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Melsik Baghdasaryan

8-4-0
34y·5' 9"·70" reach·Southpaw
0:37
Control / 15m
time on top
+1.83
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
25%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.5
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss February 2025. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 6 recorded bouts, 219 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 44%Body 36%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 84%Clinch 14%Ground 2%
And how often each lands
Head42%
Body76%
Legs77%
Distance53%
Clinch83%
Ground71%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

4Wins1 KO · 3 DEC
3Losses1 KO · 2 SUB

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

17%
Anglin
1%
Souza
0%
Culibao
5%
Lutz
0%
Silva
0%
Magomedov

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.69100%6
R25.54150%4
R34.802

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min4.98
Strikes absorbed / min3.15
Striking accuracyof everything thrown58%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed56%
Takedowns / 15 min0
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land0%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed70%
Sub attempts / 15 min0
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together8.13
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 6 bouts8.2m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

53.2%
Landed at range
346 thrown over 6 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LMurtazali MagomedovJun 2026SUB R10:00 ctrl3 str0 td
Significant strikes
3 of 13 · 23%
Total strikes
3 of 13 · 23%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 1:17
Twister From Back Control Scottish Twister
Target
Head 0%Body 100%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJean SilvaFeb 2025KO R10:00 ctrl7 str0 td
Significant strikes
7 of 25 · 28%
Total strikes
7 of 25 · 28%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:15
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 71%Body 0%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WTucker LutzJul 2023U-DEC0:42 ctrl64 str0 td
Significant strikes
64 of 108 · 59%
Total strikes
74 of 122 · 61%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:42
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 50%Body 47%Legs 3%
Position
Distance 78%Clinch 17%Ground 5%
This fight on UFCStats
LJosh CulibaoFeb 2023SUB R20:00 ctrl26 str0 td
Significant strikes
26 of 44 · 59%
Total strikes
26 of 44 · 59%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 2:02
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 23%Body 31%Legs 46%
Position
Distance 92%Clinch 8%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WBruno SouzaNov 2021U-DEC0:10 ctrl75 str0 td
Significant strikes
75 of 124 · 60%
Total strikes
77 of 126 · 61%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:10
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 35%Body 33%Legs 32%
Position
Distance 91%Clinch 9%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WCollin AnglinJul 2021KO R21:11 ctrl44 str0 td
Significant strikes
44 of 75 · 59%
Total strikes
51 of 82 · 62%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:11
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:50
Kick to Head At Distance
Target
Head 64%Body 27%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 73%Clinch 23%Ground 5%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.