 td
Significant strikes
9 of 37 · 24%
Total strikes
12 of 40 · 30%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 3:03
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 67%Body 0%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJoanna JedrzejczykNov 2016U-DEC3:34 ctrl50 str0 td
Significant strikes
50 of 220 · 23%
Total strikes
63 of 234 · 27%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
3:34
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 72%Body 22%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 72%Clinch 28%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WRose NamajunasJul 2016S-DEC2:19 ctrl84 str0 td
Significant strikes
84 of 242 · 35%
Total strikes
128 of 293 · 44%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
2:19
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 52%Body 35%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 43%Clinch 49%Ground 8%
This fight on UFCStats
WHeather ClarkMay 2016U-DEC0:46 ctrl119 str0 td
Significant strikes
119 of 261 · 46%
Total strikes
164 of 309 · 53%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:46
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 73%Body 18%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 71%Clinch 29%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WRanda MarkosDec 2015U-DEC1:28 ctrl66 str0 td
Significant strikes
66 of 169 · 39%
Total strikes
104 of 216 · 48%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:28
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 61%Body 18%Legs 21%
Position
Distance 71%Clinch 14%Ground 15%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.