Chin Decay
PredictiveFirst KO loss September 2024. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.
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Kevin Jousset
10-4-0
33y·6' 2"·75" reach·Orthodox
0:49
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.12
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
50%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed
Tells
Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.
Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.
How they fight
Every significant strike they have landed across 4 recorded bouts, 288 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.
Target
Head 55%Body 16%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 10%Ground 0%
And how often each lands
Head40%
Body65%
Legs88%
Distance49%
Clinch86%
How fights end
UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.
2Wins1 SUB · 1 DEC
2Losses1 KO · 1 DEC
Control, bout by bout
Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.
16%
Crosbie
10%
Kenan
2%
Battle
0%
Micallef
As the fight goes on
Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.
Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R16.01100%4
R27.03117%3
R37.20—2
Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.
Career numbers
Strikes landed / min6.61
Strikes absorbed / min6.49
Striking accuracyof everything thrown51%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed50%
Takedowns / 15 min0.69
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land40%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed100%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.3
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together13.1
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 4 bouts10.9m
Earned Accuracy
How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.
49.3%
Landed at range
523 thrown over 4 bouts
—
Expected
against these opponents
—
Gap
below the cutoffs
—
Coverage
from real records
It takes 5 bouts before this comparison says anything. There are 4 here, so it's only showing what they actually landed.
The fine print
Distance strikes only
Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.
One pass, not a rating
How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.
Coverage, and who gets ranked
Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.
Short records get pulled to the middle
An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.
Bout log
LJonathan MicallefFeb 2025U-DEC0:00 ctrl67 str0 td
Significant strikes
67 of 168 · 40%
Total strikes
71 of 173 · 41%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 48%Body 25%Legs 27%
Position
Distance 99%Clinch 1%Ground 0%
LBryan BattleSep 2024KO R20:12 ctrl58 str0 td
Significant strikes
58 of 97 · 60%
Total strikes
63 of 107 · 59%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:12
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:47
Punches to Head At DistanceTarget
Head 53%Body 17%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 79%Clinch 21%Ground 0%
WSong KenanDec 2023U-DEC1:26 ctrl134 str1 td
Significant strikes
134 of 235 · 57%
Total strikes
158 of 263 · 60%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
1:26
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 58%Body 11%Legs 31%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 10%Ground 0%
WKiefer CrosbieSep 2023SUB R10:45 ctrl29 str1 td
Significant strikes
29 of 58 · 50%
Total strikes
39 of 69 · 57%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
0:45
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 4:49
Rear Naked ChokeTarget
Head 62%Body 14%Legs 24%
Position
Distance 86%Clinch 14%Ground 0%