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Lukasz Brzeski

9-7-1 (1 NC)
34y·6' 3"·78" reach·Orthodox
0:18
Control / 15m
time on top
+1.25
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
50%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss August 2023. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Dec 2024

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 7 recorded bouts, 277 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 45%Body 30%Legs 25%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 5%Ground 0%
And how often each lands
Head33%
Body78%
Legs92%
Distance49%
Clinch65%
Ground0%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

2Wins1 SUB · 1 DEC
6Losses3 KO · 1 SUB · 2 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

0%
Buday
3%
Williams
0%
Acosta
5%
Walker
0%
Parkin
0%
Nzechukwu
0%
Spann

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R15.00100%7
R25.47109%3
R33.3367%3

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min4.9
Strikes absorbed / min3.65
Striking accuracyof everything thrown50%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed54%
Takedowns / 15 min0.41
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land33%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed35%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.4
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together8.55
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 7 bouts8.4m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

48.8%
Landed at range
541 thrown over 7 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LRyan SpannJul 2025SUB R10:00 ctrl5 str0 td
Significant strikes
5 of 8 · 63%
Total strikes
23 of 28 · 82%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:47
Guillotine Choke Standing
Target
Head 20%Body 0%Legs 80%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LKennedy NzechukwuDec 2024KO R10:00 ctrl32 str0 td
Significant strikes
32 of 69 · 46%
Total strikes
32 of 69 · 46%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:51
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 50%Body 19%Legs 31%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LMick ParkinJul 2024KO R10:00 ctrl24 str0 td
Significant strikes
24 of 42 · 57%
Total strikes
26 of 44 · 59%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:23
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 50%Body 13%Legs 38%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 17%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WValter WalkerApr 2024U-DEC0:43 ctrl58 str0 td
Significant strikes
58 of 102 · 57%
Total strikes
135 of 200 · 68%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:43
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 47%Body 28%Legs 26%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 5%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LWaldo Cortes AcostaAug 2023KO R10:00 ctrl14 str0 td
Significant strikes
14 of 22 · 64%
Total strikes
15 of 23 · 65%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:01
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 7%Body 21%Legs 71%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LKarl WilliamsMar 2023U-DEC0:29 ctrl26 str0 td
Significant strikes
26 of 46 · 57%
Total strikes
49 of 72 · 68%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:29
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 73%Body 19%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 85%Clinch 15%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LMartin BudayAug 2022S-DEC0:00 ctrl118 str0 td
Significant strikes
118 of 273 · 43%
Total strikes
124 of 280 · 44%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 42%Body 43%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.