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Nate Maness

16-3-0
35y·5' 10"·72" reach·Orthodox
1:50
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.74
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
60%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
1
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in November 2022, 136 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 7 recorded bouts, 209 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 74%Body 20%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 60%Clinch 19%Ground 21%
And how often each lands
Head44%
Body79%
Legs93%
Distance41%
Clinch77%
Ground80%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

5Wins2 KO · 1 SUB · 2 DEC
2Losses1 SUB · 1 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

10%
Munoz
7%
Sanders
3%
Gravely
0%
Nurmagomedov
0%
Ulanbekov
33%
Mendonca
29%
Flick

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R12.95100%7
R24.01136%5
R32.4081%3

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.14
Strikes absorbed / min3.88
Striking accuracyof everything thrown50%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed42%
Takedowns / 15 min0.68
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land75%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed80%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.7
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together7.02
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 7 bouts9.5m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

39.5%
Landed at range
248 thrown over 6 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

WJimmy FlickJun 2024U-DEC4:23 ctrl89 str0 td
Significant strikes
89 of 168 · 53%
Total strikes
139 of 234 · 59%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
4:23
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 71%Body 19%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 72%Clinch 21%Ground 7%
This fight on UFCStats
WMateus MendoncaOct 2023KO R11:31 ctrl29 str0 td
Significant strikes
29 of 35 · 83%
Total strikes
103 of 114 · 90%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:31
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:40
Punches to Head From Guard
Target
Head 90%Body 7%Legs 3%
Position
Distance 3%Clinch 7%Ground 90%
This fight on UFCStats
LTagir UlanbekovNov 2022SUB R10:00 ctrl4 str0 td
Significant strikes
4 of 10 · 40%
Total strikes
23 of 30 · 77%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:11
Guillotine Choke Standing
Target
Head 50%Body 25%Legs 25%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 0%Ground 25%
This fight on UFCStats
LUmar NurmagomedovJun 2022U-DEC0:00 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 20 · 10%
Total strikes
46 of 68 · 68%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 50%Body 50%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WTony GravelySep 2021KO R20:15 ctrl31 str1 td
Significant strikes
31 of 63 · 49%
Total strikes
64 of 98 · 65%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
0:15
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 2:10
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 84%Body 16%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 68%Clinch 6%Ground 26%
This fight on UFCStats
WLuke SandersNov 2020SUB R20:30 ctrl33 str1 td
Significant strikes
33 of 70 · 47%
Total strikes
38 of 75 · 51%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
0:30
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 2:29
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 82%Body 12%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 85%Clinch 9%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
WJohnny MunozAug 2020U-DEC1:29 ctrl21 str1 td
Significant strikes
21 of 50 · 42%
Total strikes
158 of 194 · 81%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
1:29
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 43%Body 57%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 33%Clinch 67%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.