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Myktybek Orolbai

16-2-1
28y·5' 10"·74" reach·Orthodox
8:05
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.08
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
60%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
1
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in June 2025, 86 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 7 recorded bouts, 197 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 76%Body 13%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 61%Clinch 3%Ground 36%
And how often each lands
Head48%
Body72%
Legs75%
Distance44%
Clinch86%
Ground75%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

5Wins1 KO · 2 SUB · 2 DEC
1Losses1 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

81%
Medic
48%
Brener
14%
Rebecki
80%
Musayev
2%
Hermansson
84%
Curtis
56%
Wells

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.10100%7
R22.5683%5
R32.1369%4

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min2.78
Strikes absorbed / min2.7
Striking accuracyof everything thrown50%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed51%
Takedowns / 15 min8.77
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land59%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed40%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.5
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together5.48
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 7 bouts10.4m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

42.4%
Landed at range
125 thrown over 4 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

It takes 5 bouts before this comparison says anything. There are 4 here, so it's only showing what they actually landed.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LJeremiah WellsAug 2026SUB R36:20 ctrl26 str4 td
Significant strikes
26 of 35 · 74%
Total strikes
67 of 83 · 81%
Takedowns
4 of 6 · 67%
Control
6:20
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 1:24
Guillotine Choke In Clinch Ninja choke
Target
Head 85%Body 15%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 27%Clinch 0%Ground 73%
This fight on UFCStats
WChris CurtisMar 2026U-DEC12:33 ctrl20 str19 td
Significant strikes
20 of 28 · 71%
Total strikes
83 of 102 · 81%
Takedowns
19 of 24 · 79%
Control
12:33
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 65%Body 15%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 25%Clinch 5%Ground 70%
This fight on UFCStats
WJack HermanssonNov 2025KO R10:03 ctrl15 str0 td
Significant strikes
15 of 33 · 45%
Total strikes
15 of 33 · 45%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:03
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:46
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 60%Body 20%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 87%Clinch 7%Ground 7%
This fight on UFCStats
WTofiq MusayevJun 2025SUB R13:40 ctrl2 str3 td
Significant strikes
2 of 7 · 29%
Total strikes
15 of 25 · 60%
Takedowns
3 of 5 · 60%
Control
3:40
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 4:35
Kimura From Side Control
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 50%Clinch 0%Ground 50%
This fight on UFCStats
LMateusz RebeckiOct 2024S-DEC2:05 ctrl61 str2 td
Significant strikes
61 of 135 · 45%
Total strikes
85 of 162 · 52%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
2:05
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 75%Body 10%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 0%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
WElves BrenerMay 2024U-DEC7:12 ctrl65 str5 td
Significant strikes
65 of 119 · 55%
Total strikes
83 of 138 · 60%
Takedowns
5 of 17 · 29%
Control
7:12
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 80%Body 15%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 49%Clinch 5%Ground 46%
This fight on UFCStats
WUros MedicNov 2023SUB R27:26 ctrl8 str7 td
Significant strikes
8 of 20 · 40%
Total strikes
16 of 31 · 52%
Takedowns
7 of 10 · 70%
Control
7:26
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 4:12
Neck Crank From Back Control
Target
Head 75%Body 0%Legs 25%
Position
Distance 38%Clinch 13%Ground 50%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.