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Marcos Rogerio de Lima

22-10-1
41y·6' 1"·75" reach·Orthodox
6:41
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.80
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
73%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
1.9
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss July 2023. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 18 recorded bouts, 375 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 58%Body 17%Legs 24%
Position
Distance 67%Clinch 10%Ground 23%
And how often each lands
Head50%
Body75%
Legs85%
Distance54%
Clinch76%
Ground74%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

11Wins6 KO · 2 SUB · 3 DEC
8Losses1 KO · 5 SUB · 2 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

15%
Moreira
83%
Pokrajac
0%
Krylov
86%
Hester
31%
Antigulov
3%
Kimball
0%
Preux
55%
Wieczorek
72%
Struve
2%
Sosoli
0%
Romanov
94%
Greene
0%
Rothwell
14%
Ivanov
82%
Arlovski
33%
Acosta
0%
Lewis
55%
Tafa

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.61100%18
R22.7961%7
R32.0043%4

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.7
Strikes absorbed / min2.9
Striking accuracyof everything thrown57%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed51%
Takedowns / 15 min1.4
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land45%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed59%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.5
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together6.6
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 18 bouts5.7m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

54.2%
Landed at range
461 thrown over 17 bouts
42.6%
Expected
against these opponents
+11.7pp
Gap
above expected
70.9%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

WJunior TafaFeb 2024KO R23:26 ctrl33 str1 td
Significant strikes
33 of 46 · 72%
Total strikes
63 of 78 · 81%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
3:26
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:14
Kick to Leg At Distance
Target
Head 58%Body 6%Legs 36%
Position
Distance 67%Clinch 3%Ground 30%
This fight on UFCStats
LDerrick LewisJul 2023KO R10:00 ctrl1 str0 td
Significant strikes
1 of 1 · 100%
Total strikes
2 of 2 · 100%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:33
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 0%Clinch 0%Ground 100%
This fight on UFCStats
WWaldo Cortes AcostaApr 2023U-DEC5:01 ctrl59 str3 td
Significant strikes
59 of 76 · 78%
Total strikes
76 of 95 · 80%
Takedowns
3 of 7 · 43%
Control
5:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 34%Body 19%Legs 47%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 3%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
WAndrei ArlovskiOct 2022SUB R11:30 ctrl6 str0 td
Significant strikes
6 of 11 · 55%
Total strikes
25 of 33 · 76%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:30
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 1:50
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 50%Body 17%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 0%Ground 17%
This fight on UFCStats
LBlagoy IvanovMay 2022U-DEC2:04 ctrl68 str1 td
Significant strikes
68 of 133 · 51%
Total strikes
81 of 147 · 55%
Takedowns
1 of 5 · 20%
Control
2:04
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 68%Body 26%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 85%Clinch 15%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WBen RothwellNov 2021KO R10:00 ctrl14 str0 td
Significant strikes
14 of 24 · 58%
Total strikes
14 of 24 · 58%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:32
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 79%Body 0%Legs 21%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WMaurice GreeneMay 2021U-DEC14:06 ctrl14 str3 td
Significant strikes
14 of 26 · 54%
Total strikes
166 of 228 · 73%
Takedowns
3 of 4 · 75%
Control
14:06
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 79%Body 14%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 21%Clinch 7%Ground 71%
This fight on UFCStats
LAlexandr RomanovNov 2020SUB R10:00 ctrl18 str0 td
Significant strikes
18 of 29 · 62%
Total strikes
27 of 39 · 69%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 4:48
Forearm Choke From Half Guard
Target
Head 39%Body 28%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 67%Clinch 28%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
WBen SosoliFeb 2020KO R10:02 ctrl19 str0 td
Significant strikes
19 of 34 · 56%
Total strikes
19 of 34 · 56%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:02
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:28
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 79%Body 11%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 0%Ground 5%
This fight on UFCStats
LStefan StruveFeb 2019SUB R25:17 ctrl25 str0 td
Significant strikes
25 of 32 · 78%
Total strikes
68 of 79 · 86%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
5:17
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 2:21
Arm Triangle From Mount
Target
Head 72%Body 28%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 4%Clinch 0%Ground 96%
This fight on UFCStats
WAdam WieczorekNov 2018U-DEC8:19 ctrl28 str3 td
Significant strikes
28 of 59 · 47%
Total strikes
70 of 112 · 63%
Takedowns
3 of 5 · 60%
Control
8:19
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 64%Body 7%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 57%Clinch 14%Ground 29%
This fight on UFCStats
LOvince Saint PreuxApr 2017SUB R20:00 ctrl17 str0 td
Significant strikes
17 of 45 · 38%
Total strikes
17 of 45 · 38%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 2:11
Von Flue Choke From Half Guard
Target
Head 18%Body 29%Legs 53%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WJeremy KimballJan 2017KO R10:04 ctrl12 str0 td
Significant strikes
12 of 25 · 48%
Total strikes
12 of 25 · 48%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:04
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:27
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 50%Body 17%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 58%Clinch 0%Ground 42%
This fight on UFCStats
LGadzhimurad AntigulovNov 2016SUB R10:21 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 6 · 33%
Total strikes
11 of 15 · 73%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:21
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Submission, R1 1:07
Guillotine Choke On Ground
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 0%Clinch 100%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WClint HesterApr 2016SUB R13:57 ctrl29 str0 td
Significant strikes
29 of 41 · 71%
Total strikes
84 of 103 · 82%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
3:57
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 4:35
Arm Triangle From Half Guard
Target
Head 83%Body 3%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 24%Clinch 0%Ground 76%
This fight on UFCStats
LNikita KrylovAug 2015SUB R10:00 ctrl5 str0 td
Significant strikes
5 of 10 · 50%
Total strikes
5 of 10 · 50%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:29
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 60%Body 20%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WIgor PokrajacDec 2014KO R11:39 ctrl18 str0 td
Significant strikes
18 of 21 · 86%
Total strikes
33 of 37 · 89%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:39
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:59
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 50%Body 11%Legs 39%
Position
Distance 44%Clinch 44%Ground 11%
This fight on UFCStats
WRichardson MoreiraMay 2014KO R10:03 ctrl7 str0 td
Significant strikes
7 of 10 · 70%
Total strikes
7 of 10 · 70%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:03
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:20
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 43%Body 57%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 14%Clinch 57%Ground 29%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.