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Mauricio Rua

27-14-1
44y·6' 1"·76" reach·Orthodox
3:29
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.78
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
81%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
1.6
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss March 2011. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Jan 2023

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in April 2009, 70 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Jan 2023

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 24 recorded bouts, 888 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 59%Body 16%Legs 25%
Position
Distance 70%Clinch 15%Ground 15%
And how often each lands
Head42%
Body72%
Legs80%
Distance47%
Clinch71%
Ground63%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

27Wins21 KO · 1 SUB · 5 DEC
14Losses7 KO · 3 SUB · 4 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

33%
Griffin
24%
Coleman
10%
Liddell
11%
Machida
16%
Machida
1%
Jones
6%
Griffin
36%
Henderson
60%
Vera
10%
Gustafsson
17%
Sonnen
5%
Huna
30%
Henderson
0%
Preux
29%
Nogueira
1%
Anderson
1%
Villante
0%
Smith
50%
Pedro
56%
Craig
20%
Nogueira
20%
Craig
0%
Preux
0%
Potieria

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.50100%24
R23.2894%16
R33.1189%15
R43.4598%3
R53.702

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.57
Strikes absorbed / min2.79
Striking accuracyof everything thrown50%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed54%
Takedowns / 15 min2.01
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land48%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed49%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.7
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together6.36
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 24 bouts11.0m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

47.0%
Landed at range
1,322 thrown over 23 bouts
37.7%
Expected
against these opponents
+9.3pp
Gap
above expected
83.9%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LIhor PotieriaJan 2023KO R10:01 ctrl17 str0 td
Significant strikes
17 of 31 · 55%
Total strikes
21 of 35 · 60%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:05
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 24%Body 18%Legs 59%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LOvince Saint PreuxMay 2022S-DEC0:00 ctrl54 str0 td
Significant strikes
54 of 99 · 55%
Total strikes
54 of 99 · 55%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 33%Body 20%Legs 46%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LPaul CraigNov 2020KO R21:44 ctrl10 str0 td
Significant strikes
10 of 28 · 36%
Total strikes
25 of 46 · 54%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:44
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:36
Punches to Head From Back Control
Target
Head 60%Body 20%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 0%Ground 10%
This fight on UFCStats
WRogerio NogueiraJul 2020S-DEC2:57 ctrl54 str2 td
Significant strikes
54 of 103 · 52%
Total strikes
78 of 129 · 60%
Takedowns
2 of 4 · 50%
Control
2:57
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 50%Body 20%Legs 30%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 11%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
DPaul CraigNov 2019S-DEC8:21 ctrl25 str1 td
Significant strikes
25 of 66 · 38%
Total strikes
51 of 108 · 47%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
8:21
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 76%Body 4%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 64%Clinch 4%Ground 32%
This fight on UFCStats
WTyson PedroDec 2018KO R35:20 ctrl30 str3 td
Significant strikes
30 of 56 · 54%
Total strikes
62 of 94 · 66%
Takedowns
3 of 5 · 60%
Control
5:20
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 0:43
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 77%Body 7%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 40%Clinch 3%Ground 57%
This fight on UFCStats
LAnthony SmithJul 2018KO R10:00 ctrl4 str0 td
Significant strikes
4 of 12 · 33%
Total strikes
4 of 12 · 33%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:29
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 0%Body 25%Legs 75%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WGian VillanteMar 2017KO R30:04 ctrl94 str2 td
Significant strikes
94 of 173 · 54%
Total strikes
94 of 174 · 54%
Takedowns
2 of 3 · 67%
Control
0:04
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 0:59
Punch to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 72%Body 17%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WCorey AndersonMay 2016S-DEC0:12 ctrl48 str0 td
Significant strikes
48 of 101 · 48%
Total strikes
66 of 119 · 55%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:12
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 54%Body 10%Legs 35%
Position
Distance 77%Clinch 13%Ground 10%
This fight on UFCStats
WRogerio NogueiraAug 2015U-DEC4:19 ctrl53 str2 td
Significant strikes
53 of 98 · 54%
Total strikes
82 of 130 · 63%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
4:19
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 57%Body 28%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 89%Clinch 4%Ground 8%
This fight on UFCStats
LOvince Saint PreuxNov 2014KO R10:00 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 3 · 67%
Total strikes
2 of 3 · 67%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:34
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 0%Body 0%Legs 100%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LDan HendersonMar 2014KO R33:25 ctrl48 str1 td
Significant strikes
48 of 96 · 50%
Total strikes
79 of 128 · 62%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
3:25
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 1:31
Punch to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 65%Body 8%Legs 27%
Position
Distance 65%Clinch 8%Ground 27%
This fight on UFCStats
WJames Te HunaDec 2013KO R10:03 ctrl9 str0 td
Significant strikes
9 of 12 · 75%
Total strikes
9 of 12 · 75%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:03
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:03
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 44%Body 22%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 89%Clinch 0%Ground 11%
This fight on UFCStats
LChael SonnenAug 2013SUB R10:50 ctrl0 str0 td
Significant strikes
0 of 1 · 0%
Total strikes
9 of 10 · 90%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:50
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 4:47
Guillotine Choke After Drop to Guard
This fight on UFCStats
LAlexander GustafssonDec 2012U-DEC1:29 ctrl41 str1 td
Significant strikes
41 of 95 · 43%
Total strikes
51 of 105 · 49%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
1:29
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 56%Body 17%Legs 27%
Position
Distance 66%Clinch 34%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WBrandon VeraAug 2012KO R411:26 ctrl68 str4 td
Significant strikes
68 of 103 · 66%
Total strikes
142 of 184 · 77%
Takedowns
4 of 7 · 57%
Control
11:26
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R4 4:09
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 75%Body 13%Legs 12%
Position
Distance 56%Clinch 24%Ground 21%
This fight on UFCStats
LDan HendersonNov 2011U-DEC9:07 ctrl96 str5 td
Significant strikes
96 of 194 · 49%
Total strikes
191 of 293 · 65%
Takedowns
5 of 10 · 50%
Control
9:07
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 83%Body 8%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 45%Clinch 20%Ground 35%
This fight on UFCStats
WForrest GriffinAug 2011KO R10:07 ctrl16 str0 td
Significant strikes
16 of 29 · 55%
Total strikes
16 of 30 · 53%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:07
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:53
Punches to Head From Half Guard
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 50%Clinch 0%Ground 50%
This fight on UFCStats
LJon JonesMar 2011KO R30:05 ctrl9 str0 td
Significant strikes
9 of 40 · 23%
Total strikes
11 of 42 · 26%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:05
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 2:37
Knee to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 67%Body 22%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 89%Clinch 11%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WLyoto MachidaMay 2010KO R10:35 ctrl17 str0 td
Significant strikes
17 of 28 · 61%
Total strikes
24 of 35 · 69%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:35
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:35
Punches to Head From Mount
Target
Head 65%Body 6%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 41%Clinch 24%Ground 35%
This fight on UFCStats
LLyoto MachidaOct 2009U-DEC2:44 ctrl80 str0 td
Significant strikes
80 of 146 · 55%
Total strikes
82 of 148 · 55%
Takedowns
0 of 4 · 0%
Control
2:44
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 19%Body 20%Legs 61%
Position
Distance 60%Clinch 40%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WChuck LiddellApr 2009KO R10:26 ctrl24 str0 td
Significant strikes
24 of 32 · 75%
Total strikes
25 of 34 · 74%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:26
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:28
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 58%Body 8%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 54%Clinch 17%Ground 29%
This fight on UFCStats
WMark ColemanJan 2009KO R33:30 ctrl62 str1 td
Significant strikes
62 of 102 · 61%
Total strikes
106 of 148 · 72%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
3:30
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 4:36
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 55%Body 31%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 63%Clinch 27%Ground 10%
This fight on UFCStats
LForrest GriffinSep 2007SUB R34:49 ctrl27 str5 td
Significant strikes
27 of 75 · 36%
Total strikes
53 of 105 · 50%
Takedowns
5 of 12 · 42%
Control
4:49
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 4:45
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 78%Body 11%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 52%Clinch 11%Ground 37%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.