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Muhammad Mokaev

13-0-0 (1 NC)
26y·5' 7"·70" reach·Orthodox
7:46
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.26
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
57%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.7
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in March 2024, 38 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 7 recorded bouts, 142 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 54%Body 32%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 71%Clinch 5%Ground 24%
And how often each lands
Head38%
Body65%
Legs50%
Distance39%
Clinch88%
Ground77%

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

19%
Durden
78%
Johnson
71%
Gordon
57%
Filho
64%
Elliott
30%
Perez
15%
Kape

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R12.52100%7
R21.4056%6
R30.8132%6

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min1.61
Strikes absorbed / min1.35
Striking accuracyof everything thrown45%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed57%
Takedowns / 15 min5.29
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land41%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed25%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.8
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together2.96
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 7 bouts12.6m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

38.7%
Landed at range
261 thrown over 7 bouts
39.3%
Expected
against these opponents
−0.6pp
Gap
below expected
70.3%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

WManel KapeJul 2024U-DEC2:11 ctrl30 str3 td
Significant strikes
30 of 82 · 37%
Total strikes
47 of 102 · 46%
Takedowns
3 of 8 · 38%
Control
2:11
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 37%Body 43%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 7%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
WAlex PerezMar 2024U-DEC4:29 ctrl47 str3 td
Significant strikes
47 of 104 · 45%
Total strikes
56 of 119 · 47%
Takedowns
3 of 20 · 15%
Control
4:29
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 72%Body 19%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 66%Clinch 6%Ground 28%
This fight on UFCStats
WTim ElliottOct 2023SUB R38:24 ctrl14 str3 td
Significant strikes
14 of 33 · 42%
Total strikes
118 of 146 · 81%
Takedowns
3 of 6 · 50%
Control
8:24
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 3:03
Arm Triangle From Mount
Target
Head 57%Body 21%Legs 21%
Position
Distance 71%Clinch 7%Ground 21%
This fight on UFCStats
WJafel FilhoMar 2023SUB R38:15 ctrl16 str4 td
Significant strikes
16 of 30 · 53%
Total strikes
79 of 104 · 76%
Takedowns
4 of 8 · 50%
Control
8:15
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 4:32
Neck Crank From Back Control
Target
Head 25%Body 50%Legs 25%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 0%Ground 25%
This fight on UFCStats
WMalcolm GordonOct 2022SUB R310:18 ctrl21 str6 td
Significant strikes
21 of 30 · 70%
Total strikes
119 of 130 · 92%
Takedowns
6 of 7 · 86%
Control
10:18
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 4:26
Armbar From Back Control
Target
Head 62%Body 38%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 43%Clinch 0%Ground 57%
This fight on UFCStats
WCharles JohnsonJul 2022U-DEC11:44 ctrl12 str12 td
Significant strikes
12 of 29 · 41%
Total strikes
32 of 54 · 59%
Takedowns
12 of 26 · 46%
Control
11:44
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 42%Body 25%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 8%Ground 8%
This fight on UFCStats
WCody DurdenMar 2022SUB R10:11 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 5 · 40%
Total strikes
2 of 5 · 40%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:11
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 0:58
Guillotine Choke On Ground
Target
Head 50%Body 50%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.